Patronato vs Agropecuario• Primera Nacional, Argentina

#161.2:0.60-2FT25/100.4:0.8#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.76PINX3.39PIN25.07PINMargin at best6.0%Books10Markets77Rating58 · 42Exp. goals L51.5

Price board · 1X2captured 25 Oct 18:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.72	3.49	5.35	5.5%
Dafabet	1.76	3.35	4.90	7.1%
BetVictor	1.73	3.25	5.25	7.6%
Bet365	1.73	3.30	5.00	8.1%
Betano	1.75	3.35	4.65	8.5%
William Hill	1.73	3.25	5.00	8.6%
Betfair	1.73	3.25	4.60	10.3%
1xBet	1.70	3.22	4.82	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.68	3.22	4.70	11.9%
SBO	1.66	3.04	4.55	15.1%
Best of all books	1.76	3.49	5.35	4.2%
Average	1.72	3.27	4.88	9.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

PatronatoAgropecuario

Last 10#16Table position#121.06Points per game1.237Form pts · last 571.2Goals for · last 50.40.6Goals against · last 50.875Attack rating2557Defence rating4350Form rating5038H2H rating6271Goals model2958Overall rating42

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 25 Oct 00:10 UTC

Patronato

3W 4D 3L · goals 11:7 · per match 1.1 for, 0.7 against

17 Oct	A	Tristan Suarez	0-1	L
11 Oct	H	Club Atlético Güemes	2-0	W
4 Oct	A	Chacarita Juniors	0-1	L
27 Sep	H	San Martin S.J.	3-0	W
21 Sep	A	Nueva Chicago	1-1	D
13 Sep	H	Temperley	0-0	D
6 Sep	A	Deportivo Maipu	0-0	D
30 Aug	H	Almagro	0-1	L
26 Aug	H	Atlanta	2-0	W
22 Aug	H	Gimnasia Jujuy	3-3	D

Agropecuario

4W 2D 4L · goals 6:10 · per match 0.6 for, 1.0 against

17 Oct	H	Colegiales	0-3	L
10 Oct	A	Quilmes	1-0	W
4 Oct	H	Midland	0-0	D
27 Sep	A	Atlanta	0-1	L
20 Sep	H	Gimnasia Y Tiro	1-0	W
13 Sep	A	San Martin Tucuman	0-3	L
6 Sep	H	Atletico DE Rafaela	2-0	W
1 Sep	A	Gimnasia Jujuy	1-1	D
22 Aug	A	Tristan Suarez	0-2	L
15 Aug	H	Ciudad de Bolívar	1-0	W

Head to head

1Patronato wins

2draws

2Agropecuario wins

5 meetings · goals 7:5 · last 5: 1W 2D 2L for Patronato

7 Jun 2026Primera Nacional	Primera Nacional	Agropecuario1-1Patronato
23 Jun 2024Primera Nacional	Primera Nacional	Patronato4-0Agropecuario
2 Feb 2024Primera Nacional	Primera Nacional	Agropecuario1-0Patronato
16 Oct 2023Primera Nacional	Primera Nacional	Patronato1-1Agropecuario
3 Jun 2023Primera Nacional	Primera Nacional	Agropecuario2-1Patronato

Primera Nacional tableGroup 2updated 26 Oct 01:00 UTC

In the Primera Nacional table, Patronato sit 16th with 37 points from 35 games, while Agropecuario are 12th with 43 points from 35.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Tristan Suarez	35	16	15	4	34:16	+18	63
2	Atlanta	35	19	4	12	42:34	+8	61
3	Temperley	35	16	12	7	41:29	+12	60
4	Gimnasia Jujuy	35	16	10	9	52:44	+8	58
5	Midland	35	15	9	11	43:29	+14	54
6	Gimnasia Y Tiro	35	14	10	11	37:34	+3	52
7	Deportivo Maipu	35	14	9	12	43:34	+9	51
8	Colegiales	35	14	9	12	36:32	+4	51
9	San Martin S.J.	34	12	11	11	36:34	+2	47
10	San Martin Tucuman	35	11	13	11	39:37	+2	46
11	Atletico DE Rafaela	35	12	10	13	29:35	-6	46
12	Agropecuario	35	11	10	14	29:38	-9	43
13	Quilmes	35	11	9	15	32:30	+2	42
14	Almagro	35	11	9	15	32:42	-10	42
15	Chacarita Juniors	35	11	6	18	27:35	-8	39
16	Patronato	35	7	16	12	29:35	-6	37
17	Nueva Chicago	34	9	9	16	24:33	-9	36
18	Club Atlético Güemes	35	6	8	21	26:60	-34	26

