Santa Fe vs Once Caldas• Copa Colombia, Colombia

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Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.30BTNX3.40BVC23.011XBMargin at best6.1%Books9Markets57Rating52 · 49 levelExp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 1 Nov 20:33 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	2.30	3.30	3.00	7.1%
BetVictor	2.25	3.40	3.00	7.2%
Dafabet	2.27	3.30	3.00	7.7%
1xBet	2.17	3.20	3.01	10.6%
Bet365	2.25	3.10	2.90	11.2%
Betfair	2.15	3.30	2.90	11.3%
Marathonbet	2.15	3.20	2.94	11.8%
William Hill	2.20	3.10	2.90	12.2%
SBO	2.16	3.04	2.78	15.2%
Best of all books	2.30	3.40	3.01	6.1%
Average	2.21	3.22	2.94	10.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Santa FeOnce Caldas

Last 107Form pts · last 5112.0Goals for · last 52.31.0Goals against · last 50.046Attack rating540Defence rating10044Form rating5662H2H rating380Goals model10052Overall rating49

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 30 Oct 15:01 UTC

Santa Fe

5W 2D 3L · goals 14:11 · per match 1.4 for, 1.1 against

30 Oct	A	Atletico Nacional	0-2	L
27 Oct	H	Bucaramanga	2-1	W
22 Oct	H	Jaguares	2-1	W
18 Oct	A	Llaneros	0-1	L
11 Oct	H	Fortaleza FC	2-2	D
6 Oct	A	Independiente Medellin	1-0	W
29 Sep	A	Deportivo Pereira	2-1	W
25 Sep	A	Union Magdalena	1-1	D
23 Sep	H	Deportivo Cali	0-1	L
19 Sep	A	Alianza Valledupar	4-1	W

Once Caldas

4W 3D 3L · goals 10:9 · per match 1.0 for, 0.9 against

28 Oct	H	Alianza Valledupar	1-0	W
25 Oct	H	Deportivo Pereira	1-1	D
21 Oct	A	Millonarios	1-1	D
18 Oct	A	Independiente Medellin	2-0	W
10 Oct	H	Llaneros	1-0	W
4 Oct	A	Internacional de Bogota	1-1	D
26 Sep	H	Bucaramanga	1-3	L
20 Sep	A	Deportivo Pasto	0-1	L
16 Sep	H	Deportes Tolima	1-0	W
13 Sep	H	Deportivo Cali	1-2	L

Head to head

13Santa Fe wins

7draws

6Once Caldas wins

26 meetings · goals 33:25 · last 10: 6W 3D 1L for Santa Fe

3 Aug 2026Primera A	Primera A	Santa Fe2-2Once Caldas
26 Jan 2026Primera A	Primera A	Once Caldas1-1Santa Fe
2 Sep 2025Primera A	Primera A	Santa Fe1-2Once Caldas
16 Jun 2025Primera A	Primera A	Santa Fe1-0Once Caldas
5 Jun 2025Primera A	Primera A	Once Caldas1-2Santa Fe
16 Mar 2025Primera A	Primera A	Once Caldas0-1Santa Fe
9 Nov 2024Primera A	Primera A	Santa Fe2-1Once Caldas
24 May 2024Primera A	Primera A	Santa Fe1-0Once Caldas
19 May 2024Primera A	Primera A	Once Caldas0-0Santa Fe
17 Apr 2024Primera A	Primera A	Once Caldas0-1Santa Fe

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg141%2.24X28%3.21231%2.94

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.11 → 2.21 +4.7%X3.17 → 3.22 +1.6%23.23 → 2.94 -9.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.90	1.90	5.3%
Betano	1.90	1.88	5.8%
SBO	1.90	1.88	5.8%
BetVictor	1.86	1.81	9.0%
1xBet	1.89	1.78	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.89	1.78	9.1%
Betfair	1.91	1.75	9.5%
Best of all books	1.91	1.90	5.0%
Average	1.89	1.83	7.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.80	1.95	6.8%
Bet365	1.67	2.10	7.5%
William Hill	1.67	2.10	7.5%
Betano	1.67	2.07	8.2%
1xBet	1.72	1.98	8.6%
BetVictor	1.67	2.05	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.72	1.95	9.4%
Best of all books	1.80	2.10	3.2%
Average	1.70	2.03	8.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Santa Fe 10%Draw 45%Once Caldas 45%

The statistical model rates Santa Fe at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Once Caldas at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.24 | 3.21 | 2.94, which imply roughly 31.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Santa Fe averaged 2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Once Caldas averaged 2.3 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Once Caldas.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.21	3.22	2.94

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.33	1.56	1.27

Draw no bet

1	2
1.65	2.15

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.70	2.03

1st half

1	X	2
2.86	2.10	3.52

2nd half

1	X	2
2.57	2.41	3.24

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.61	13.5	30.1
HT X	5.36	5.02	6.81
HT 2	24.6	13.7	4.95

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.83	8.50	2.21

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	9.22
1.5	1.28	3.36
2.5	1.89	1.83
3.5	3.26	1.30
4.5	6.22	1.09
5.5	12.4	1.03
6.5	19.0	1.02
7.5	51.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.02	7.90
1	1.03	7.30
1.25	1.15	4.30
1.75	1.34	2.84
2	1.44	2.53
2.25	1.66	2.01
2.75	2.12	1.61
3	2.54	1.44
3.25	2.89	1.33
3.75	3.91	1.18
4	5.30	1.09
4.25	5.65	1.08
5	9.60	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	3.28	1.25
-0.75	2.55	1.42
-0.5	2.23	1.60
-0.25	1.92	1.79
0	1.60	2.14
+0.25	1.43	2.50

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.50	1.01
-2	7.80	1.02
-1.75	5.30	1.09
-1.5	4.15	1.16
-1.25	3.74	1.19
+0.75	1.22	3.51
+1	1.09	5.25
+1.25	1.08	5.65
+1.5	1.06	6.10
+1.75	1.02	7.90

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.75	2.00

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
7.5	1.30	3.35
8	1.31	3.05
8.5	1.51	2.39
9	1.64	2.07
9.5	1.90	1.80
10	2.23	1.55
10.5	2.53	1.47
11.5	3.40	1.29

Latest Copa Colombia results

22 Oct	Barranquilla 0-4 America de Cali
15 Oct	Internacional de Bogota 4-1 Llaneros
15 Oct	Atletico Nacional 3-2 Independiente Medellin
11 Oct	Santa Fe 2-2 Fortaleza FC
3 Oct	Barranquilla 1-1 Millonarios