Paynesville vs Watanga• LFA First Division, Liberia

#33.6:2.016:00Today0.8:1.6#15

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.75BVCX4.00BVC23.731XBMargin at best9.0%Books5Markets41Rating61 · 40Exp. goals L54.0

Price board · 1X2captured 8 Nov 11:46 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
BetVictor	1.75	4.00	3.70	9.2%
1xBet	1.73	3.80	3.73	10.9%
Betano	1.75	3.70	3.70	11.2%
Bet365	1.73	3.70	3.70	11.9%
Marathonbet	1.71	3.80	3.64	12.3%
Best of all books	1.75	4.00	3.73	9.0%
Average	1.73	3.80	3.69	11.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

PaynesvilleWatanga

Last 10#3Table position#152.17Points per game0.5012Form pts · last 523.6Goals for · last 50.82.0Goals against · last 51.682Attack rating1844Defence rating5686Form rating1429H2H rating7186Goals model1461Overall rating40

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 8 Nov 10:50 UTC

Paynesville

5W 2D 3L · goals 27:23 · per match 2.7 for, 2.3 against

4 Nov	A	Black Man Warrior	1-3	L
1 Nov	H	District 17	3-1	W
28 Oct	A	Freeport	5-2	W
25 Oct	H	Shaita	5-2	W
21 Oct	H	Downtown	4-2	W
18 Oct	H	NPA Anchors	2-2	D
23 May	A	Freeport	3-3	D
13 May	H	LPRC Oilers	0-3	L
9 May	H	Fassell	0-3	L
29 Apr	H	Wologizi	4-2	W

Watanga

2W 5D 3L · goals 13:14 · per match 1.3 for, 1.4 against

4 Nov	H	Discoveries	1-1	D
1 Nov	A	LISCR	0-2	L
28 Oct	H	LPRC Oilers	1-2	L
25 Oct	A	Fassell	1-1	D
22 Oct	H	BEA Mountain	1-2	L
18 Oct	H	Gardnersville	2-2	D
24 May	A	Heaven Eleven	3-3	D
18 May	H	Gardnersville	3-1	W
13 May	A	Fassell	0-0	D
29 Apr	A	Discoveries	1-0	W

Head to head

1Paynesville wins

2draws

3Watanga wins

6 meetings · goals 5:8 · last 6: 1W 2D 3L for Paynesville

1 Mar 2026LFA First Division	LFA First Division	Watanga0-0Paynesville
30 Oct 2025LFA First Division	LFA First Division	Paynesville0-1Watanga
29 Mar 2025LFA First Division	LFA First Division	Paynesville0-1Watanga
24 Nov 2024LFA First Division	LFA First Division	Watanga2-3Paynesville
7 Apr 2024LFA First Division	LFA First Division	Watanga3-1Paynesville
16 Sep 2023LFA First Division	LFA First Division	Paynesville1-1Watanga

LFA First Division tableRegular Seasonupdated 8 Nov 10:50 UTC

In the LFA First Division table, Paynesville sit 3rd with 13 points from 6 games, while Watanga are 15th with 3 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	BEA Mountain	6	6	0	0	15:5	+10	18
2	Freeport	7	5	0	2	12:9	+3	15
3	Paynesville	6	4	1	1	20:12	+8	13
4	Fassell	6	3	2	1	9:4	+5	11
5	Discoveries	6	3	2	1	8:5	+3	11
6	NPA Anchors	6	3	2	1	8:10	-2	11
7	Heaven Eleven	6	3	1	2	10:4	+6	10
8	Borough	7	3	1	3	9:10	-1	10
9	Downtown	6	3	0	3	9:12	-3	9
10	Wologizi	6	2	2	2	12:9	+3	8
11	LPRC Oilers	6	2	2	2	12:10	+2	8
12	LISCR	6	2	1	3	6:5	+1	7
13	Black Man Warrior	6	1	3	2	6:8	-2	6
14	District 17	6	2	0	4	9:16	-7	6
15	Watanga	6	0	3	3	6:10	-4	3
16	Gardnersville	6	0	3	3	9:17	-8	3
17	Golden Dream	6	0	2	4	6:11	-5	2
18	Shaita	6	0	1	5	5:14	-9	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg152%1.73X24%3.80224%3.69

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 9.0% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.40	2.75	7.8%
1xBet	1.37	2.66	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.37	2.66	10.6%
Best of all books	1.40	2.75	7.8%
Average	1.38	2.69	9.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.39	2.69	9.1%
BetVictor	1.36	2.80	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.39	2.63	10.0%
Best of all books	1.39	2.80	7.7%
Average	1.38	2.71	9.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Paynesville 45%Draw 45%Watanga 10%

The statistical model rates Paynesville at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Watanga at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.73 | 3.80 | 3.69, which imply roughly 57.8% for a Paynesville win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the LFA First Division table: Paynesville are 3rd (13 pts, 20-12 goals), Watanga 15th (3 pts, 6-10).

Over their last five matches, Paynesville averaged 3.6 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Watanga averaged 0.8 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Paynesville and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.73	3.80	3.69

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.21	1.89	1.19

Draw no bet

1	2
1.36	2.88

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.38	2.71

1st half

1	X	2
2.23	2.45	3.96

2nd half

1	X	2
2.01	2.87	3.62

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.67	12.8	29.0
HT X	5.10	6.90	9.13
HT 2	17.8	14.3	5.95

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.56	20.8	2.32

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
2.5	1.38	2.69
3.5	1.97	1.72
4.5	3.20	1.26

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
2	1.12	4.70
2.25	1.25	3.28
2.75	1.45	2.43
3	1.56	2.17
3.25	1.78	1.89
3.75	2.20	1.56
4	2.58	1.40
4.25	2.86	1.33
5	5.05	1.10

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.76	1.35
-1.25	2.48	1.43
-1	2.24	1.55
-0.75	1.93	1.76
-0.5	1.72	1.93
-0.25	1.53	2.24

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	9.30	1.02
-2.5	5.15	1.10
-2	4.45	1.14
-1.75	3.34	1.24
0	1.34	2.79
+0.25	1.27	3.14
+1	1.05	6.55
+1.5	1.03	7.40

Latest LFA First Division results

29 Oct	NPA Anchors 1-0 Borough
28 Oct	Freeport 2-5 Paynesville
18 Oct	LPRC Oilers 0-2 Freeport
18 Oct	Borough 1-1 Heaven Eleven