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg153%1.72X28%3.27219%4.88

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.62 → 1.74 +7.4%X3.39 → 3.26 -3.8%25.63 → 4.83 -14.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.52	1.53	5.0%
Bet365	2.50	1.50	6.7%
Betano	2.45	1.50	7.5%
Betfair	2.55	1.45	8.2%
BetVictor	2.36	1.50	9.0%
1xBet	2.41	1.48	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.41	1.48	9.1%
Best of all books	2.55	1.53	4.6%
Average	2.46	1.49	7.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	2.20	1.62	7.2%
Bet365	2.38	1.53	7.4%
Betano	2.30	1.55	8.0%
Betfair	2.25	1.57	8.1%
1xBet	2.21	1.58	8.5%
BetVictor	2.25	1.55	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.21	1.56	9.4%
Best of all books	2.38	1.62	3.7%
Average	2.26	1.57	8.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Patronato 45%Draw 45%Agropecuario 10%

The statistical model rated Patronato at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Agropecuario at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.72 | 3.27 | 4.88, which imply roughly 58.1% for a Patronato win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera Nacional table: Patronato are 16th (37 pts, 29-35 goals), Agropecuario 12th (43 pts, 29-38).

Over their last five matches, Patronato averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Agropecuario averaged 0.4 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Patronato or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.72	3.27	4.88

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.14	1.98	1.27

Draw no bet

1	2
1.27	3.46

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.26	1.57

1st half

1	X	2
2.41	1.97	5.54

2nd half

1	X	2
2.16	2.24	4.99

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.71	15.9	50.6
HT X	4.21	4.38	9.63
HT 2	28.7	16.2	8.40

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.59	6.63	3.05

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.07	6.82
1.5	1.47	2.49
2.5	2.46	1.49
3.5	4.87	1.14
4.5	9.63	1.02
5.5	18.2	1.01
6.5	50.5	–

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.06	6.10
1	1.09	5.35
1.25	1.26	3.21
1.75	1.60	2.18
2	1.84	1.87
2.25	2.12	1.64
2.75	2.84	1.34
3	3.82	1.18
3.25	4.26	1.15
3.75	5.95	1.07
4	8.70	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	3.30	1.29
-1.25	2.88	1.36
-1	2.46	1.50
-0.75	1.97	1.77
-0.5	1.73	2.06
-0.25	1.48	2.46

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	6.93	1.06
-2.25	6.70	1.07
-2	6.30	1.07
-1.75	4.29	1.18
0	1.26	3.52
+0.25	1.20	4.11
+0.5	1.19	4.61
+0.75	1.08	6.17
+1	1.02	9.00
+1.5	1.01	10.0

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.10	4.81
7.5	1.27	3.12
8.5	1.59	2.21
9.5	1.97	1.77
10.5	2.55	1.45
11.5	3.37	1.23
12.5	4.99	1.09

22 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.02	6.82
6.25	1.08	5.16
6.75	1.11	4.58
7	1.13	4.34
7.25	1.21	3.57
7.75	1.32	2.93
8	1.36	2.76
8.25	1.46	2.46
8.75	1.63	2.13
9	1.79	1.99
9.25	1.83	1.87
9.75	2.06	1.68
10	2.20	1.62
10.25	2.36	1.50
10.75	2.73	1.37
11	3.08	1.29
11.25	3.24	1.26
11.75	3.88	1.17
12	4.60	1.11
12.25	4.80	1.10
12.75	5.76	1.05
13	7.17	1.01

Next Primera Nacional matches

26 Oct

Nueva Chicago – San Martin S.J.

All Primera Nacional fixtures and the table

Latest Primera Nacional results

25 Oct	Deportivo Maipu 3-1 Club Atlético Güemes
25 Oct	Midland 3-0 Gimnasia Y Tiro
25 Oct	Atletico Mitre 0-3 Godoy Cruz
25 Oct	Temperley 0-1 Chacarita Juniors
25 Oct	Racing Cordoba 1-2 All Boys
25 Oct	Gimnasia Jujuy 1-2 Atlanta