La Luz vs Fenix• Segunda División, Uruguay

#91.6:1.019:30Today0.6:1.2#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.75DAFX3.10BVC23.50B365Margin9.6%Books9Markets42Rating57 · 43Exp. goals L52.2

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Nov 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.75	2.46	3.35	6.9%
Pinnacle	2.70	2.41	3.35	8.4%
BetVictor	2.30	3.10	3.00	9.1%
Bet365	2.50	2.40	3.50	10.2%
Betfair	2.60	2.40	3.30	10.4%
William Hill	2.40	2.88	2.90	10.9%
1xBet	2.59	2.39	3.28	10.9%
Marathonbet	2.57	2.39	3.18	12.2%
Betano	2.67	2.32	3.15	12.3%
Best of all books	2.75	3.10	3.50	-2.8%
Average	2.56	2.53	3.22	9.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

La LuzFenix

Last 10#9Table position#31.17Points per game1.8310Form pts · last 551.6Goals for · last 50.61.0Goals against · last 51.273Attack rating2755Defence rating4567Form rating3350H2H rating5047Goals model5357Overall rating43

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Nov 00:00 UTC

La Luz

5W 2D 3L · goals 12:10 · per match 1.2 for, 1.0 against

31 Oct	A	Rentistas	0-2	L
25 Oct	H	Miramar	3-0	W
17 Oct	A	Tacuarembo	1-0	W
11 Oct	H	Plaza Colonia	1-1	D
4 Oct	H	CA River Plate	3-2	W
27 Sep	A	Cerrito	2-1	W
19 Sep	H	Atenas	0-1	L
12 Sep	A	Paysandu	1-0	W
4 Sep	H	Sportivo Huracan	1-3	L
29 Aug	A	Uruguay Montevideo	0-0	D

Fenix

2W 3D 5L · goals 10:15 · per match 1.0 for, 1.5 against

31 Oct	H	Cerrito	1-1	D
25 Oct	A	Atenas	0-4	L
17 Oct	H	Paysandu	0-1	L
11 Oct	A	Sportivo Huracan	0-0	D
4 Oct	H	Uruguay Montevideo	2-0	W
26 Sep	A	Oriental	2-3	L
23 Sep	A	Boston River	2-3	L
19 Sep	H	Colón	1-1	D
13 Sep	A	CA River Plate	1-0	W
6 Sep	A	Rentistas	1-2	L

Head to head

3La Luz wins

3draws

2Fenix wins

8 meetings · goals 8:7 · last 8: 3W 3D 2L for La Luz

8 Aug 2026Segunda División	Segunda División	Fenix0-0La Luz
22 Mar 2026Segunda División	Segunda División	Fenix0-0La Luz
27 Sep 2025Segunda División	Segunda División	Fenix0-2La Luz
6 Jul 2025Segunda División	Segunda División	La Luz2-2Fenix
20 Apr 2025Segunda División	Segunda División	La Luz0-2Fenix
7 Dec 2023Primera División - Clausura	Primera División - Clausura	La Luz0-2Fenix
14 May 2023Primera División - Apertura	Primera División - Apertura	Fenix0-2La Luz
31 Aug 2022Copa Uruguay	Copa Uruguay	La Luz2-1Fenix

Segunda División table1st Phaseupdated 11 Nov 00:10 UTC

In the Segunda División table, La Luz sit 9th with 7 points from 6 games, while Fenix are 3rd with 11 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Oriental	6	4	1	1	8:5	+3	13
2	Plaza Colonia	6	3	3	0	9:2	+7	12
3	Fenix	6	3	2	1	13:7	+6	11
4	Sportivo Huracan	6	2	4	0	9:6	+3	10
5	Colón	6	2	3	1	8:5	+3	9
6	Uruguay Montevideo	6	2	3	1	7:5	+2	9
7	Rentistas	6	2	3	1	6:5	+1	9
8	Cerrito	6	2	3	1	8:8	0	9
9	La Luz	6	1	4	1	5:6	-1	7
10	Miramar	6	1	2	3	3:7	-4	5
11	Paysandu	6	1	1	4	4:7	-3	4
12	Atenas	6	1	1	4	5:11	-6	4
13	CA River Plate	6	1	1	4	6:13	-7	4
14	Tacuarembo	6	0	3	3	5:9	-4	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg136%2.56X36%2.53228%3.22

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 9.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.66 → 2.56 -3.8%X3.04 → 2.53 -16.8%22.53 → 3.22 +27.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.35	1.57	6.2%
Pinnacle	2.37	1.56	6.3%
Betfair	2.40	1.50	8.3%
Betano	2.27	1.55	8.6%
BetVictor	2.19	1.58	9.0%
1xBet	2.29	1.53	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.29	1.53	9.0%
Best of all books	2.40	1.58	5.0%
Average	2.31	1.55	8.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.80	1.95	6.8%
BetVictor	1.93	1.78	8.0%
William Hill	1.95	1.75	8.4%
1xBet	1.87	1.80	9.0%
Betano	1.80	1.87	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.87	1.77	10.0%
Best of all books	1.95	1.95	2.6%
Average	1.87	1.82	8.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

La Luz 45%Draw 45%Fenix 10%

The statistical model rates La Luz at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Fenix at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.56 | 2.53 | 3.22, which imply roughly 39.1% for a La Luz win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Segunda División table: La Luz are 9th (7 pts, 5-6 goals), Fenix 3rd (11 pts, 13-7).

Over their last five matches, La Luz averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Fenix averaged 0.6 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : La Luz or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.56	2.53	3.22

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.29	1.43	1.40

Draw no bet

1	2
1.68	2.09

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.87	1.82

1st half

1	X	2
3.24	1.85	3.92

2nd half

1	X	2
2.86	2.14	3.33

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.25	12.8	32.0
HT X	5.63	3.90	6.45
HT 2	28.3	13.1	5.15

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.97	5.60	2.34

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.08	6.83
1.5	1.40	2.68
2.5	2.31	1.55
3.5	4.08	1.19
4.5	8.25	1.05
5.5	16.0	1.01

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.12	5.40
1	1.14	4.35
1.25	1.27	3.14
1.75	1.52	2.31
2	1.71	1.98
2.25	2.00	1.71
2.75	2.64	1.40
3	3.36	1.25
3.25	3.58	1.21
3.75	4.50	1.17
4	7.00	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	3.07	1.31
-0.5	2.26	1.62
-0.25	2.07	1.68
0	1.69	2.06
+0.25	1.42	2.58
+0.5	1.30	3.25

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	9.90	1.01
-1.5	5.20	1.10
-1.25	4.75	1.12
-1	4.57	1.14
+0.75	1.18	4.02
+1	1.07	5.75
+1.25	1.11	5.35
+1.5	1.05	6.65

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9.5	1.82	1.96

Next Segunda División matches

11 Nov

Tacuarembo – Miramar

All Segunda División fixtures and the table

Latest Segunda División results

1 Nov	Miramar 1-1 Plaza Colonia
1 Nov	Colón 1-0 Atenas
1 Nov	CA River Plate 1-1 Tacuarembo
1 Nov	Oriental 1-1 Paysandu
31 Oct	Rentistas 2-0 La Luz
31 Oct	Fenix 1-1 Cerrito