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Universidad de Chile vs Nublense• Primera División, Chile

#22.4:1.46-0FT12/10 · Estadio Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos, Santiago0.8:1.8#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.57BTNX4.52PIN26.02PINMargin at best2.4%Books10Markets77Rating70 · 30Exp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 12 Oct 16:12 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Betano1.574.506.002.6%
Pinnacle1.524.526.024.5%
Dafabet1.534.405.805.3%
Bet3651.534.105.757.1%
BetVictor1.504.206.007.1%
Marathonbet1.484.205.808.6%
1xBet1.464.105.8110.1%
William Hill1.503.905.5010.5%
Betfair1.444.205.5011.4%
SBO1.443.765.3214.8%
Best of all books1.574.526.022.4%
Average1.504.195.758.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Universidad de ChileNublense
Last 10#2Table position#91.88Points per game1.3310Form pts · last 532.4Goals for · last 50.81.4Goals against · last 51.875Attack rating2556Defence rating4475Form rating2571H2H rating2967Goals model3370Overall rating30

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 00:03 UTC

Universidad de Chile

6W 1D 3L · goals 22:11 · per match 2.2 for, 1.1 against

12 OctHNublense6-0W
7 OctAAntofagasta0-2L
27 SepHEverton de Vina1-1D
27 SepAEverton de Vina1-0W
13 SepAD. La Serena3-0W
6 SepHCoquimbo Unido4-2W
30 AugAUniversidad de Concepcion1-2L
23 AugHColo Colo1-2L
15 AugADeportes Limache3-1W
10 AugHPalestino2-1W

Nublense

3W 1D 6L · goals 10:21 · per match 1.0 for, 2.1 against

12 OctAUniversidad de Chile0-6L
26 SepHD. Puerto Montt2-1W
22 SepAD. Puerto Montt0-2L
12 SepHEverton de Vina1-3L
6 SepAD. La Serena1-2L
3 SepADeportes Limache0-2L
30 AugHConcepción0-1L
23 AugAU. Catolica2-1W
16 AugHUnion La Calera2-1W
11 AugAA. Italiano2-2D

Head to head

4Universidad de Chile wins
4draws
4Nublense wins

12 meetings · goals 19:12 · last 10: 4W 3D 3L for Universidad de Chile

12 Apr 2026Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónNublense1-0Universidad de Chile
20 Jul 2025Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónNublense2-2Universidad de Chile
15 Feb 2025Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónUniversidad de Chile5-0Nublense
20 Nov 2024Copa ChileCopa ChileUniversidad de Chile1-0Nublense
3 Nov 2024Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónNublense1-4Universidad de Chile
26 May 2024Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónUniversidad de Chile0-0Nublense
9 Dec 2023Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónUniversidad de Chile3-1Nublense
20 May 2023Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónNublense1-1Universidad de Chile
17 Jul 2022Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónUniversidad de Chile0-1Nublense
21 Feb 2022Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónNublense3-2Universidad de Chile

Primera División tablePrimera Divisiónupdated 22 Oct 00:10 UTC

In the Primera División table, Universidad de Chile sit 2nd with 45 points from 24 games, while Nublense are 9th with 32 points from 24.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Colo Colo24173450:27+2354
2Universidad de Chile24136541:19+2245
3U. Catolica23133750:33+1742
4Everton de Vina24116740:27+1339
5Palestino24114938:35+337
6Deportes Limache241041045:37+834
7Coquimbo Unido2395936:33+332
8Concepción24951026:27-132
9Nublense2488828:37-932
10Huachipato23941033:39-631
11D. La Serena2479836:41-530
12A. Italiano2377926:31-528
13O'Higgins24831328:38-1027
14Cobresal24741335:45-1025
15Universidad de Concepcion24651318:40-2223
16Union La Calera24461420:41-2118

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg162%1.50X22%4.19216%5.75

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

9 Oct 00:0112 Oct 16:301 1.50X 4.192 5.75
11.49 → 1.50 +0.7%X4.03 → 4.19 +4.0%25.95 → 5.75 -3.4%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.672.283.7%
Betano1.672.254.3%
SBO1.792.035.1%
Bet3651.652.206.1%
Marathonbet1.642.167.3%
Betfair1.652.108.2%
1xBet1.622.158.2%
BetVictor1.632.109.0%
Best of all books1.792.28-0.3%
Average1.672.166.4%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.801.956.8%
Betano1.722.056.9%
William Hill1.702.057.6%
1xBet1.722.027.6%
Bet3651.732.007.8%
Marathonbet1.731.978.6%
BetVictor1.702.008.8%
Best of all books1.802.054.3%
Average1.732.017.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Universidad de Chile 45%Draw 45%Nublense 10%

