Midland vs Gimnasia Y Tiro• Primera Nacional, Argentina

#51.6:0.83-0FT25/10 · Raul Roberto Sabureau Stadium, Buenos Aires1.2:1.0#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.73WHX3.50B36526.60PINMargin at best1.5%Books10Markets78Rating59 · 41Exp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 25 Oct 18:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.64	3.40	6.60	5.5%
Dafabet	1.69	3.45	5.40	6.7%
Bet365	1.65	3.50	5.50	7.4%
BetVictor	1.67	3.40	5.50	7.5%
Betano	1.67	3.45	5.20	8.1%
William Hill	1.73	3.20	5.00	9.1%
1xBet	1.64	3.22	5.39	10.6%
Betfair	1.70	3.10	5.00	11.1%
Marathonbet	1.62	3.22	5.25	11.8%
SBO	1.71	2.97	4.38	15.0%
Best of all books	1.73	3.50	6.60	1.5%
Average	1.67	3.29	5.32	9.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MidlandGimnasia Y Tiro

Last 10#5Table position#61.54Points per game1.497Form pts · last 571.6Goals for · last 51.20.8Goals against · last 51.057Attack rating4356Defence rating4450Form rating500H2H rating10072Goals model2859Overall rating41

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 25 Oct 00:10 UTC

Midland

4W 1D 5L · goals 14:12 · per match 1.4 for, 1.2 against

18 Oct	A	San Martin Tucuman	2-3	L
10 Oct	H	Atletico DE Rafaela	4-0	W
4 Oct	A	Agropecuario	0-0	D
27 Sep	H	Tristan Suarez	0-1	L
20 Sep	A	Club Atlético Güemes	2-0	W
13 Sep	H	Chacarita Juniors	1-0	W
6 Sep	A	San Martin S.J.	2-3	L
2 Sep	A	Colegiales	0-3	L
29 Aug	H	Nueva Chicago	2-0	W
23 Aug	A	Temperley	1-2	L

Gimnasia Y Tiro

4W 3D 3L · goals 11:9 · per match 1.1 for, 0.9 against

17 Oct	H	Atlanta	3-1	W
11 Oct	A	Gimnasia Jujuy	2-2	D
4 Oct	A	San Martin Tucuman	0-1	L
27 Sep	H	Atletico DE Rafaela	1-0	W
20 Sep	A	Agropecuario	0-1	L
12 Sep	H	Tristan Suarez	0-0	D
6 Sep	A	Club Atlético Güemes	3-1	W
29 Aug	H	Chacarita Juniors	1-0	W
22 Aug	A	San Martin S.J.	1-3	L
16 Aug	A	Central Norte	0-0	D

Head to head

0Midland wins

0draws

1Gimnasia Y Tiro wins

1 meeting · goals 0:1 · last 1: 0W 0D 1L for Midland

6 Jun 2026Primera Nacional

Primera Nacional

Gimnasia Y Tiro1-0Midland

Primera Nacional tableGroup 2updated 26 Oct 01:00 UTC

In the Primera Nacional table, Midland sit 5th with 54 points from 35 games, while Gimnasia Y Tiro are 6th with 52 points from 35.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Tristan Suarez	35	16	15	4	34:16	+18	63
2	Atlanta	35	19	4	12	42:34	+8	61
3	Temperley	35	16	12	7	41:29	+12	60
4	Gimnasia Jujuy	35	16	10	9	52:44	+8	58
5	Midland	35	15	9	11	43:29	+14	54
6	Gimnasia Y Tiro	35	14	10	11	37:34	+3	52
7	Deportivo Maipu	35	14	9	12	43:34	+9	51
8	Colegiales	35	14	9	12	36:32	+4	51
9	San Martin S.J.	34	12	11	11	36:34	+2	47
10	San Martin Tucuman	35	11	13	11	39:37	+2	46
11	Atletico DE Rafaela	35	12	10	13	29:35	-6	46
12	Agropecuario	35	11	10	14	29:38	-9	43
13	Quilmes	35	11	9	15	32:30	+2	42
14	Almagro	35	11	9	15	32:42	-10	42
15	Chacarita Juniors	35	11	6	18	27:35	-8	39
16	Patronato	35	7	16	12	29:35	-6	37
17	Nueva Chicago	34	9	9	16	24:33	-9	36
18	Club Atlético Güemes	35	6	8	21	26:60	-34	26

