Cerrito vs Colón• Segunda División, Uruguay

#81.6:1.219:30Today · Montevideo1.8:0.8#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.33BVCX3.97PIN21.78DAFMargin at best4.5%Books9Markets48Rating41 · 60Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 12 Nov 08:07 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	4.00	3.85	1.78	7.2%
Pinnacle	3.83	3.97	1.75	8.4%
BetVictor	4.33	3.50	1.73	9.5%
Betano	4.25	3.65	1.70	9.8%
Betfair	4.00	3.60	1.73	10.6%
1xBet	3.93	3.76	1.70	10.9%
William Hill	3.90	3.60	1.73	11.2%
Bet365	3.90	3.50	1.73	12.0%
Marathonbet	3.84	3.76	1.68	12.2%
Best of all books	4.33	3.97	1.78	4.5%
Average	4.00	3.69	1.73	10.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

CerritoColón

Last 10#8Table position#51.50Points per game1.506Form pts · last 5101.6Goals for · last 51.81.2Goals against · last 50.847Attack rating5340Defence rating6044Form rating5620H2H rating8059Goals model4141Overall rating60

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 12 Nov 01:10 UTC

Cerrito

3W 5D 2L · goals 15:12 · per match 1.5 for, 1.2 against

31 Oct	A	Fenix	1-1	D
25 Oct	H	Rentistas	2-2	D
17 Oct	A	Miramar	0-1	L
10 Oct	H	Tacuarembo	2-1	W
7 Oct	H	Wanderers	2-2	D
4 Oct	A	Plaza Colonia	3-1	W
27 Sep	H	La Luz	1-2	L
23 Sep	A	Wanderers	3-1	W
20 Sep	H	CA River Plate	1-1	D
13 Sep	A	Atenas	0-0	D

Colón

3W 2D 5L · goals 10:14 · per match 1.0 for, 1.4 against

1 Nov	H	Atenas	1-0	W
26 Oct	A	Paysandu	2-3	L
16 Oct	H	Sportivo Huracan	3-0	W
10 Oct	A	Uruguay Montevideo	3-1	W
4 Oct	H	Oriental	0-0	D
26 Sep	A	CA River Plate	0-3	L
23 Sep	A	Liverpool Montevideo	0-3	L
19 Sep	A	Fenix	1-1	D
13 Sep	H	Rentistas	0-1	L
9 Sep	A	Boston River	0-2	L

Head to head

1Cerrito wins

1draws

4Colón wins

6 meetings · goals 4:7 · last 6: 1W 1D 4L for Cerrito

8 Aug 2026Segunda División	Segunda División	Colón1-0Cerrito
26 Oct 2025Segunda División	Segunda División	Colón1-0Cerrito
2 Aug 2025Segunda División	Segunda División	Cerrito1-2Colón
26 Sep 2024Segunda División	Segunda División	Cerrito0-2Colón
8 Jun 2024Segunda División	Segunda División	Colón0-2Cerrito
21 Apr 2024Segunda División	Segunda División	Cerrito1-1Colón

Segunda División table1st Phaseupdated 11 Nov 23:40 UTC

In the Segunda División table, Cerrito sit 8th with 9 points from 6 games, while Colón are 5th with 9 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Oriental	6	4	1	1	8:5	+3	13
2	Plaza Colonia	6	3	3	0	9:2	+7	12
3	Fenix	6	3	2	1	13:7	+6	11
4	Sportivo Huracan	6	2	4	0	9:6	+3	10
5	Colón	6	2	3	1	8:5	+3	9
6	Uruguay Montevideo	6	2	3	1	7:5	+2	9
7	Rentistas	6	2	3	1	6:5	+1	9
8	Cerrito	6	2	3	1	8:8	0	9
9	La Luz	6	1	4	1	5:6	-1	7
10	Miramar	6	1	2	3	3:7	-4	5
11	Paysandu	6	1	1	4	4:7	-3	4
12	Atenas	6	1	1	4	5:11	-6	4
13	CA River Plate	6	1	1	4	6:13	-7	4
14	Tacuarembo	6	0	3	3	5:9	-4	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg123%4.00X25%3.69253%1.73

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14.41 → 4.00 -9.3%X3.69 → 3.69 0.0%21.66 → 1.73 +4.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.86	1.93	5.6%
Betano	1.90	1.82	7.6%
Betfair	1.85	1.85	8.1%
BetVictor	1.84	1.83	9.0%
1xBet	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Marathonbet	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Best of all books	1.95	1.93	3.1%
Average	1.87	1.85	7.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.75	2.00	7.1%
William Hill	1.70	2.05	7.6%
BetVictor	1.78	1.93	8.0%
Betano	1.85	1.82	9.0%
1xBet	1.77	1.90	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.77	1.87	10.0%
Best of all books	1.85	2.05	2.8%
Average	1.77	1.93	8.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Cerrito 10%Draw 45%Colón 45%

The statistical model rates Cerrito at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Colón at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.00 | 3.69 | 1.73, which imply roughly 27.1% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Segunda División table: Cerrito are 8th (9 pts, 8-8 goals), Colón 5th (9 pts, 8-5).

Over their last five matches, Cerrito averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Colón averaged 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Colón.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
4.00	3.69	1.73

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.98	1.18	1.21

Draw no bet

1	2
3.15	1.32

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.77	1.93

1st half

1	X	2
4.47	2.21	2.29

2nd half

1	X	2
4.18	2.47	2.11

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	6.98	16.0	22.5
HT X	9.20	5.40	4.59
HT 2	40.5	15.5	2.73

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.64	11.4	1.55

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	9.53
1.5	1.27	3.37
2.5	1.87	1.85
3.5	3.14	1.30
4.5	6.35	1.09
5.5	12.5	1.03

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	8.70
1.25	1.15	4.20
1.75	1.32	2.99
2	1.41	2.61
2.25	1.63	2.11
2.75	2.07	1.65
3	2.47	1.45
3.25	2.83	1.35
3.75	3.84	1.18
4	5.15	1.10
4.25	6.10	1.09

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.32	1.58
+0.25	2.34	1.50
+0.5	2.04	1.70
+0.75	1.77	1.94
+1	1.55	2.29
+1.25	1.38	2.70

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.30	1.02
-2	8.90	1.01
-1.5	8.50	1.01
-1.25	5.40	1.11
-1	6.30	1.10
-0.75	3.72	1.24
-0.25	3.30	1.26
0	2.94	1.32
+1.5	1.31	3.02
+1.75	1.19	3.76
+2	1.09	5.35
+2.25	1.09	6.20
+2.5	1.06	6.10

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9	1.88	1.92
9.5	2.10	1.67

Next Segunda División matches

12 Nov	Plaza Colonia – Rentistas
12 Nov	Atenas – Oriental

All Segunda División fixtures and the table

Latest Segunda División results

11 Nov	Tacuarembo 1-3 Miramar
11 Nov	La Luz 1-0 Fenix
1 Nov	Miramar 1-1 Plaza Colonia
1 Nov	Colón 1-0 Atenas
1 Nov	CA River Plate 1-1 Tacuarembo
1 Nov	Oriental 1-1 Paysandu