Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Moron• Primera Nacional, Argentina

1.0:1.61-0FT25/10 · Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento, Isidro Casanova0.8:1.8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.17PINX2.80B36522.88BFRMargin at best2.0%Books9Markets65Rating47 · 53 levelExp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 25 Oct 12:12 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.91	2.69	2.99	5.0%
Dafabet	2.80	2.75	2.85	7.2%
BetVictor	2.88	2.75	2.75	7.4%
Betano	2.82	2.72	2.80	7.9%
Bet365	2.80	2.80	2.70	8.5%
William Hill	2.88	2.50	2.88	9.4%
Betfair	2.45	2.63	3.20	10.1%
1xBet	2.68	2.58	2.80	11.8%
Marathonbet	2.68	2.58	2.80	11.8%
Best of all books	2.91	2.80	3.20	1.3%
Average	2.77	2.67	2.86	8.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Almirante BrownDeportivo Moron

Last 102Form pts · last 531.0Goals for · last 50.81.6Goals against · last 51.856Attack rating4453Defence rating4740Form rating6038H2H rating6259Goals model4147Overall rating53

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 25 Oct 00:10 UTC

Almirante Brown

2W 4D 4L · goals 9:11 · per match 0.9 for, 1.1 against

17 Oct	A	Colon Santa Fe	2-2	D
11 Oct	H	San Miguel	1-1	D
4 Oct	A	San Telmo	2-3	L
26 Sep	H	Acassuso	0-1	L
20 Sep	A	Chaco For Ever	0-1	L
13 Sep	H	Ferro Carril Oeste	0-0	D
6 Sep	A	Central Norte	0-0	D
30 Aug	H	Deportivo Madryn	1-0	W
22 Aug	A	Defensores De Belgrano	2-0	W
16 Aug	A	Tristan Suarez	1-3	L

Deportivo Moron

4W 2D 4L · goals 12:14 · per match 1.2 for, 1.4 against

18 Oct	H	Atletico Mitre	0-2	L
11 Oct	A	CA Estudiantes	0-2	L
3 Oct	H	All Boys	2-1	W
27 Sep	A	Los Andes	1-2	L
20 Sep	H	Godoy Cruz	1-2	L
13 Sep	A	Racing Cordoba	2-1	W
5 Sep	A	Colon Santa Fe	2-1	W
30 Aug	H	San Miguel	2-1	W
27 Aug	A	Central Norte	0-0	D
21 Aug	A	San Telmo	2-2	D

Head to head

1Almirante Brown wins

6draws

5Deportivo Moron wins

12 meetings · goals 11:16 · last 10: 1W 6D 3L for Almirante Brown

7 Jun 2026Primera Nacional	Primera Nacional	Deportivo Moron1-0Almirante Brown
14 Jun 2025Primera Nacional	Primera Nacional	Deportivo Moron2-0Almirante Brown
9 Feb 2025Primera Nacional	Primera Nacional	Almirante Brown1-1Deportivo Moron
25 Aug 2024Primera Nacional	Primera Nacional	Deportivo Moron0-1Almirante Brown
6 Apr 2024Primera Nacional	Primera Nacional	Almirante Brown1-1Deportivo Moron
27 Aug 2023Primera Nacional	Primera Nacional	Almirante Brown0-1Deportivo Moron
15 Apr 2023Primera Nacional	Primera Nacional	Deportivo Moron2-2Almirante Brown
18 Jun 2022Primera Nacional	Primera Nacional	Almirante Brown1-1Deportivo Moron
21 Jun 2017Primera B Metropolitana	Primera B Metropolitana	Deportivo Moron0-0Almirante Brown
6 Dec 2016Primera B Metropolitana	Primera B Metropolitana	Almirante Brown1-1Deportivo Moron

Primera Nacional tableGroup 2updated 26 Oct 01:00 UTC

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Tristan Suarez	35	16	15	4	34:16	+18	63
2	Atlanta	35	19	4	12	42:34	+8	61
3	Temperley	35	16	12	7	41:29	+12	60
4	Gimnasia Jujuy	35	16	10	9	52:44	+8	58
5	Midland	35	15	9	11	43:29	+14	54
6	Gimnasia Y Tiro	35	14	10	11	37:34	+3	52
7	Deportivo Maipu	35	14	9	12	43:34	+9	51
8	Colegiales	35	14	9	12	36:32	+4	51
9	San Martin S.J.	34	12	11	11	36:34	+2	47
10	San Martin Tucuman	35	11	13	11	39:37	+2	46
11	Atletico DE Rafaela	35	12	10	13	29:35	-6	46
12	Agropecuario	35	11	10	14	29:38	-9	43
13	Quilmes	35	11	9	15	32:30	+2	42
14	Almagro	35	11	9	15	32:42	-10	42
15	Chacarita Juniors	35	11	6	18	27:35	-8	39
16	Patronato	35	7	16	12	29:35	-6	37
17	Nueva Chicago	34	9	9	16	24:33	-9	36
18	Club Atlético Güemes	35	6	8	21	26:60	-34	26

