Fassell vs Discoveries• LFA First Division, Liberia

#31.4:0.82-2FTToday1.0:1.6#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.85BFRX3.30BTN24.00BFRMargin at best9.4%Books6Markets42Rating70 · 30Exp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 12 Nov 12:44 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betfair	1.85	3.25	4.00	9.8%
Betano	1.85	3.30	3.80	10.7%
1xBet	1.81	3.28	3.97	10.9%
Bet365	1.83	3.25	3.80	11.7%
William Hill	1.83	3.25	3.80	11.7%
Marathonbet	1.79	3.28	3.86	12.3%
Best of all books	1.85	3.30	4.00	9.4%
Average	1.83	3.27	3.87	11.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

FassellDiscoveries

Last 10#3Table position#92.00Points per game1.578Form pts · last 551.4Goals for · last 51.00.8Goals against · last 51.658Attack rating4267Defence rating3362Form rating3891H2H rating961Goals model3970Overall rating30

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 12 Nov 15:10 UTC

Fassell

6W 3D 1L · goals 16:6 · per match 1.6 for, 0.6 against

8 Nov	A	LISCR	1-0	W
4 Nov	H	LPRC Oilers	0-0	D
1 Nov	H	Gardnersville	4-1	W
28 Oct	A	BEA Mountain	1-2	L
25 Oct	H	Watanga	1-1	D
22 Oct	A	Black Man Warrior	2-0	W
18 Oct	H	District 17	1-0	W
24 May	H	Borough	3-2	W
13 May	H	Watanga	0-0	D
9 May	A	Paynesville	3-0	W

Discoveries

4W 3D 3L · goals 10:11 · per match 1.0 for, 1.1 against

8 Nov	H	BEA Mountain	0-4	L
4 Nov	A	Watanga	1-1	D
1 Nov	H	Black Man Warrior	0-0	D
28 Oct	A	District 17	3-1	W
25 Oct	H	Freeport	1-2	L
22 Oct	A	Shaita	2-1	W
18 Oct	H	Downtown	1-0	W
24 May	H	BEA Mountain	1-2	L
18 May	H	LISCR	1-0	W
5 May	A	Wologizi	0-0	D

Head to head

3Fassell wins

1draws

0Discoveries wins

4 meetings · goals 4:1 · last 4: 3W 1D 0L for Fassell

24 Jan 2026LFA First Division	LFA First Division	Discoveries0-1Fassell
9 Nov 2025LFA First Division	LFA First Division	Fassell1-0Discoveries
19 Feb 2025LFA First Division	LFA First Division	Fassell1-1Discoveries
24 Oct 2024LFA First Division	LFA First Division	Discoveries0-1Fassell

LFA First Division tableRegular Seasonupdated 12 Nov 15:10 UTC

In the LFA First Division table, Fassell sit 3rd with 14 points from 7 games, while Discoveries are 9th with 11 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	BEA Mountain	7	7	0	0	19:5	+14	21
2	Freeport	7	5	0	2	12:9	+3	15
3	Fassell	7	4	2	1	10:4	+6	14
4	NPA Anchors	7	4	2	1	10:11	-1	14
5	Heaven Eleven	7	4	1	2	13:5	+8	13
6	Paynesville	7	4	1	2	20:13	+7	13
7	Wologizi	7	3	2	2	14:10	+4	11
8	LPRC Oilers	7	3	2	2	13:10	+3	11
9	Discoveries	7	3	2	2	8:9	-1	11
10	Borough	7	3	1	3	9:10	-1	10
11	Black Man Warrior	7	2	3	2	8:8	0	9
12	Downtown	7	3	0	4	10:14	-4	9
13	LISCR	7	2	1	4	6:6	0	7
14	Watanga	7	1	3	3	7:10	-3	6
15	District 17	7	2	0	5	10:19	-9	6
16	Gardnersville	7	0	3	4	9:18	-9	3
17	Golden Dream	7	0	2	5	6:13	-7	2
18	Shaita	7	0	1	6	6:16	-10	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg149%1.83X28%3.27223%3.87

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 9.4% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.08	1.73	5.9%
Pinnacle	2.01	1.70	8.6%
1xBet	2.02	1.68	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.02	1.68	9.0%
Betano	2.00	1.67	9.9%
Best of all books	2.08	1.73	5.9%
Average	2.03	1.69	8.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.85	1.82	9.0%
William Hill	1.85	1.80	9.6%
Marathonbet	1.85	1.79	9.9%
Best of all books	1.85	1.82	9.0%
Average	1.85	1.80	9.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Fassell 45%Draw 45%Discoveries 10%

The statistical model rated Fassell at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Discoveries at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.83 | 3.27 | 3.87, which imply roughly 54.6% for a Fassell win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the LFA First Division table: Fassell are 3rd (14 pts, 10-4 goals), Discoveries 9th (11 pts, 8-9).

Over their last five matches, Fassell averaged 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Discoveries averaged 1 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Fassell or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.83	3.27	3.87

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.19	1.80	1.26

Draw no bet

1	2
1.37	2.85

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.85	1.80

1st half

1	X	2
2.46	2.05	4.41

2nd half

1	X	2
2.22	2.34	4.06

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.90	14.8	39.5
HT X	4.60	4.88	8.00
HT 2	26.0	16.0	6.55

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.64	8.45	2.60

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	8.20
1.5	1.30	3.03
2.5	2.03	1.69
3.5	3.58	1.21
4.5	7.00	1.07
5.5	15.0	1.02

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	7.40
1.25	1.16	4.10
1.75	1.39	2.64
2	1.51	2.30
2.25	1.77	1.90
2.75	2.30	1.50
3	2.86	1.33
3.25	3.20	1.26
4	6.55	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	2.98	1.31
-1	2.58	1.41
-0.75	2.07	1.63
-0.5	1.83	1.87
-0.25	1.57	2.16
0	1.33	2.83

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	7.60	1.03
-2	6.60	1.05
-1.75	4.40	1.14
-1.5	3.42	1.23
+0.25	1.25	3.32
+1	1.01	8.60
+1.5	1.03	8.40

Latest LFA First Division results

8 Nov	Paynesville 0-1 Watanga
29 Oct	NPA Anchors 1-0 Borough
28 Oct	Freeport 2-5 Paynesville
18 Oct	Borough 1-1 Heaven Eleven
18 Oct	LPRC Oilers 0-2 Freeport