Nueva Chicago vs San Martin S.J.• Primera Nacional, Argentina

#170.6:1.016:00Today · Estadio Nueva Chicago, Buenos Aires1.0:1.4#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.63BFRX2.90B36523.75B365Margin9.1%Books10Markets68Rating46 · 55Exp. goals L52.0

Price board · 1X2captured 26 Oct 06:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.61	2.90	3.11	5.0%
Dafabet	2.43	2.90	3.20	6.9%
BetVictor	2.38	2.88	3.30	7.0%
Betano	2.62	2.72	3.05	7.7%
Bet365	2.10	2.90	3.75	8.8%
William Hill	2.60	2.62	3.00	10.0%
1xBet	2.51	2.68	2.99	10.6%
Betfair	2.63	2.75	2.75	10.8%
Marathonbet	2.49	2.68	2.91	11.8%
SBO	2.52	2.59	2.56	17.4%
Best of all books	2.63	2.90	3.75	-0.8%
Average	2.49	2.76	3.06	9.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Nueva ChicagoSan Martin S.J.

Last 10#17Table position#91.06Points per game1.384Form pts · last 550.6Goals for · last 51.01.0Goals against · last 51.438Attack rating6358Defence rating4244Form rating5638H2H rating6255Goals model4546Overall rating55

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 24 Oct 00:02 UTC

Nueva Chicago

2W 1D 7L · goals 4:10 · per match 0.4 for, 1.0 against

18 Oct	H	Gimnasia Jujuy	0-1	L
11 Oct	A	Temperley	1-2	L
5 Oct	H	Deportivo Maipu	0-1	L
27 Sep	A	Almagro	1-0	W
21 Sep	H	Patronato	1-1	D
12 Sep	A	Colegiales	0-1	L
7 Sep	H	Quilmes	1-0	W
29 Aug	A	Midland	0-2	L
26 Aug	A	San Martin S.J.	0-1	L
22 Aug	H	Atlanta	0-1	L

San Martin S.J.

4W 3D 3L · goals 10:10 · per match 1.0 for, 1.0 against

18 Oct	H	Temperley	1-1	D
11 Oct	A	Deportivo Maipu	1-1	D
4 Oct	H	Almagro	1-2	L
27 Sep	A	Patronato	0-3	L
20 Sep	H	Colegiales	2-0	W
16 Sep	H	Tristan Suarez	0-0	D
12 Sep	A	Quilmes	0-1	L
6 Sep	H	Midland	3-2	W
30 Aug	A	Atlanta	1-0	W
26 Aug	H	Nueva Chicago	1-0	W

Head to head

2Nueva Chicago wins

3draws

6San Martin S.J. wins

11 meetings · goals 5:10 · last 10: 2W 3D 5L for Nueva Chicago

26 Aug 2026Primera Nacional	Primera Nacional	San Martin S.J.1-0Nueva Chicago
1 Dec 2024Primera Nacional	Primera Nacional	San Martin S.J.1-0Nueva Chicago
24 Nov 2024Primera Nacional	Primera Nacional	Nueva Chicago2-1San Martin S.J.
16 Aug 2023Primera Nacional	Primera Nacional	Nueva Chicago0-0San Martin S.J.
6 Apr 2023Primera Nacional	Primera Nacional	San Martin S.J.0-0Nueva Chicago
21 May 2022Primera Nacional	Primera Nacional	San Martin S.J.3-1Nueva Chicago
29 Nov 2020Primera Nacional	Primera Nacional	San Martin S.J.1-0Nueva Chicago
16 Nov 2019Primera Nacional	Primera Nacional	San Martin S.J.1-0Nueva Chicago
27 Jul 2015Liga Profesional Argentina	Liga Profesional Argentina	Nueva Chicago0-0San Martin S.J.
1 Nov 2014Primera Nacional	Primera Nacional	Nueva Chicago2-0San Martin S.J.

