Concepción vs 
Union La Calera• Primera División, Chile
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 18:00 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.99 | 3.46 | 4.01 | 4.1% |
| Betano | 2.02 | 3.40 | 3.85 | 4.9% |
| Dafabet | 2.02 | 3.40 | 3.80 | 5.2% |
| BetVictor | 1.95 | 3.40 | 3.90 | 6.3% |
| Bet365 | 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.60 | 7.2% |
| Marathonbet | 1.94 | 3.28 | 3.76 | 8.6% |
| 1xBet | 1.89 | 3.25 | 3.78 | 10.1% |
| Betfair | 1.91 | 3.25 | 3.60 | 10.9% |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 3.10 | 3.60 | 12.4% |
| SBO | 1.97 | 3.02 | 3.45 | 12.9% |
| Best of all books | 2.02 | 3.46 | 4.01 | 3.3% |
| Average | 1.96 | 3.30 | 3.74 | 8.1% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 00:02 UTC
Concepción
4W 3D 3L · goals 12:7 · per match 1.2 for, 0.7 against
| 11 Oct | H | Union La Calera | 1-1 | D |
| 4 Oct | A | O'Higgins | 0-2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | O'Higgins | 0-1 | L |
| 27 Sep | H | Curico Unido | 2-0 | W |
| 23 Sep | A | Curico Unido | 4-0 | W |
| 13 Sep | A | Colo Colo | 1-1 | D |
| 5 Sep | H | A. Italiano | 0-1 | L |
| 30 Aug | A | Nublense | 1-0 | W |
| 23 Aug | H | Coquimbo Unido | 1-1 | D |
| 16 Aug | A | Cobresal | 2-0 | W |
Union La Calera
2W 4D 4L · goals 10:9 · per match 1.0 for, 0.9 against
| 11 Oct | A | Concepción | 1-1 | D |
| 26 Sep | A | U. Catolica | 0-0 | D |
| 23 Sep | H | U. Catolica | 1-1 | D |
| 14 Sep | H | Deportes Limache | 1-0 | W |
| 6 Sep | A | O'Higgins | 1-2 | L |
| 31 Aug | H | D. La Serena | 0-1 | L |
| 22 Aug | A | A. Italiano | 0-0 | D |
| 16 Aug | A | Nublense | 1-2 | L |
| 9 Aug | H | Colo Colo | 1-2 | L |
| 5 Aug | A | Santiago Wanderers | 4-0 | W |
Head to head
1 meeting · goals 0:1 · last 1: 0W 0D 1L for Concepción
| 14 Apr 2026Primera División | Primera División | Union La Calera1-0Concepción |
Primera División tablePrimera Divisiónupdated 23 Oct 00:20 UTC
In the Primera División table, Concepción sit 8th with 32 points from 24 games, while Union La Calera are 16th with 18 points from 24.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 24 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 50:27 | +23 | 54 |
| 2 | Universidad de Chile | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 41:19 | +22 | 45 |
| 3 | U. Catolica | 23 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 50:33 | +17 | 42 |
| 4 | Everton de Vina | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 40:27 | +13 | 39 |
| 5 | Palestino | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 38:35 | +3 | 37 |
| 6 | Deportes Limache | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 45:37 | +8 | 34 |
| 7 | Coquimbo Unido | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 36:33 | +3 | 32 |
| 8 | Concepción | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 26:27 | -1 | 32 |
| 9 | Nublense | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 28:37 | -9 | 32 |
| 10 | Huachipato | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 33:39 | -6 | 31 |
| 11 | D. La Serena | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 36:41 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 | A. Italiano | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 26:31 | -5 | 28 |
| 13 | O'Higgins | 24 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 28:38 | -10 | 27 |
| 14 | Cobresal | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 35:45 | -10 | 25 |
| 15 | Universidad de Concepcion | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 18:40 | -22 | 23 |
| 16 | Union La Calera | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 20:41 | -21 | 18 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.2% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.15 | 1.75 | 3.7% |
| Betano | 2.22 | 1.70 | 3.9% |
| SBO | 2.19 | 1.68 | 5.2% |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 1.70 | 6.4% |
| Marathonbet | 2.08 | 1.69 | 7.2% |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 1.65 | 8.2% |
| 1xBet | 2.05 | 1.68 | 8.3% |
| BetVictor | 2.03 | 1.67 | 9.1% |
| Best of all books | 2.22 | 1.75 | 2.2% |
| Average | 2.12 | 1.69 | 6.5% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 1.95 | 1.80 | 6.8% |
| 1xBet | 1.90 | 1.82 | 7.6% |
| Bet365 | 1.91 | 1.80 | 7.9% |
| Betfair | 1.85 | 1.85 | 8.1% |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 1.85 | 8.1% |
| BetVictor | 1.85 | 1.83 | 8.7% |
| Marathonbet | 1.86 | 1.82 | 8.7% |
| Best of all books | 1.95 | 1.85 | 5.3% |
| Average | 1.88 | 1.82 | 8.0% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Concepción at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Union La Calera at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.96 | 3.29 | 3.74, which imply roughly 51% for a Concepción win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Primera División table: Concepción are 8th (32 pts, 26-27 goals), Union La Calera 16th (18 pts, 20-41).
