Freeport vs Paynesville• LFA First Division, Liberia

#41.7:0.32-5FTToday3.7:2.0#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.591XBX3.481XB21.93BTNMargin at best8.4%Books4Markets40Rating49 · 51 levelExp. goals L53.9

Price board · 1X2captured 28 Oct 14:06 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	3.59	3.48	1.84	10.9%
Betano	3.40	3.35	1.93	11.1%
Bet365	3.40	3.40	1.91	11.2%
Marathonbet	3.56	3.32	1.85	12.3%
Best of all books	3.59	3.48	1.93	8.4%
Average	3.49	3.39	1.88	11.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

FreeportPaynesville

Last 10#4Table position#22.25Points per game2.5010Form pts · last 581.7Goals for · last 53.70.3Goals against · last 52.031Attack rating6986Defence rating1456Form rating4429H2H rating710Goals model049Overall rating51

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 28 Oct 15:10 UTC

Freeport

3W 3D 4L · goals 14:14 · per match 1.4 for, 1.4 against

25 Oct	A	Discoveries	2-1	W
22 Oct	H	LISCR	1-0	W
18 Oct	A	LPRC Oilers	2-0	W
23 May	H	Paynesville	3-3	D
14 May	A	LISCR	1-2	L
3 May	H	Downtown	2-2	D
26 Apr	A	Black Man Warrior	0-0	D
14 Apr	H	LPRC Oilers	2-3	L
1 Apr	H	Heaven Eleven	1-2	L
27 Mar	A	Watanga	0-1	L

Paynesville

3W 5D 2L · goals 20:19 · per match 2.0 for, 1.9 against

25 Oct	H	Shaita	5-2	W
21 Oct	H	Downtown	4-2	W
18 Oct	H	NPA Anchors	2-2	D
23 May	A	Freeport	3-3	D
13 May	H	LPRC Oilers	0-3	L
9 May	H	Fassell	0-3	L
29 Apr	H	Wologizi	4-2	W
12 Apr	A	LISCR	1-1	D
2 Apr	A	Jubilee	1-1	D
26 Mar	H	Heaven Eleven	0-0	D

Head to head

2Freeport wins

1draws

3Paynesville wins

6 meetings · goals 15:18 · last 6: 2W 1D 3L for Freeport

23 May 2026LFA First Division	LFA First Division	Freeport3-3Paynesville
26 Oct 2025LFA First Division	LFA First Division	Paynesville6-2Freeport
6 Apr 2025LFA First Division	LFA First Division	Paynesville3-2Freeport
15 Dec 2024LFA First Division	LFA First Division	Freeport3-1Paynesville
12 Feb 2024LFA First Division	LFA First Division	Freeport1-3Paynesville
21 Nov 2023LFA First Division	LFA First Division	Paynesville2-4Freeport

LFA First Division tableRegular Seasonupdated 28 Oct 21:01 UTC

In the LFA First Division table, Freeport sit 4th with 9 points from 4 games, while Paynesville are 2nd with 10 points from 4.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	BEA Mountain	4	4	0	0	11:4	+7	12
2	Paynesville	4	3	1	0	16:8	+8	10
3	Discoveries	4	3	0	1	7:4	+3	9
4	Freeport	4	3	0	1	7:6	+1	9
5	Heaven Eleven	4	2	1	1	8:2	+6	7
6	LPRC Oilers	4	2	1	1	11:7	+4	7
7	Fassell	4	2	1	1	5:3	+2	7
8	NPA Anchors	3	2	1	0	5:3	+2	7
9	Wologizi	4	1	2	1	5:6	-1	5
10	Borough	3	1	1	1	4:4	0	4
11	LISCR	4	1	1	2	4:4	0	4
12	District 17	4	1	0	3	5:11	-6	3
13	Downtown	4	1	0	3	3:9	-6	3
14	Watanga	4	0	2	2	5:7	-2	2
15	Golden Dream	4	0	2	2	4:6	-2	2
16	Black Man Warrior	4	0	2	2	3:7	-4	2
17	Gardnersville	4	0	2	2	6:11	-5	2
18	Shaita	4	0	1	3	4:11	-7	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg126%3.49X26%3.39248%1.88

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.4% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.67	2.15	6.4%
Pinnacle	1.64	2.10	8.6%
1xBet	1.64	2.08	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.64	2.08	9.1%
Betano	1.62	2.07	10.0%
Best of all books	1.67	2.15	6.4%
Average	1.64	2.10	8.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.56	2.22	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.55	2.20	10.0%
Best of all books	1.56	2.22	9.1%
Average	1.56	2.21	9.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Freeport 10%Draw 45%Paynesville 45%

The statistical model rated Freeport at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Paynesville at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.49 | 3.39 | 1.88, which imply roughly 29.5% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the LFA First Division table: Freeport are 4th (9 pts, 7-6 goals), Paynesville 2nd (10 pts, 16-8).

Over their last five matches, Freeport averaged 1.7 goals scored and 0.3 conceded per game; Paynesville averaged 3.7 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Paynesville and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.49	3.39	1.88

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.73	1.22	1.23

Draw no bet

1	2
2.54	1.44

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.56	2.21

1st half

1	X	2
3.98	2.20	2.46

2nd half

1	X	2
3.58	2.59	2.20

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	5.40	13.5	22.0
HT X	7.85	5.95	5.15
HT 2	29.5	13.5	3.05

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.30	13.0	1.64

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.16	4.15
2.5	1.64	2.10
3.5	2.55	1.41
4.5	4.72	1.12

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	–	9.20
1.75	1.20	3.68
2	1.26	3.21
2.25	1.45	2.44
2.75	1.80	1.87
3	2.03	1.65
3.25	2.29	1.51
3.75	3.06	1.29
4	3.99	1.17

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
0	2.60	1.39
+0.25	2.07	1.63
+0.5	1.79	1.92
+0.75	1.60	2.11
+1	1.41	2.59
+1.25	1.32	2.91

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	8.05	1.02
-1	7.03	1.04
-0.25	3.01	1.30
+1.5	1.25	3.28
+1.75	1.16	4.13
+2	1.07	5.85
+2.5	1.05	6.70

Next LFA First Division matches

29 Oct

NPA Anchors – Borough

All LFA First Division fixtures and the table

Latest LFA First Division results

18 Oct	Borough 1-1 Heaven Eleven
18 Oct	LPRC Oilers 0-2 Freeport