Deportivo Recoleta vs Libertad Asuncion• Copa Paraguay, Paraguay

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Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.601XBX3.50B36522.04DAFMargin at best5.4%Books10Markets59Rating49 · 51 levelExp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 14 Nov 18:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	3.45	3.45	2.04	7.0%
Betano	3.40	3.35	2.05	8.0%
Pinnacle	3.58	3.32	1.98	8.6%
BetVictor	3.50	3.40	1.95	9.3%
1xBet	3.60	3.28	1.91	10.6%
Bet365	3.40	3.40	1.91	11.2%
Betfair	3.50	3.30	1.91	11.2%
William Hill	3.40	3.10	2.00	11.7%
Marathonbet	3.52	3.28	1.89	11.8%
SBO	3.18	3.11	1.95	14.9%
Best of all books	3.60	3.45	2.05	5.5%
Average	3.45	3.30	1.96	10.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Deportivo RecoletaLibertad Asuncion

Last 108Form pts · last 592.3Goals for · last 52.00.3Goals against · last 50.754Attack rating4667Defence rating3350Form rating5029H2H rating7157Goals model4349Overall rating51

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 14 Nov 12:30 UTC

Deportivo Recoleta

4W 3D 3L · goals 13:10 · per match 1.3 for, 1.0 against

8 Nov	A	Cerro Porteno	1-1	D
5 Nov	A	Olimpia	1-4	L
31 Oct	H	Sportivo Ameliano	3-0	W
28 Oct	A	Sportivo Luqueno	2-0	W
24 Oct	A	2 de Mayo	1-1	D
16 Oct	H	Rubio NU	1-0	W
12 Oct	A	Nacional Asuncion	0-1	L
5 Oct	H	Libertad Asuncion	1-2	L
28 Sep	A	Club Sp. San Lorenzo	0-0	D
24 Sep	H	Guairena FC	3-1	W

Libertad Asuncion

4W 2D 4L · goals 13:10 · per match 1.3 for, 1.0 against

7 Nov	H	Nacional Asuncion	3-0	W
4 Nov	H	Cerro Porteno	0-1	L
31 Oct	A	Club Sp. San Lorenzo	1-2	L
27 Oct	H	Independiente F.b.c.	3-1	W
23 Oct	H	Sportivo Luqueno	1-0	W
18 Oct	A	Sportivo Trinidense	0-1	L
11 Oct	H	Club Guarani	2-2	D
5 Oct	A	Deportivo Recoleta	2-1	W
28 Sep	H	Olimpia	0-1	L
23 Sep	A	Fernando De La Mora	1-1	D

Head to head

1Deportivo Recoleta wins

3draws

4Libertad Asuncion wins

8 meetings · goals 10:17 · last 8: 1W 3D 4L for Deportivo Recoleta

5 Oct 2026Division Profesional - Clausura	Division Profesional - Clausura	Deportivo Recoleta1-2Libertad Asuncion
30 Jul 2026Division Profesional - Clausura	Division Profesional - Clausura	Libertad Asuncion4-1Deportivo Recoleta
30 Mar 2026Division Profesional - Apertura	Division Profesional - Apertura	Libertad Asuncion1-0Deportivo Recoleta
2 Feb 2026Division Profesional - Apertura	Division Profesional - Apertura	Deportivo Recoleta2-1Libertad Asuncion
26 Oct 2025Division Profesional - Clausura	Division Profesional - Clausura	Deportivo Recoleta2-2Libertad Asuncion
10 Aug 2025Division Profesional - Clausura	Division Profesional - Clausura	Libertad Asuncion1-1Deportivo Recoleta
14 Apr 2025Division Profesional - Apertura	Division Profesional - Apertura	Deportivo Recoleta1-1Libertad Asuncion
2 Feb 2025Division Profesional - Apertura	Division Profesional - Apertura	Libertad Asuncion5-2Deportivo Recoleta

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg126%3.45X27%3.30246%1.96

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.4% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.85	1.95	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.87	1.92	5.6%
SBO	1.82	1.96	6.0%
Betano	1.80	1.95	6.8%
Betfair	1.80	1.91	7.9%
1xBet	1.81	1.86	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.81	1.86	9.0%
BetVictor	1.80	1.87	9.0%
Best of all books	1.87	1.96	4.5%
Average	1.82	1.91	7.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betano	1.65	2.10	8.2%
Betfair	1.65	2.10	8.2%
1xBet	1.69	2.03	8.4%
BetVictor	1.67	2.05	8.7%
William Hill	1.67	2.05	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.69	2.00	9.2%
Best of all books	1.69	2.10	6.8%
Average	1.67	2.06	8.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Deportivo Recoleta 10%Draw 45%Libertad Asuncion 45%

The statistical model rates Deportivo Recoleta at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Libertad Asuncion at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.45 | 3.30 | 1.96, which imply roughly 30.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Deportivo Recoleta averaged 2.3 goals scored and 0.3 conceded per game; Libertad Asuncion averaged 2 scored and 0.7 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Libertad Asuncion.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.45	3.30	1.96

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.74	1.24	1.26

Draw no bet

1	2
2.51	1.48

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.67	2.05

1st half

1	X	2
3.94	2.17	2.50

2nd half

1	X	2
3.65	2.48	2.31

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	5.75	13.8	22.7
HT X	7.75	5.37	5.04
HT 2	31.1	13.7	3.09

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.36	9.35	1.71

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	9.10
1.5	1.24	3.51
2.5	1.82	1.91
3.5	2.96	1.33
4.5	5.74	1.10
5.5	9.80	1.02
6.5	10.5	1.02

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.02	8.30
1	1.02	7.70
1.25	1.13	4.56
1.75	1.30	3.09
2	1.39	2.68
2.25	1.61	2.15
2.75	2.02	1.68
3	2.37	1.50
3.25	2.67	1.39
3.75	3.50	1.22
4	4.75	1.12
4.25	5.05	1.10
5	9.30	–

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.25	2.96	1.34
0	2.57	1.43
+0.25	2.04	1.68
+0.5	1.80	1.97
+0.75	1.58	2.21
+1	1.40	2.72

14 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	7.13	1.05
-1.25	6.72	1.07
-1	6.30	1.08
-0.75	4.27	1.17
-0.5	3.30	1.32
+1.25	1.31	3.08
+1.5	1.30	3.18
+1.75	1.17	4.25
+2	1.09	5.97
+2.25	1.08	6.37
+2.5	1.06	6.77
+2.75	1.05	6.50
+3	1.03	9.10
+3.5	1.02	9.80

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
7.5	1.42	2.67
8.5	1.73	2.00
9	1.98	1.82
9.5	2.22	1.60

Next Copa Paraguay matches

15 Nov

Cerro Porteno – SOL DE America

All Copa Paraguay fixtures and the table

Latest Copa Paraguay results

28 Oct	Sportivo Luqueno 0-2 Deportivo Recoleta
27 Oct	Libertad Asuncion 3-1 Independiente F.b.c.