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg131%2.97X34%2.67235%2.63

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.48 → 2.97 +19.8%X2.65 → 2.67 +0.8%23.19 → 2.63 -17.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	3.40	1.33	4.6%
Pinnacle	3.33	1.33	5.2%
BetVictor	3.25	1.30	7.7%
Betfair	3.30	1.29	7.8%
Betano	3.00	1.34	8.0%
1xBet	3.05	1.28	10.9%
Marathonbet	3.05	1.28	10.9%
Best of all books	3.40	1.34	4.0%
Average	3.20	1.31	7.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	2.50	1.50	6.7%
Betfair	2.38	1.53	7.4%
Betano	2.35	1.53	7.9%
William Hill	2.30	1.55	8.0%
1xBet	2.38	1.51	8.2%
BetVictor	2.40	1.50	8.3%
Marathonbet	2.38	1.49	9.1%
Best of all books	2.50	1.55	4.5%
Average	2.38	1.52	7.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Almirante Brown 10%Draw 45%Deportivo Moron 45%

The statistical model rated Almirante Brown at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Deportivo Moron at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.97 | 2.67 | 2.63, which imply roughly 37.5% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Almirante Brown averaged 1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Deportivo Moron averaged 0.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Deportivo Moron.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.77	2.67	2.86

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.37	1.38	1.40

Draw no bet

1	2
1.85	1.86

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.38	1.52

1st half

1	X	2
3.67	1.76	3.87

2nd half

1	X	2
3.24	1.99	3.33

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.64	15.1	44.6
HT X	5.70	3.41	5.96
HT 2	44.6	15.4	4.97

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.08	5.03	2.30

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.13	5.18
1.5	1.69	2.08
2.5	3.20	1.31
3.5	6.82	1.08
4.5	14.1	1.02
5.5	31.0	–

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.14	4.40
1	1.19	3.74
1.25	1.45	2.52
1.75	1.90	1.80
2	2.33	1.53
2.25	2.72	1.40
2.75	3.89	1.18
3	5.70	1.08
3.25	6.16	1.06
3.75	8.78	1.01
4	10.0	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	3.42	1.27
-0.5	2.79	1.41
-0.25	2.31	1.55
0	1.87	1.86
+0.25	1.54	2.33
+0.5	1.42	2.77

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	8.82	1.01
-1.5	6.80	1.06
-1.25	6.04	1.10
-1	5.66	1.11
+0.75	1.24	3.63
+1	1.10	5.95
+1.25	1.07	6.38
+1.5	1.06	7.00

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.08	5.25
6.5	1.30	3.08
7.5	1.61	2.17
8.5	2.03	1.72
9.5	2.53	1.44
10.5	3.53	1.21
11.5	5.38	1.07

18 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5.75	1.09	4.99
6	1.10	4.72
6.25	1.18	3.78
6.75	1.29	3.04
7	1.34	2.85
7.25	1.44	2.50
7.75	1.62	2.14
8	1.81	1.95
8.25	1.83	1.87
8.75	2.08	1.66
9	2.26	1.57
9.25	2.40	1.48
9.75	2.81	1.35
10	3.21	1.26
10.25	3.38	1.23
10.75	4.11	1.15
11	4.96	1.09
11.25	5.17	1.08

Next Primera Nacional matches

26 Oct

Nueva Chicago – San Martin S.J.

All Primera Nacional fixtures and the table

Latest Primera Nacional results

25 Oct	Midland 3-0 Gimnasia Y Tiro
25 Oct	Deportivo Maipu 3-1 Club Atlético Güemes
25 Oct	Atletico Mitre 0-3 Godoy Cruz
25 Oct	Racing Cordoba 1-2 All Boys
25 Oct	Temperley 0-1 Chacarita Juniors
25 Oct	Patronato 0-2 Agropecuario