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg155%1.67X28%3.29217%5.32

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.98 → 1.67 -15.7%X2.92 → 3.29 +12.7%24.13 → 5.32 +28.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.40	1.58	5.0%
Bet365	2.40	1.53	7.0%
Betano	2.40	1.53	7.0%
Betfair	2.55	1.45	8.2%
BetVictor	2.27	1.54	9.0%
1xBet	2.33	1.51	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.33	1.51	9.1%
Best of all books	2.55	1.58	2.5%
Average	2.38	1.52	7.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	2.25	1.60	6.9%
Bet365	2.38	1.53	7.4%
Betano	2.30	1.55	8.0%
Betfair	2.25	1.57	8.1%
BetVictor	2.25	1.57	8.1%
1xBet	2.23	1.57	8.5%
Marathonbet	2.23	1.55	9.4%
Best of all books	2.38	1.60	4.5%
Average	2.27	1.56	8.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Midland 10%Draw 45%Gimnasia Y Tiro 45%

The statistical model rated Midland at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Gimnasia Y Tiro at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.67 | 3.29 | 5.32, which imply roughly 30.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera Nacional table: Midland are 5th (54 pts, 43-29 goals), Gimnasia Y Tiro 6th (52 pts, 37-34).

Over their last five matches, Midland averaged 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Gimnasia Y Tiro averaged 1.2 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Gimnasia Y Tiro.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.67	3.29	5.32

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.13	2.05	1.26

Draw no bet

1	2
1.24	3.74

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.27	1.56

1st half

1	X	2
2.33	1.98	5.98

2nd half

1	X	2
2.08	2.27	5.22

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.64	15.5	51.4
HT X	4.16	4.38	10.1
HT 2	29.4	16.5	9.26

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.55	6.65	3.17

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.07	6.93
1.5	1.45	2.56
2.5	2.38	1.52
3.5	4.61	1.16
4.5	9.33	1.03
5.5	16.5	1.01
6.5	50.5	–

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.07	5.75
1	1.10	5.15
1.25	1.34	2.97
1.75	1.58	2.23
2	1.77	1.94
2.25	2.05	1.69
2.75	2.71	1.37
3	3.50	1.22
3.25	3.92	1.18
3.75	5.40	1.09
4	7.70	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	3.01	1.34
-1.25	2.64	1.42
-1	2.25	1.59
-0.75	1.84	1.88
-0.5	1.67	2.14
-0.25	1.43	2.64

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.75	7.70	1.03
-2.5	6.20	1.08
-2.25	5.78	1.09
-2	5.32	1.11
-1.75	3.74	1.23
0	1.22	3.91
+0.25	1.16	4.72
+0.5	1.16	5.32
+0.75	1.07	6.80
+1	1.01	9.65
+1.25	1.01	9.00
+1.5	1.01	10.0

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.03	6.38
6.5	1.19	3.67
7.5	1.46	2.50
8.5	1.85	1.87
9.5	2.34	1.52
10.5	3.06	1.29
11.5	4.39	1.13
12.5	6.84	1.02

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5.75	1.04	6.10
6	1.05	5.81
6.25	1.12	4.50
6.75	1.21	3.56
7	1.24	3.36
7.25	1.33	2.87
7.75	1.48	2.41
8	1.57	2.27
8.25	1.66	2.08
8.75	1.87	1.83
9	2.03	1.72
9.25	2.12	1.63
9.75	2.44	1.47
10	2.72	1.37
10.25	2.88	1.33
10.75	3.42	1.23
11	4.01	1.16
11.25	4.20	1.14
11.75	5.15	1.08
12	6.38	1.03
12.25	6.61	1.03

Next Primera Nacional matches

26 Oct

Nueva Chicago – San Martin S.J.

All Primera Nacional fixtures and the table

Latest Primera Nacional results

25 Oct	Deportivo Maipu 3-1 Club Atlético Güemes
25 Oct	Atletico Mitre 0-3 Godoy Cruz
25 Oct	Temperley 0-1 Chacarita Juniors
25 Oct	Patronato 0-2 Agropecuario
25 Oct	Racing Cordoba 1-2 All Boys
25 Oct	Gimnasia Jujuy 1-2 Atlanta