Once Caldas vs Atletico Nacional• Copa Colombia, Colombia

2.3:0.001:30Tomorrow · Estadio Palogrande, Manizales2.5:0.5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.75SBOX3.30DAF23.10B365Margin8.5%Books10Markets77Rating36 · 64Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Nov 20:07 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.53	2.96	2.96	7.1%
Bet365	2.55	3.10	2.80	7.2%
BetVictor	2.45	3.25	2.80	7.3%
Betano	2.47	3.15	2.85	7.3%
Dafabet	2.65	3.30	2.50	8.0%
1xBet	2.54	2.88	2.89	8.7%
Marathonbet	2.54	2.88	2.89	8.7%
William Hill	2.45	2.90	2.80	11.0%
Betfair	2.38	3.00	2.80	11.1%
SBO	2.75	2.96	2.23	15.0%
Best of all books	2.75	3.30	2.96	0.5%
Average	2.53	3.04	2.75	8.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Once CaldasAtletico Nacional

Last 1011Form pts · last 5132.3Goals for · last 52.50.0Goals against · last 50.547Attack rating53100Defence rating050Form rating5020H2H rating800Goals model036Overall rating64

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 8 Nov 01:10 UTC

Once Caldas

5W 3D 2L · goals 11:7 · per match 1.1 for, 0.7 against

7 Nov	H	Águilas Doradas	1-0	W
2 Nov	A	Santa Fe	2-0	W
28 Oct	H	Alianza Valledupar	1-0	W
25 Oct	H	Deportivo Pereira	1-1	D
21 Oct	A	Millonarios	1-1	D
18 Oct	A	Independiente Medellin	2-0	W
10 Oct	H	Llaneros	1-0	W
4 Oct	A	Internacional de Bogota	1-1	D
26 Sep	H	Bucaramanga	1-3	L
20 Sep	A	Deportivo Pasto	0-1	L

Atletico Nacional

7W 2D 1L · goals 22:10 · per match 2.2 for, 1.0 against

7 Nov	H	Deportivo Pereira	4-3	W
3 Nov	A	Bucaramanga	1-1	D
30 Oct	H	Santa Fe	2-0	W
25 Oct	H	Independiente Medellin	2-1	W
23 Oct	H	Deportivo Pasto	3-0	W
20 Oct	A	Cucuta	0-1	L
17 Oct	A	Chico	4-1	W
15 Oct	H	Independiente Medellin	3-2	W
8 Oct	H	Deportes Tolima	0-0	D
1 Oct	H	Junior	3-1	W

Head to head

5Once Caldas wins

5draws

16Atletico Nacional wins

26 meetings · goals 14:32 · last 10: 2W 3D 5L for Once Caldas

1 May 2026Primera A	Primera A	Once Caldas1-0Atletico Nacional
22 Oct 2025Copa Colombia	Copa Colombia	Atletico Nacional2-0Once Caldas
10 Oct 2025Copa Colombia	Copa Colombia	Once Caldas0-1Atletico Nacional
12 Jul 2025Primera A	Primera A	Once Caldas1-3Atletico Nacional
19 Jun 2025Primera A	Primera A	Once Caldas1-2Atletico Nacional
2 Jun 2025Primera A	Primera A	Atletico Nacional0-0Once Caldas
26 Jan 2025Primera A	Primera A	Atletico Nacional4-0Once Caldas
27 Jul 2024Primera A	Primera A	Once Caldas2-0Atletico Nacional
1 Feb 2024Primera A	Primera A	Atletico Nacional1-1Once Caldas
17 Jul 2023Primera A	Primera A	Once Caldas1-1Atletico Nacional

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg136%2.53X30%3.03233%2.78

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.66 → 2.53 -4.9%X3.29 → 3.03 -7.9%22.46 → 2.78 +13.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.10	1.71	6.1%
Bet365	2.10	1.70	6.4%
Betano	2.07	1.72	6.4%
SBO	2.11	1.68	6.9%
1xBet	2.08	1.69	7.2%
Marathonbet	2.08	1.69	7.2%
Betfair	2.10	1.65	8.2%
BetVictor	2.02	1.68	9.0%
Best of all books	2.11	1.72	5.5%
Average	2.08	1.69	7.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.80	1.95	6.8%
1xBet	1.78	1.93	8.0%
Betano	1.78	1.93	8.0%
BetVictor	1.80	1.90	8.2%
William Hill	1.75	1.95	8.4%
Marathonbet	1.78	1.90	8.8%
Bet365	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Best of all books	1.83	1.95	5.9%
Average	1.79	1.91	8.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Once Caldas 10%Draw 45%Atletico Nacional 45%

The statistical model rates Once Caldas at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Atletico Nacional at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.53 | 3.03 | 2.78, which imply roughly 33% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Once Caldas averaged 2.3 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Atletico Nacional averaged 2.5 scored and 0.5 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Atletico Nacional.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.53	3.04	2.75

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.38	1.47	1.33

Draw no bet

1	2
1.80	1.96

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.79	1.91

1st half

1	X	2
3.13	2.00	3.44

2nd half

1	X	2
2.81	2.29	3.11

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.28	13.8	31.7
HT X	6.08	4.44	6.09
HT 2	32.1	14.1	4.47

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.04	7.75	2.04

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	8.08
1.5	1.33	3.08
2.5	2.08	1.69
3.5	3.71	1.23
4.5	7.53	1.06
5.5	15.1	1.02
6.5	29.2	1.01

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.04	6.90
1	1.06	6.25
1.25	1.18	3.91
1.75	1.41	2.63
2	1.55	2.29
2.25	1.83	1.90
2.75	2.36	1.51
3	2.81	1.38
3.25	3.22	1.27
3.75	4.46	1.14
4	6.35	1.06
4.25	6.75	1.04
5	11.5	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.94	1.34
-0.5	2.42	1.53
-0.25	2.11	1.65
0	1.74	2.02
+0.25	1.54	2.36
+0.5	1.40	2.84

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	11.5	1.02
-2	9.00	1.02
-1.75	6.77	1.06
-1.5	5.10	1.12
-1.25	4.60	1.15
-1	4.08	1.19
+0.75	1.27	3.43
+1	1.14	5.01
+1.25	1.09	5.78
+1.5	1.08	6.30
+1.75	1.04	7.73
+2	1.01	9.90
+2.5	1.02	13.0

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.90	1.85

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.01	7.19
6.5	1.14	4.25
7.5	1.33	2.98
8.5	1.61	2.17
9.5	2.01	1.74
10.5	2.68	1.40
11.5	3.72	1.21
12.5	5.79	1.05

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5.75	1.02	6.89
6	1.02	6.82
6.25	1.08	5.16
6.75	1.16	4.03
7	1.18	3.81
7.25	1.26	3.20
7.75	1.39	2.66
8	1.44	2.50
8.25	1.55	2.26
8.75	1.74	1.97
9	1.84	1.87
9.25	1.96	1.75
9.75	2.23	1.57
10	2.44	1.47
10.25	2.59	1.41
10.75	3.04	1.30
11	3.48	1.22
11.25	3.66	1.20
11.75	4.43	1.12
12	5.37	1.07
12.25	5.58	1.06

Next Copa Colombia matches

10 Nov

Internacional de Bogota – America de Cali

All Copa Colombia fixtures and the table

Latest Copa Colombia results

2 Nov	Santa Fe 0-2 Once Caldas
22 Oct	Barranquilla 0-4 America de Cali
15 Oct	Internacional de Bogota 4-1 Llaneros
15 Oct	Atletico Nacional 3-2 Independiente Medellin