Paysandu vs Uruguay Montevideo• Segunda División, Uruguay

#111.4:1.01-0LiveToday0.8:1.4#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.62WHX3.85DAF25.40DAFMargin at best6.2%Books9Markets50Rating62 · 38Exp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 14 Nov 20:20 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.61	3.85	5.40	6.6%
Pinnacle	1.59	3.79	5.23	8.4%
Betano	1.60	3.75	5.00	9.2%
BetVictor	1.60	3.60	5.25	9.3%
1xBet	1.59	3.50	5.13	11.0%
Betfair	1.57	3.60	5.00	11.5%
William Hill	1.62	3.40	4.80	12.0%
Bet365	1.57	3.50	5.00	12.3%
Marathonbet	1.57	3.50	5.00	12.3%
Best of all books	1.62	3.85	5.40	6.2%
Average	1.59	3.61	5.09	10.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

PaysanduUruguay Montevideo

Last 10#11Table position#60.67Points per game1.5010Form pts · last 551.4Goals for · last 50.81.0Goals against · last 51.464Attack rating3658Defence rating4267Form rating330H2H rating10060Goals model4062Overall rating38

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Nov 18:31 UTC

Paysandu

5W 3D 2L · goals 14:10 · per match 1.4 for, 1.0 against

1 Nov	A	Oriental	1-1	D
26 Oct	H	Colón	3-2	W
17 Oct	A	Fenix	1-0	W
10 Oct	H	Rentistas	2-1	W
3 Oct	A	Miramar	0-1	L
28 Sep	H	Tacuarembo	2-2	D
19 Sep	A	Plaza Colonia	1-1	D
12 Sep	H	La Luz	0-1	L
5 Sep	A	Cerrito	2-1	W
29 Aug	H	Atenas	2-0	W

Uruguay Montevideo

1W 4D 5L · goals 7:14 · per match 0.7 for, 1.4 against

31 Oct	H	Sportivo Huracan	0-0	D
24 Oct	A	CA River Plate	2-1	W
18 Oct	A	Oriental	1-1	D
10 Oct	H	Colón	1-3	L
4 Oct	A	Fenix	0-2	L
26 Sep	H	Rentistas	1-3	L
19 Sep	A	Miramar	0-1	L
12 Sep	H	Tacuarembo	2-2	D
7 Sep	A	Plaza Colonia	0-1	L
29 Aug	H	La Luz	0-0	D

Head to head

0Paysandu wins

0draws

1Uruguay Montevideo wins

1 meeting · goals 0:1 · last 1: 0W 0D 1L for Paysandu

8 Aug 2026Segunda División

Segunda División

Uruguay Montevideo1-0Paysandu

Segunda División table1st Phaseupdated 14 Nov 18:40 UTC

In the Segunda División table, Paysandu sit 11th with 4 points from 6 games, while Uruguay Montevideo are 6th with 9 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Oriental	6	4	1	1	8:5	+3	13
2	Plaza Colonia	6	3	3	0	9:2	+7	12
3	Fenix	6	3	2	1	13:7	+6	11
4	Sportivo Huracan	6	2	4	0	9:6	+3	10
5	Colón	6	2	3	1	8:5	+3	9
6	Uruguay Montevideo	6	2	3	1	7:5	+2	9
7	Rentistas	6	2	3	1	6:5	+1	9
8	Cerrito	6	2	3	1	8:8	0	9
9	La Luz	6	1	4	1	5:6	-1	7
10	Miramar	6	1	2	3	3:7	-4	5
11	Paysandu	6	1	1	4	4:7	-3	4
12	Atenas	6	1	1	4	5:11	-6	4
13	CA River Plate	6	1	1	4	6:13	-7	4
14	Tacuarembo	6	0	3	3	5:9	-4	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg157%1.59X25%3.61218%5.09

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.60 → 1.59 -0.6%X3.60 → 3.59 -0.3%24.50 → 5.11 +13.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Pinnacle	2.01	1.76	6.6%
Betano	1.98	1.75	7.6%
Betfair	1.95	1.75	8.4%
BetVictor	1.97	1.72	8.9%
1xBet	2.01	1.69	8.9%
Marathonbet	2.01	1.69	8.9%
Best of all books	2.01	1.80	5.3%
Average	1.99	1.74	7.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	2.00	1.73	7.8%
William Hill	1.95	1.75	8.4%
Betano	2.00	1.70	8.8%
1xBet	1.96	1.73	8.8%
Marathonbet	1.96	1.70	9.8%
Best of all books	2.00	1.75	7.1%
Average	1.97	1.72	8.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Paysandu 45%Draw 45%Uruguay Montevideo 10%

The statistical model rates Paysandu at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Uruguay Montevideo at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.59 | 3.61 | 5.09, which imply roughly 62.9% for a Paysandu win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Segunda División table: Paysandu are 11th (4 pts, 4-7 goals), Uruguay Montevideo 6th (9 pts, 7-5).

Over their last five matches, Paysandu averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Uruguay Montevideo averaged 0.8 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Paysandu or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.59	3.61	5.09

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.13	2.15	1.21

Draw no bet

1	2
1.23	3.75

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.97	1.72

1st half

1	X	2
2.21	2.13	5.39

2nd half

1	X	2
1.98	2.42	5.01

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.45	17.8	51.8
HT X	4.36	5.38	9.81
HT 2	25.8	17.4	7.94

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.50	8.20	2.99

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	8.36
1.5	1.31	3.09
2.5	1.99	1.74
3.5	3.44	1.25
4.5	6.78	1.08
5.5	15.0	1.02

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.04	7.10
1.25	1.17	4.05
1.75	1.39	2.67
2	1.51	2.33
2.25	1.76	1.94
2.75	2.28	1.54
3	2.84	1.35
3.25	3.14	1.27
3.75	4.09	1.19
4	6.15	1.06
4.25	5.20	1.12

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.75	1.37
-1.25	2.42	1.47
-1	2.07	1.68
-0.75	1.76	1.94
-0.5	1.65	2.15
-0.25	1.39	2.69

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	10.0	1.05
-2.5	5.55	1.08
-2.25	4.50	1.17
-2	4.75	1.12
-1.75	3.34	1.24
0	1.22	3.67
+0.25	1.18	4.07
+0.75	1.10	5.15
+1	1.04	7.50
+1.25	1.08	6.30
+1.5	1.04	8.85

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9	1.82	1.98
9.5	2.01	1.74

Next Segunda División matches

15 Nov	Fenix – Atenas
15 Nov	Oriental – Colón

All Segunda División fixtures and the table

Latest Segunda División results

12 Nov	Cerrito 0-1 Colón
12 Nov	Atenas 1-0 Oriental
12 Nov	Plaza Colonia 0-1 Rentistas
11 Nov	Tacuarembo 1-3 Miramar
11 Nov	La Luz 1-0 Fenix
1 Nov	Miramar 1-1 Plaza Colonia