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Shelbourne vs Waterford• Premier Division, Ireland

#42.4:1.019:45Today · Tolka Park, Dublin2.2:2.0#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.02BTNX3.95PIN23.42PINMargin at best4.1%Books10Markets86Rating59 · 41Exp. goals L53.8

Price board · 1X2captured 30 Oct 08:05 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.024.023.423.6%
1xBet1.963.843.347.0%
Dafabet2.013.753.257.2%
Marathonbet1.943.843.347.5%
Betano2.023.703.207.8%
Betfair1.953.803.307.9%
BetVictor1.953.703.209.6%
Bet3651.903.803.259.7%
William Hill1.953.603.259.8%
SBO1.993.282.9314.9%
Best of all books2.024.023.423.6%
Average1.973.733.258.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ShelbourneWaterford
Last 10#4Table position#81.40Points per game1.1413Form pts · last 592.4Goals for · last 52.21.0Goals against · last 52.052Attack rating4867Defence rating3365Form rating3562H2H rating3854Goals model4659Overall rating41

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 30 Oct 00:02 UTC

Shelbourne

4W 4D 2L · goals 16:11 · per match 1.6 for, 1.1 against

23 OctABohemians1-0W
16 OctASt Patrick's Athl.2-1W
9 OctHSligo Rovers5-1W
25 SepAGalway United1-1D
18 SepADundalk3-2W
14 SepHDrogheda United1-2L
11 SepHDerry City0-1L
4 SepAShamrock Rovers0-0D
28 AugAGalway United1-1D
13 AugHAjax2-2D

Waterford

5W 3D 2L · goals 19:11 · per match 1.9 for, 1.1 against

23 OctHDrogheda United3-1W
19 OctHGalway United3-2W
16 OctABohemians1-2L
9 OctABohemians2-0W
18 SepAShamrock Rovers2-3L
14 SepHDerry City2-2D
11 SepHDundalk1-1D
4 SepHSligo Rovers3-0W
28 AugASt Patrick's Athl.2-0W
21 AugASligo Rovers0-0D

Head to head

9Shelbourne wins
3draws
3Waterford wins

15 meetings · goals 20:11 · last 10: 6W 2D 2L for Shelbourne

2 Aug 2026Premier DivisionPremier DivisionWaterford1-0Shelbourne
22 May 2026Premier DivisionPremier DivisionShelbourne2-1Waterford
6 Feb 2026Premier DivisionPremier DivisionWaterford1-1Shelbourne
26 Sep 2025Premier DivisionPremier DivisionShelbourne2-1Waterford
23 Jun 2025Premier DivisionPremier DivisionWaterford2-2Shelbourne
5 May 2025Premier DivisionPremier DivisionShelbourne0-1Waterford
21 Feb 2025Premier DivisionPremier DivisionWaterford0-1Shelbourne
18 Jan 2025Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsShelbourne4-1Waterford
18 Oct 2024Premier DivisionPremier DivisionShelbourne3-1Waterford
13 Jun 2024Premier DivisionPremier DivisionWaterford0-1Shelbourne

Premier Division tablePremier Divisionupdated 30 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the Premier Division table, Shelbourne sit 4th with 49 points from 35 games, while Waterford are 8th with 40 points from 35.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Shamrock Rovers35208758:35+2368
2Bohemians35188960:42+1862
3St Patrick's Athl.35179953:28+2560
4Shelbourne3512131050:47+349
5Derry City3511141048:45+347
6Galway United3510121346:51-542
7Dundalk3510121352:58-642
8Waterford359131351:59-840
9Drogheda United359101642:57-1537
10Sligo Rovers35592126:64-3824

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg147%1.97X25%3.72228%3.26

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

27 Oct 00:0030 Oct 03:101 1.97X 3.722 3.26
11.87 → 1.97 +5.3%X3.85 → 3.72 -3.4%23.54 → 3.26 -7.9%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.522.594.4%
Betfair1.502.555.9%
Bet3651.502.506.7%
Betano1.522.427.1%
BetVictor1.502.369.0%
1xBet1.462.3810.5%
Marathonbet1.462.3810.5%
Best of all books1.522.594.4%
Average1.492.457.7%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.472.636.1%
Bet3651.502.506.7%
Betano1.472.527.7%
1xBet1.462.538.0%
Marathonbet1.462.498.7%
BetVictor1.442.558.7%
William Hill1.442.509.4%
Best of all books1.502.634.7%
Average1.462.537.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Shelbourne 45%Draw 45%Waterford 10%

The statistical model rates Shelbourne at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Waterford at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.97 | 3.72 | 3.26, which imply roughly 50.8% for a Shelbourne win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier Division table: Shelbourne are 4th (49 pts, 50-47 goals), Waterford 8th (40 pts, 51-59).

Over their last five matches, Shelbourne averaged 2.4 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Waterford averaged 2.2 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Shelbourne or draw and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.973.733.25

Double chance

1XX212
1.301.791.23

Draw no bet

12
1.492.46

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.462.53

1st half

1X2
2.442.423.64

2nd half

1X2
2.252.753.36

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.9913.226.5
HT X5.426.457.97
HT 219.313.95.32

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.6719.32.21

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0214.9
1.51.145.15
2.51.492.45
3.52.261.60
4.53.831.23
5.57.141.07
6.513.41.03
7.529.01.01
8.550.5–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0310.5
1.751.144.45
21.173.98
2.251.332.89
2.751.602.19
31.801.94
3.252.011.74
3.752.591.46
43.141.28
4.253.441.23
4.754.661.13
56.251.06
5.256.551.05

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-12.701.43
-0.752.191.61
-0.51.981.81
-0.251.702.04
01.482.47
+0.251.372.85
14 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.511.51.03
-310.01.01
-2.56.481.07
-2.256.081.08
-25.701.10
-1.754.081.19
-1.53.281.29
-1.252.991.35
+0.51.333.34
+0.751.203.91
+11.105.68
+1.251.086.07
+1.51.076.53
+2.51.0212.0

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.017.08
7.51.144.24
8.51.332.88
9.51.612.19
10.52.001.73
11.52.561.43
12.53.441.23
13.55.001.09
23 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.026.81
71.036.54
7.251.085.07
7.751.164.03
81.183.82
8.251.263.24
8.751.372.72
91.432.64
9.251.522.32
9.751.692.04
101.811.96
10.251.891.81
10.752.121.63
112.301.56
11.252.421.48
11.752.801.35
123.141.27
12.253.301.25
12.753.921.17
134.631.11
13.254.821.10
13.755.881.05
147.271.01

Next Premier Division matches

30 OctSligo Rovers – Derry City
30 OctDundalk – Shamrock Rovers
30 OctSt Patrick's Athl. – Bohemians
30 OctDrogheda United – Galway United

All Premier Division fixtures and the table

Latest Premier Division results

23 OctShamrock Rovers 4-0 Sligo Rovers
23 OctDerry City 2-1 Dundalk
23 OctBohemians 0-1 Shelbourne
23 OctWaterford 3-1 Drogheda United
23 OctGalway United 0-0 St Patrick's Athl.
19 OctDerry City 1-0 St Patrick's Athl.