Primera Nacional tableGroup 2updated 26 Oct 01:00 UTC

In the Primera Nacional table, Nueva Chicago sit 17th with 36 points from 34 games, while San Martin S.J. are 9th with 47 points from 34.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Tristan Suarez	35	16	15	4	34:16	+18	63
2	Atlanta	35	19	4	12	42:34	+8	61
3	Temperley	35	16	12	7	41:29	+12	60
4	Gimnasia Jujuy	35	16	10	9	52:44	+8	58
5	Midland	35	15	9	11	43:29	+14	54
6	Gimnasia Y Tiro	35	14	10	11	37:34	+3	52
7	Deportivo Maipu	35	14	9	12	43:34	+9	51
8	Colegiales	35	14	9	12	36:32	+4	51
9	San Martin S.J.	34	12	11	11	36:34	+2	47
10	San Martin Tucuman	35	11	13	11	39:37	+2	46
11	Atletico DE Rafaela	35	12	10	13	29:35	-6	46
12	Agropecuario	35	11	10	14	29:38	-9	43
13	Quilmes	35	11	9	15	32:30	+2	42
14	Almagro	35	11	9	15	32:42	-10	42
15	Chacarita Juniors	35	11	6	18	27:35	-8	39
16	Patronato	35	7	16	12	29:35	-6	37
17	Nueva Chicago	34	9	9	16	24:33	-9	36
18	Club Atlético Güemes	35	6	8	21	26:60	-34	26

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg137%2.49X33%2.76230%3.06

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 9.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.67 → 2.49 -6.7%X2.74 → 2.76 +0.7%22.75 → 3.06 +11.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.97	1.39	5.6%
Bet365	3.10	1.36	5.8%
BetVictor	2.90	1.36	8.0%
Betano	2.80	1.38	8.2%
Betfair	2.88	1.36	8.3%
1xBet	2.70	1.36	10.6%
Marathonbet	2.70	1.36	10.6%
Best of all books	3.10	1.39	4.2%
Average	2.86	1.37	8.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	2.25	1.60	6.9%
Bet365	2.38	1.53	7.4%
Betano	2.22	1.60	7.5%
William Hill	2.25	1.57	8.1%
1xBet	2.19	1.59	8.6%
BetVictor	2.25	1.55	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.19	1.57	9.4%
Best of all books	2.38	1.60	4.5%
Average	2.25	1.57	8.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Nueva Chicago 10%Draw 45%San Martin S.J. 45%

The statistical model rates Nueva Chicago at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and San Martin S.J. at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.49 | 2.76 | 3.06, which imply roughly 36.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera Nacional table: Nueva Chicago are 17th (36 pts, 24-33 goals), San Martin S.J. 9th (47 pts, 36-34).

Over their last five matches, Nueva Chicago averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; San Martin S.J. averaged 1 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or San Martin S.J. and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.49	2.76	3.06

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.34	1.43	1.37

Draw no bet

1	2
1.75	1.99

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.25	1.57

1st half

1	X	2
3.47	1.81	3.84

2nd half

1	X	2
3.00	2.05	3.44

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.45	14.4	39.6
HT X	5.62	3.64	6.03
HT 2	38.6	14.7	4.89

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.08	5.35	2.25

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.12	5.57
1.5	1.60	2.22
2.5	2.86	1.37
3.5	5.87	1.10
4.5	12.4	1.02
5.5	34.0	–

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.12	4.65
1	1.16	4.10
1.25	1.39	2.74
1.75	1.79	1.93
2	2.10	1.65
2.25	2.44	1.48
2.75	3.29	1.25
3	4.55	1.13
3.25	4.90	1.11
3.75	6.75	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	3.13	1.31
-0.5	2.53	1.49
-0.25	2.10	1.66
0	1.70	2.06
+0.25	1.47	2.51
+0.5	1.38	2.92

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	7.20	1.03
-1.5	5.68	1.10
-1.25	5.22	1.12
-1	4.77	1.15
+0.75	1.23	3.73
+1	1.10	5.92
+1.25	1.08	6.24
+1.5	1.07	6.77
+1.75	1.01	8.70

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.05	5.93
6.5	1.21	3.63
7.5	1.46	2.49
8.5	1.83	1.87
9.5	2.35	1.51
10.5	3.14	1.27
11.5	4.72	1.10
12.5	7.16	1.01

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5.75	1.06	5.65
6	1.07	5.37
6.25	1.14	4.22
6.75	1.24	3.35
7	1.27	3.16
7.25	1.37	2.73
7.75	1.53	2.31
8	1.61	2.18
8.25	1.72	2.00
8.75	1.94	1.77
9	2.10	1.67
9.25	2.22	1.58
9.75	2.57	1.42
10	2.72	1.40
10.25	3.04	1.29
10.75	3.65	1.20
11	4.32	1.13
11.25	4.53	1.12
11.75	5.59	1.06
12	7.00	1.02
12.25	6.93	1.02

Latest Primera Nacional results

25 Oct	Deportivo Maipu 3-1 Club Atlético Güemes
25 Oct	Midland 3-0 Gimnasia Y Tiro
25 Oct	Atletico Mitre 0-3 Godoy Cruz
25 Oct	Temperley 0-1 Chacarita Juniors
25 Oct	Patronato 0-2 Agropecuario
25 Oct	Racing Cordoba 1-2 All Boys