Urawa vs Cerezo Osaka• J-League Cup, Japan

3.0:1.02-0FTToday · Saitama Stadium, Saitama2.7:1.3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.95PINX3.87PIN23.75PINMargin at best3.8%Books10Markets69Rating40 · 60Exp. goals L54.0

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Nov 08:13 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.95	3.87	3.75	3.8%
Dafabet	1.94	3.75	3.70	5.2%
Betano	1.93	3.70	3.55	7.0%
1xBet	1.87	3.72	3.63	7.9%
Marathonbet	1.85	3.72	3.62	8.6%
Betfair	1.87	3.60	3.50	9.8%
BetVictor	1.87	3.60	3.50	9.8%
Bet365	1.83	3.50	3.40	12.6%
William Hill	1.85	3.40	3.40	12.9%
SBO	1.88	3.44	3.26	12.9%
Best of all books	1.95	3.87	3.75	3.8%
Average	1.88	3.63	3.53	8.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

UrawaCerezo Osaka

Last 1010Form pts · last 583.0Goals for · last 52.71.0Goals against · last 51.353Attack rating4757Defence rating4350Form rating5015H2H rating850Goals model040Overall rating60

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 11 Nov 09:10 UTC

Urawa

7W 1D 2L · goals 19:16 · per match 1.9 for, 1.6 against

8 Nov	A	Vissel Kobe	2-2	D
31 Oct	A	Kashiwa Reysol	0-4	L
28 Oct	A	Nagoya Grampus	2-1	W
25 Oct	H	V-varen Nagasaki	1-0	W
21 Oct	H	JEF United Chiba	3-2	W
17 Oct	A	Mito Hollyhock	1-0	W
14 Oct	A	Yokohama FC	4-0	W
10 Oct	A	FC Tokyo	0-3	L
7 Oct	H	Omiya Ardija	3-2	W
29 Sep	A	Kataller Toyama	3-2	W

Cerezo Osaka

5W 3D 2L · goals 19:17 · per match 1.9 for, 1.7 against

8 Nov	A	Gamba Osaka	3-2	W
31 Oct	A	Kashima	1-4	L
28 Oct	A	Mito Hollyhock	3-1	W
25 Oct	H	JEF United Chiba	2-2	D
21 Oct	A	Nagoya Grampus	1-1	D
17 Oct	H	Kawasaki Frontale	2-4	L
14 Oct	A	Gainare Tottori	3-2	W
10 Oct	H	Yokohama F. Marinos	0-0	D
7 Oct	H	Kagoshima United	2-0	W
29 Sep	A	Fujieda MYFC	2-1	W

Head to head

8Urawa wins

11draws

16Cerezo Osaka wins

35 meetings · goals 35:50 · last 10: 1W 3D 6L for Urawa

28 May 2025J1 League	J1 League	Urawa0-0Cerezo Osaka
28 Mar 2025J1 League	J1 League	Cerezo Osaka1-1Urawa
5 Oct 2024J1 League	J1 League	Urawa0-1Cerezo Osaka
15 Jun 2024J1 League	J1 League	Cerezo Osaka2-1Urawa
16 Jul 2023J1 League	J1 League	Cerezo Osaka2-0Urawa
4 Mar 2023J1 League	J1 League	Urawa2-1Cerezo Osaka
25 Sep 2022J-League Cup	J-League Cup	Urawa0-4Cerezo Osaka
21 Sep 2022J-League Cup	J-League Cup	Cerezo Osaka1-1Urawa
14 Sep 2022J1 League	J1 League	Urawa0-1Cerezo Osaka
25 May 2022J1 League	J1 League	Cerezo Osaka2-0Urawa

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg149%1.88X25%3.63226%3.53

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.8% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.64	2.31	4.3%
Betano	1.62	2.25	6.2%
Bet365	1.57	2.35	6.2%
1xBet	1.60	2.23	7.3%
Marathonbet	1.60	2.23	7.3%
BetVictor	1.59	2.17	9.0%
Best of all books	1.64	2.35	3.5%
Average	1.60	2.26	6.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.53	2.38	7.4%
Betano	1.55	2.32	7.6%
1xBet	1.54	2.32	8.0%
BetVictor	1.50	2.38	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.54	2.28	8.8%
William Hill	1.50	2.30	10.1%
Best of all books	1.55	2.38	6.5%
Average	1.53	2.33	8.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Urawa 10%Draw 45%Cerezo Osaka 45%

The statistical model rated Urawa at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Cerezo Osaka at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.88 | 3.63 | 3.53, which imply roughly 27.5% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Urawa averaged 3 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Cerezo Osaka averaged 2.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Cerezo Osaka and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.88	3.63	3.53

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.26	1.84	1.23

Draw no bet

1	2
1.43	2.66

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.53	2.33

1st half

1	X	2
2.39	2.34	3.93

2nd half

1	X	2
2.18	2.67	3.61

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.89	13.9	31.2
HT X	5.12	6.15	8.37
HT 2	21.8	14.1	5.86

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.64	16.8	2.29

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	13.2
1.5	1.17	4.55
2.5	1.60	2.26
3.5	2.45	1.49
4.5	4.40	1.17
5.5	8.32	1.04
6.5	15.5	1.02
7.5	34.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	9.90
1.25	1.06	6.25
1.75	1.17	3.97
2	1.22	3.50
2.25	1.40	2.62
2.75	1.75	1.99
3	1.96	1.77
3.25	2.22	1.59
3.75	2.89	1.33
4	3.72	1.20
4.25	4.11	1.16
4.75	5.55	1.08
5	7.90	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	2.91	1.36
-1	2.60	1.47
-0.75	2.10	1.65
-0.5	1.90	1.88
-0.25	1.64	2.14
0	1.41	2.68

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	12.0	1.02
-2.5	6.50	1.08
-2.25	6.07	1.08
-2	5.72	1.10
-1.75	3.97	1.19
-1.5	3.28	1.29
+0.25	1.32	3.12
+0.5	1.30	3.57
+0.75	1.16	4.43
+1	1.07	6.67
+1.25	1.05	7.20
+1.5	1.05	7.78
+2.5	1.01	13.0

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.09	5.40
7.5	1.22	3.64
8.5	1.43	2.59
9.5	1.75	1.99
10.5	2.21	1.60
11.5	2.88	1.35
12.5	3.70	1.21
13.5	5.10	1.11
14.5	7.00	1.04

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
8.75	1.46	2.45
9	1.57	2.32
9.25	1.64	2.12
9.75	1.82	1.84
10	2.01	1.80
10.25	2.06	1.63
10.75	2.35	1.47
11	2.64	1.45

Latest J-League Cup results

11 Nov	Yokohama F. Marinos 2-3 Kashima
11 Nov	Kawasaki Frontale 1-2 Kashiwa Reysol
11 Nov	Vissel Kobe 0-1 Machida Zelvia
28 Oct	Nagoya Grampus 1-2 Urawa
28 Oct	Mito Hollyhock 1-3 Cerezo Osaka
28 Oct	Sagan Tosu 0-2 Kawasaki Frontale