The statistical model rated Universidad de Chile at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Nublense at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.50 | 4.19 | 5.75, which imply roughly 66.7% for a Universidad de Chile win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera División table: Universidad de Chile are 2nd (45 pts, 41-19 goals), Nublense 9th (32 pts, 28-37).

Over their last five matches, Universidad de Chile averaged 2.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Nublense averaged 0.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Universidad de Chile or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Universidad de Chile

4-2-3-1

Coach: Fernando Gago

Goalkeeper

  • 25G. Castellón

Defence

  • 3I. Lichnovsky
  • 14M. Morales
  • 5N. Ramírez
  • 22M. Zaldivia

Midfield

  • 20C. Aránguiz
  • 28A. Arce
  • 7M. Guerrero
  • 23I. Vásquez

Attack

  • 11E. Vargas
  • 15T. Reinhart

Nublense

3-4-3

Coach: Juan José Ribera

Goalkeeper

  • 1N. Pérez

Defence

  • 15S. Valencia
  • 5F. Campos
  • 6P. Calderón

Midfield

  • 28M. Rivera
  • 21L. Reyes
  • 10M. Plaza
  • 8G. Graciani
  • 14J. Campusano

Attack

  • 20I. Jeraldino
  • 26E. Calderón

Match Statistics

Universidad de ChileNublense
2.69Expected Goals0.56
643Passes accurate200
12Shots insidebox3
6Shots outsidebox4
5Blocked Shots2
12Free Kicks8
10Shots on Goal4
4Goalkeeper Saves4
3Shots off Goal1
726Total passes297
18Total Shots7
1Yellow Cards0
7Corner Kicks3
0Offsides3
0Red Cards1
8Fouls12
71%Ball Possession29%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.504.195.75

Double chance

1XX212
1.112.441.18

Draw no bet

12
1.194.31

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.732.01

1st half

1X2
1.982.385.71

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.4214.02.92

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0212.0
1.51.194.33
2.51.662.16
3.52.591.47
4.54.781.16
5.59.311.06
6.517.21.02
7.541.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.038.90
1.251.086.04
1.751.203.84
21.313.18
2.251.452.57
2.751.801.93
32.051.72
3.252.291.56
3.752.991.32
43.811.21
4.254.321.15
4.755.901.07
58.401.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.752.801.39
-1.52.391.53
-1.252.081.67
-11.851.94
-0.751.622.20
-0.51.512.52
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.58.901.01
-38.101.02
-2.755.581.10
-2.54.331.17
-2.253.951.20
-23.641.25
-0.251.323.13
01.174.52
+0.251.125.00
+0.51.145.75
+0.751.037.60
+11.0110.0

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
4.51.402.80
5.51.752.00
6.52.301.57

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
4.51.0310.3
5.51.077.20
6.51.134.97
7.51.303.08
8.51.592.22
9.51.991.76
10.52.541.45
11.53.481.24
12.54.701.15
13.56.501.09
14.58.501.05
15.510.51.03
8 more lines
LineOverUnder
81.402.87
8.251.482.36
8.751.652.05
91.871.91
9.251.871.81
9.752.151.61
102.321.58
10.252.471.44

Next Primera División matches

23 OctA. Italiano – Huachipato
24 OctD. La Serena – Concepción
24 OctO'Higgins – Cobresal
25 OctNublense – Coquimbo Unido
25 OctUnion La Calera – U. Catolica
25 OctPalestino – Colo Colo

All Primera División fixtures and the table

Latest Primera División results

11 OctDeportes Limache 2-2 Palestino
11 OctConcepción 1-1 Union La Calera
11 OctCoquimbo Unido 5-2 Colo Colo
11 OctEverton de Vina 3-2 D. La Serena
10 OctHuachipato 2-0 O'Higgins
10 OctCobresal 1-1 Universidad de Concepcion