Over their last five matches, Concepción averaged 1 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Union La Calera averaged 0.6 scored and 1 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Concepción or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Starting Lineups
Concepción
4-2-3-1Coach: Fernando Díaz
Goalkeeper
- 25N. Araya
Defence
- 4A. Cáceres
- 21N. Rodríguez
- 37F. Grillo
- 29D. Varas
Midfield
- 16M. Sandoval
- 18Y. Rodríguez
- 23C. Riquelme
- 20J. Henríquez
- 30E. Espinoza
Attack
- 32J. Larrivey
Substitutes (9)
- 22M. Dávila
- 19A. Jara
- 40Franco Caceres
- 12N. Veloso
- 8F. Martínez
- 9C. Escobar
- 27D. Acosta
- 3D. Carrasco
- 24M. Cavalleri
Union La Calera
4-2-3-1Coach: J. Armijo
Goalkeeper
- 1N. Avellaneda
Defence
- 25C. Díaz
- 15J. Salomoni
- 27D. Gutiérrez
- 4C. Gutiérrez
Midfield
- 5C. Moya
- 23R. Pérez
- 17M. Hiriart
- 11S. Sáez
- 20J. Cruz
Attack
- 32B. Ferreyra
Substitutes (9)
- 30Maximiliano Fernandez
- 12N. Espinoza
- 19M. Campos
- 21Valentino Torrente
- 6V. Lavin
- 8Y. Leiva
- 7B. Oyarzo
- 3N. Palma
- 29J. Soto
Match Statistics
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.96 | 3.30 | 3.73 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.23 | 1.78 | 1.28 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.42 | 2.68 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.88 | 1.82 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.59 | 2.06 | 4.42 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.67 | 8.80 | 2.47 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.05 | 8.53 |
| 1.5 | 1.35 | 3.02 |
| 2.5 | 2.11 | 1.69 |
| 3.5 | 3.82 | 1.23 |
| 4.5 | 7.65 | 1.06 |
| 5.5 | 16.3 | 1.02 |
| 6.5 | 41.0 | – |
12 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.75 | 1.02 | 8.03 |
| 1 | 1.06 | 6.45 |
| 1.25 | 1.21 | 3.79 |
| 1.75 | 1.44 | 2.61 |
| 2 | 1.59 | 2.28 |
| 2.25 | 1.83 | 1.91 |
| 2.75 | 2.40 | 1.51 |
| 3 | 3.10 | 1.33 |
| 3.25 | 3.34 | 1.26 |
| 3.75 | 4.71 | 1.13 |
| 4 | 6.18 | 1.07 |
| 4.25 | 7.38 | 1.04 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1 | 2.88 | 1.38 |
| -0.75 | 2.26 | 1.58 |
| -0.5 | 1.97 | 1.84 |
| -0.25 | 1.67 | 2.13 |
| 0 | 1.41 | 2.76 |
| +0.25 | 1.32 | 3.19 |
11 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8.05 | 1.03 |
| -2.25 | 8.20 | 1.02 |
| -2 | 6.87 | 1.07 |
| -1.75 | 4.65 | 1.15 |
| -1.5 | 3.68 | 1.25 |
| -1.25 | 3.31 | 1.30 |
| +0.5 | 1.28 | 3.71 |
| +0.75 | 1.14 | 4.73 |
| +1 | 1.04 | 7.50 |
| +1.25 | 1.01 | 8.90 |
| +1.5 | 1.03 | 8.60 |
Cards in match
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 1.47 | 2.55 |
| 5.5 | 1.90 | 1.85 |
| 6.5 | 2.55 | 1.47 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 1.02 | 11.0 |
| 5.5 | 1.06 | 8.00 |
| 6.5 | 1.11 | 5.35 |
| 7.5 | 1.25 | 3.48 |
| 8.5 | 1.48 | 2.47 |
| 9.5 | 1.82 | 1.92 |
| 10.5 | 2.36 | 1.53 |
| 11.5 | 3.11 | 1.30 |
| 12.5 | 4.38 | 1.17 |
| 13.5 | 5.70 | 1.12 |
| 14.5 | 7.50 | 1.07 |
| 15.5 | 9.75 | 1.03 |
7 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.75 | 1.54 | 2.25 |
| 9 | 1.67 | 2.17 |
| 9.25 | 1.75 | 1.96 |
| 9.75 | 1.97 | 1.73 |
| 10 | 2.05 | 1.75 |
| 10.25 | 2.26 | 1.55 |
| 10.75 | 2.56 | 1.40 |
Next Primera División matches
| 23 Oct | A. Italiano – Huachipato |
| 24 Oct | D. La Serena – Concepción |
| 24 Oct | O'Higgins – Cobresal |
| 25 Oct | Nublense – Coquimbo Unido |
| 25 Oct | Union La Calera – U. Catolica |
| 25 Oct | Palestino – Colo Colo |