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Atletico Nacional vs Independiente Medellin• Copa Colombia, Colombia

2.3:0.03-2FT15/10 · Estadio Atanasio Girardot1.8:0.8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.77PINX3.70BVC25.00B365Margin at best3.5%Books10Markets87Rating60 · 40Exp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 14 Oct 20:20 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Bet3651.733.605.005.6%
BetVictor1.753.704.406.9%
Dafabet1.733.604.507.8%
Pinnacle1.773.664.167.9%
Betano1.753.504.309.0%
Betfair1.703.604.2010.4%
1xBet1.703.544.2410.7%
William Hill1.733.404.2011.0%
Marathonbet1.683.544.1511.9%
SBO1.673.373.9614.8%
Best of all books1.773.705.003.5%
Average1.723.554.319.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Atletico NacionalIndependiente Medellin
Last 1010Form pts · last 542.3Goals for · last 51.80.0Goals against · last 50.844Attack rating56100Defence rating045Form rating5585H2H rating15100Goals model060Overall rating40

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 02:30 UTC

Atletico Nacional

5W 3D 2L · goals 17:11 · per match 1.7 for, 1.1 against

20 OctACucuta0-1L
17 OctAChico4-1W
15 OctHIndependiente Medellin3-2W
8 OctHDeportes Tolima0-0D
1 OctHJunior3-1W
26 SepHChapecoense-sc1-1D
25 SepHMillonarios1-1D
21 SepALlaneros0-2L
17 SepAInternacional de Bogota3-2W
13 SepHÁguilas Doradas2-0W

Independiente Medellin

4W 2D 4L · goals 18:15 · per match 1.8 for, 1.5 against

15 OctAAtletico Nacional2-3L
12 OctAAmerica de Cali2-1W
6 OctHSanta Fe0-1L
30 SepHMillonarios2-2D
27 SepAJunior0-2L
22 SepHJaguares2-1W
18 SepABucaramanga2-2D
12 SepAChico1-2L
10 SepADeportivo Pasto4-1W
4 SepADeportivo Pereira3-0W

Head to head

15Atletico Nacional wins
17draws
10Independiente Medellin wins

42 meetings · goals 66:53 · last 10: 4W 5D 1L for Atletico Nacional

12 Apr 2026Primera APrimera AIndependiente Medellin2-3Atletico Nacional
18 Dec 2025Copa ColombiaCopa ColombiaIndependiente Medellin0-1Atletico Nacional
13 Dec 2025Copa ColombiaCopa ColombiaAtletico Nacional0-0Independiente Medellin
4 Dec 2025Primera APrimera AAtletico Nacional2-1Independiente Medellin
23 Nov 2025Primera APrimera AIndependiente Medellin0-0Atletico Nacional
26 Oct 2025Primera APrimera AAtletico Nacional5-2Independiente Medellin
7 Sep 2025Primera APrimera AIndependiente Medellin3-3Atletico Nacional
4 May 2025Primera APrimera AIndependiente Medellin1-1Atletico Nacional
23 Mar 2025Primera APrimera AAtletico Nacional1-1Independiente Medellin
18 Nov 2024Copa ColombiaCopa ColombiaIndependiente Medellin1-0Atletico Nacional

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg153%1.74X26%3.56222%4.22

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13 Oct 14:2014 Oct 19:201 1.72X 3.552 4.31
11.67 → 1.72 +3.0%X3.67 → 3.55 -3.3%24.37 → 4.31 -1.4%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.831.985.1%
Bet3651.802.005.6%
SBO1.821.966.0%
Betano1.781.938.0%
Betfair1.751.958.4%
BetVictor1.781.908.8%
1xBet1.801.879.0%
Marathonbet1.801.879.0%
Best of all books1.832.004.6%
Average1.801.937.5%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.752.007.1%
Bet3651.732.007.8%
BetVictor1.732.007.8%
William Hill1.732.007.8%
1xBet1.741.968.5%
Marathonbet1.741.939.3%
Betano1.701.989.3%
Best of all books1.752.007.1%
Average1.731.988.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Atletico Nacional 45%Draw 45%Independiente Medellin 10%

The statistical model rated Atletico Nacional at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Independiente Medellin at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.74 | 3.56 | 4.22, which imply roughly 57.5% for a Atletico Nacional win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Atletico Nacional averaged 2.3 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Independiente Medellin averaged 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Atletico Nacional or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.723.554.31

Double chance

1XX212
1.171.971.23

Draw no bet

12
1.303.25

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.731.98

1st half

1X2
2.262.214.66

2nd half

1X2
2.072.544.21

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.6114.039.7
HT X4.555.529.33
HT 222.014.77.29

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.5511.62.61

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.039.85
1.51.243.66
2.51.801.93
3.52.991.34
4.55.721.11
5.510.31.05
6.524.51.01
7.550.5–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.018.98
1–9.20
1.251.114.95
1.751.283.17
21.372.75
2.251.582.19
2.752.011.70
32.381.49
3.252.731.38
3.753.711.20
45.051.10
4.255.451.09
4.757.501.03
59.401.03

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.52.991.34
-1.252.661.41
-12.321.53
-0.751.941.79
-0.51.722.03
-0.251.502.39
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-311.51.01
-2.757.871.04
-2.56.131.08
-2.255.701.10
-25.231.12
-1.753.681.22
01.293.26
+0.251.223.75
+0.51.194.50
+0.751.095.75
+1.251.018.85
+1.51.028.65

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.124.52
7.51.303.00
8.51.582.17
9.51.901.82
10.52.301.57
11.53.551.21
12.55.361.07
13.57.191.01
24 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.017.16
6.251.075.39
6.751.134.30
71.154.07
7.251.233.38
7.751.352.79
81.402.62
8.251.512.35
8.751.692.05
91.771.94
9.251.891.81
9.752.141.62
102.091.74
10.252.461.46
10.752.871.33
113.271.25
11.253.441.23
11.754.141.15
124.961.09
12.255.161.08
12.755.461.07
136.751.02
13.256.971.02
147.211.01

Next Copa Colombia matches

22 OctBarranquilla – America de Cali

All Copa Colombia fixtures and the table

Latest Copa Colombia results

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