Deren vs Central Stallions• Premier League, Mongolia

#32.0:1.44-3FTToday3.0:2.0#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.10WHX4.50B36521.93BTNMargin at best6.3%Books6Markets42Rating51 · 49 levelExp. goals L54.2

Price board · 1X2captured 13 Nov 05:04 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betfair	3.10	4.20	1.85	10.1%
Betano	2.80	4.35	1.93	10.5%
Bet365	2.80	4.50	1.90	10.6%
1xBet	3.06	4.20	1.84	10.8%
Marathonbet	2.99	4.20	1.82	12.2%
William Hill	3.10	3.80	1.85	12.6%
Best of all books	3.10	4.50	1.93	6.3%
Average	2.98	4.21	1.86	11.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

DerenCentral Stallions

Last 10#3Table position#21.85Points per game2.157Form pts · last 572.0Goals for · last 53.01.4Goals against · last 52.040Attack rating6059Defence rating4150Form rating5050H2H rating5048Goals model5251Overall rating49

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 12 Nov 18:00 UTC

Deren

5W 2D 3L · goals 29:15 · per match 2.9 for, 1.5 against

10 Nov	H	Ulaanbaatar	4-1	W
6 Nov	A	Hunters	1-2	L
2 Nov	A	Central Stallions	3-3	D
29 Oct	A	Ulaanbaatar	0-1	L
25 Oct	H	Hunters	2-0	W
14 Oct	H	Erchim	5-0	W
11 Oct	A	Central Stallions	1-2	L
4 Oct	H	Khovd	3-3	D
1 Oct	A	Khovd Western	5-1	W
27 Sep	H	Amtat FC	5-2	W

Central Stallions

6W 1D 3L · goals 33:19 · per match 3.3 for, 1.9 against

10 Nov	H	Hunters	3-2	W
6 Nov	A	Ulaanbaatar	2-3	L
2 Nov	H	Deren	3-3	D
29 Oct	A	Hunters	7-1	W
25 Oct	H	Ulaanbaatar	0-1	L
18 Oct	A	Ulaanbaatar	0-2	L
11 Oct	H	Deren	2-1	W
4 Oct	H	Khovd Western	8-4	W
1 Oct	A	Erchim	4-1	W
26 Sep	H	Ulaangom City	4-1	W

Head to head

5Deren wins

2draws

5Central Stallions wins

12 meetings · goals 42:17 · last 10: 4W 2D 4L for Deren

2 Nov 2026Premier League	Premier League	Central Stallions3-3Deren
11 Oct 2026Premier League	Premier League	Central Stallions2-1Deren
3 Jul 2026Premier League	Premier League	Central Stallions0-3Deren
24 Jun 2026Premier League	Premier League	Deren2-0Central Stallions
14 Jun 2026Premier League	Premier League	Deren1-2Central Stallions
30 Oct 2025Premier League	Premier League	Central Stallions1-0Deren
2 Jul 2025Premier League	Premier League	Central Stallions1-3Deren
12 Apr 2025Premier League	Premier League	Deren1-1Central Stallions
24 Sep 2024Premier League	Premier League	Central Stallions0-21Deren
5 May 2024Premier League	Premier League	Deren0-1Central Stallions

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 13 Nov 09:00 UTC

In the Premier League table, Deren sit 3rd with 24 points from 13 games, while Central Stallions are 2nd with 28 points from 13.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Ulaanbaatar	14	12	1	1	61:12	+49	37
2	Central Stallions	13	9	1	3	44:19	+25	28
3	Deren	13	7	3	3	36:16	+20	24
4	Hunters	14	6	0	8	38:46	-8	18
5	Amtat FC	12	5	1	6	22:41	-19	16
6	Khovd Western	12	5	0	7	26:40	-14	15
7	Erchim	12	4	0	8	19:38	-19	12
8	Khovd	11	3	1	7	33:39	-6	10
9	Ulaangom City	11	1	1	9	14:42	-28	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg130%2.98X21%4.21248%1.86

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.88 → 2.98 +3.5%X4.50 → 4.21 -6.4%21.89 → 1.87 -1.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.14	5.00	7.7%
Betfair	1.14	4.80	8.6%
1xBet	1.18	4.00	9.7%
Best of all books	1.18	5.00	4.7%
Average	1.15	4.60	8.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.17	4.50	7.7%
William Hill	1.22	3.70	9.0%
1xBet	1.18	4.08	9.3%
Marathonbet	1.18	3.94	10.1%
Best of all books	1.22	4.50	4.2%
Average	1.19	4.05	8.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Deren 45%Draw 45%Central Stallions 10%

The statistical model rated Deren at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Central Stallions at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.98 | 4.21 | 1.86, which imply roughly 33.6% for a Deren win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Deren are 3rd (24 pts, 36-16 goals), Central Stallions 2nd (28 pts, 44-19).

Over their last five matches, Deren averaged 2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Central Stallions averaged 3 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Deren or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.98	4.21	1.87

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.78	1.31	1.17

Draw no bet

1	2
2.29	1.54

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.19	4.06

1st half

1	X	2
3.14	2.85	2.23

2nd half

1	X	2
3.04	3.17	2.09

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.60	13.0	14.3
HT X	8.73	9.19	6.20
HT 2	18.3	12.5	2.85

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.04	41.0	1.68

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.02	10.5
2.5	1.15	4.60
3.5	1.46	2.45
4.5	2.05	1.66
5.5	3.16	1.28

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
3	1.21	3.58
3.25	1.33	2.83
3.75	1.55	2.19
4	1.69	1.97
4.25	1.88	1.78
4.75	2.30	1.51
5	2.68	1.37
5.25	2.88	1.32
5.75	3.05	1.28
6	4.75	1.12

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
0	2.44	1.46
+0.25	2.06	1.64
+0.5	1.83	1.88
+0.75	1.66	2.02
+1	1.50	2.31
+1.25	1.40	2.56

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	5.40	1.09
-1	4.75	1.12
-0.75	3.50	1.22
-0.25	2.71	1.37
+1.5	1.33	2.83
+2	1.14	4.40
+2.5	1.10	5.00

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9.5	1.74	2.01
10	1.98	1.82

Latest Premier League results

13 Nov	Ulaanbaatar 7-1 Hunters
10 Nov	Deren 4-1 Ulaanbaatar
10 Nov	Central Stallions 3-2 Hunters
6 Nov	Ulaanbaatar 3-2 Central Stallions
2 Nov	Central Stallions 3-3 Deren
1 Nov	Khovd 0-3 Khovd Western