Lito vs 
Danubio• Copa Uruguay, Uruguay
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 9 Nov 12:36 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 5.25 | 4.10 | 1.53 | 8.8% |
| Betfair | 5.00 | 3.90 | 1.55 | 10.2% |
| 1xBet | 5.20 | 3.78 | 1.54 | 10.6% |
| Marathonbet | 5.10 | 3.78 | 1.52 | 11.9% |
| William Hill | 4.20 | 3.30 | 1.67 | 14.0% |
| Best of all books | 5.25 | 4.10 | 1.67 | 3.3% |
| Average | 4.95 | 3.77 | 1.56 | 10.7% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Nov 14:50 UTC
Lito
3W 1D 1L · goals 9:4 · per match 1.8 for, 0.8 against
| 5 Nov | H | Wanderers | 4-0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | SUD America | 0-2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Huracán Treinta y Tres | 1-0 | W |
| 23 Aug | H | Paso de la Arena | 3-1 | W |
| 12 Aug | H | Estudiantes del Plata | 1-1 | D |
Danubio
4W 2D 4L · goals 16:9 · per match 1.6 for, 0.9 against
| 1 Nov | H | Club Nacional | 1-2 | L |
| 29 Oct | A | Wanderers Durazno | 3-0 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Deportivo Maldonado | 1-2 | L |
| 18 Oct | H | Central Espanol | 1-0 | W |
| 15 Oct | A | Central Espanol | 6-0 | W |
| 9 Oct | A | Atletico Torque | 0-1 | L |
| 4 Oct | H | Cerro Largo | 2-1 | W |
| 27 Sep | A | Defensor Sporting | 0-1 | L |
| 24 Sep | H | Penarol | 1-1 | D |
| 20 Sep | H | Wanderers | 1-1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings between Lito and Danubio on record.
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.3% margin.
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.67 | 2.15 | 6.4% |
| Betfair | 1.75 | 1.95 | 8.4% |
| 1xBet | 1.72 | 1.96 | 9.2% |
| Marathonbet | 1.72 | 1.96 | 9.2% |
| Best of all books | 1.75 | 2.15 | 3.7% |
| Average | 1.71 | 2.00 | 8.2% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.82 | 1.87 | 8.4% |
| Betfair | 1.75 | 1.95 | 8.4% |
| Bet365 | 1.83 | 1.83 | 9.3% |
| Marathonbet | 1.82 | 1.84 | 9.3% |
| William Hill | 1.80 | 1.85 | 9.6% |
| Best of all books | 1.83 | 1.95 | 5.9% |
| Average | 1.80 | 1.87 | 9.0% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Lito at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Danubio at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.95 | 3.77 | 1.56, which imply roughly 20.2% for a Lito win versus the model's 35%.
Over their last five matches, Lito averaged 4 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Danubio averaged 2.6 scored and 1 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Lito or draw.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 4.95 | 3.77 | 1.56 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 3.82 | 1.25 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.80 | 1.87 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 5.31 | 2.23 | 2.11 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 5.02 | 2.67 | 1.86 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 9.43 | 17.1 | 22.8 |
| HT X | 11.6 | 5.98 | 4.26 |
| HT 2 | 48.3 | 17.0 | 2.23 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 3.11 | 11.9 | 1.40 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.01 | 10.8 |
| 1.5 | 1.19 | 3.97 |
| 2.5 | 1.72 | 2.01 |
| 3.5 | 2.70 | 1.40 |
| 4.5 | 5.01 | 1.13 |
| 5.5 | 10.5 | 1.04 |
| 6.5 | 10.5 | 1.02 |
| 7.5 | 17.0 | – |
| 8.5 | 21.0 | – |
14 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.75 | 1.01 | 8.60 |
| 1 | – | 9.00 |
| 1.25 | 1.10 | 5.15 |
| 1.75 | 1.24 | 3.35 |
| 2 | 1.31 | 2.92 |
| 2.25 | 1.51 | 2.29 |
| 2.75 | 1.89 | 1.76 |
| 3 | 2.17 | 1.55 |
| 3.25 | 2.44 | 1.44 |
| 3.75 | 3.29 | 1.25 |
| 4 | 4.35 | 1.14 |
| 4.25 | 4.75 | 1.12 |
| 4.75 | 6.45 | 1.05 |
| 5 | 9.20 | – |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 1.54 | 2.28 |
| -1.25 | 1.65 | 2.09 |
| -1 | 1.83 | 1.88 |
| -0.75 | 1.98 | 1.67 |
| -0.5 | 2.75 | 1.40 |
| -0.25 | 2.70 | 1.36 |
13 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5 | 1.11 | 8.23 |
| -3 | 1.01 | 8.30 |
| -2.75 | 1.08 | 5.70 |
| -2.5 | 1.19 | 4.13 |
| -2.25 | 1.16 | 4.10 |
| -2 | 1.19 | 3.74 |
| -1.75 | 1.32 | 2.88 |
| 0 | 3.90 | 1.18 |
| +0.25 | 4.45 | 1.14 |
| +0.5 | 6.50 | 1.10 |
| +0.75 | 6.70 | 1.05 |
| +1 | 8.70 | 1.02 |
| +1.5 | 9.50 | 1.02 |
Next Copa Uruguay matches
| 10 Nov | Boston River – Atletico Torque |
| 11 Nov | Liverpool Montevideo – Juventud |