Santa Fe vs Fortaleza FC• Copa Colombia, Colombia

1.5:0.52-2FT11/101.3:0.8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.75B365X3.50B36525.00BVCMargin at best5.7%Books9Markets79Rating55 · 45Exp. goals L52.0

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	1.75	3.50	4.80	6.5%
Bet365	1.75	3.50	4.75	6.8%
BetVictor	1.70	3.50	5.00	7.4%
Pinnacle	1.74	3.37	4.88	7.6%
Dafabet	1.74	3.45	4.60	8.2%
Betfair	1.67	3.50	4.60	10.2%
1xBet	1.65	3.45	4.76	10.6%
William Hill	1.70	3.20	4.60	11.8%
Marathonbet	1.63	3.45	4.65	11.8%
Best of all books	1.75	3.50	5.00	5.7%
Average	1.70	3.44	4.74	8.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Santa FeFortaleza FC

Last 108Form pts · last 541.5Goals for · last 51.30.5Goals against · last 50.838Attack rating6375Defence rating2544Form rating5662H2H rating38100Goals model055Overall rating45

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 19 Oct 08:50 UTC

Santa Fe

4W 3D 3L · goals 11:9 · per match 1.1 for, 0.9 against

18 Oct	A	Llaneros	0-1	L
11 Oct	H	Fortaleza FC	2-2	D
6 Oct	A	Independiente Medellin	1-0	W
29 Sep	A	Deportivo Pereira	2-1	W
25 Sep	A	Union Magdalena	1-1	D
23 Sep	H	Deportivo Cali	0-1	L
19 Sep	A	Alianza Valledupar	4-1	W
15 Sep	A	Vasco DA Gama	0-2	L
12 Sep	H	Deportes Tolima	1-0	W
8 Sep	H	Vasco DA Gama	0-0	D

Fortaleza FC

0W 7D 3L · goals 12:17 · per match 1.2 for, 1.7 against

11 Oct	A	Santa Fe	2-2	D
9 Oct	H	Millonarios	1-1	D
4 Oct	A	Deportivo Pasto	0-0	D
27 Sep	H	Deportes Tolima	2-2	D
20 Sep	H	Junior	1-4	L
11 Sep	A	Jaguares	2-2	D
5 Sep	A	Santa Fe	2-2	D
2 Sep	H	Once Caldas	1-2	L
26 Aug	A	Chico	0-0	D
23 Aug	H	Atletico Nacional	1-2	L

Head to head

6Santa Fe wins

3draws

1Fortaleza FC wins

10 meetings · goals 20:8 · last 10: 6W 3D 1L for Santa Fe

5 Sep 2026Primera A	Primera A	Santa Fe2-2Fortaleza FC
7 Feb 2026Primera A	Primera A	Fortaleza FC1-1Santa Fe
3 Dec 2025Primera A	Primera A	Fortaleza FC1-2Santa Fe
22 Nov 2025Primera A	Primera A	Santa Fe3-0Fortaleza FC
23 Aug 2025Primera A	Primera A	Fortaleza FC2-0Santa Fe
9 Mar 2025Primera A	Primera A	Santa Fe2-0Fortaleza FC
22 Sep 2024Primera A	Primera A	Fortaleza FC1-3Santa Fe
9 Mar 2024Primera A	Primera A	Santa Fe2-0Fortaleza FC
29 Oct 2016Primera A	Primera A	Fortaleza FC1-1Santa Fe
14 May 2016Primera A	Primera A	Santa Fe4-0Fortaleza FC

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg147%1.97X29%3.18225%3.73

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.7% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	2.10	1.72	5.8%
Pinnacle	2.13	1.69	6.1%
Bet365	2.10	1.70	6.4%
Betfair	2.00	1.73	7.8%
BetVictor	2.04	1.67	8.9%
1xBet	2.05	1.66	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.05	1.66	9.0%
Best of all books	2.13	1.73	4.8%
Average	2.07	1.69	7.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	2.00	1.75	7.1%
Bet365	2.00	1.73	7.8%
BetVictor	2.00	1.73	7.8%
William Hill	1.91	1.80	7.9%
Betano	1.95	1.75	8.4%
1xBet	1.97	1.73	8.6%
Marathonbet	1.97	1.71	9.2%
Best of all books	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Average	1.97	1.74	8.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Santa Fe 45%Draw 45%Fortaleza FC 10%

The statistical model rated Santa Fe at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Fortaleza FC at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.97 | 3.18 | 3.73, which imply roughly 50.8% for a Santa Fe win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Santa Fe averaged 1.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game; Fortaleza FC averaged 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Santa Fe or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.70	3.44	4.74

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.15	2.03	1.24

Draw no bet

1	2
1.27	3.48

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.97	1.74

1st half

1	X	2
2.30	2.08	5.18

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.55	8.40	2.86

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	8.43
1.5	1.34	3.02
2.5	2.07	1.69
3.5	3.70	1.24
4.5	7.58	1.06
5.5	15.8	1.02
6.5	31.5	1.01

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.03	7.70
1	1.04	6.90
1.25	1.18	3.93
1.75	1.42	2.57
2	1.57	2.25
2.25	1.82	1.87
2.75	2.38	1.50
3	2.87	1.36
3.25	3.29	1.25
3.75	4.61	1.13
4	6.50	1.05
4.25	6.90	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.93	1.36
-1.25	2.65	1.41
-1	2.31	1.56
-0.75	1.90	1.81
-0.5	1.71	2.08
-0.25	1.46	2.49

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3	9.60	1.01
-2.75	8.10	1.02
-2.5	6.30	1.08
-2.25	5.80	1.09
-2	5.45	1.11
-1.75	3.72	1.22
0	1.25	3.49
+0.25	1.19	4.02
+0.5	1.18	4.65
+0.75	1.08	6.23
+1	1.02	8.80
+1.5	1.01	9.90

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.01	7.32
6.5	1.19	3.95
7.5	1.39	2.69
8.5	1.74	2.00
9.5	2.20	1.60
10.5	2.95	1.33
11.5	3.92	1.17
12.5	5.87	1.05

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5.75	1.02	7.02
6	1.02	6.72
6.25	1.08	5.09
6.75	1.16	3.98
7	1.18	3.76
7.25	1.27	3.16
7.75	1.40	2.63
8	1.45	2.48
8.25	1.56	2.24
8.75	1.75	1.96
9	1.86	1.86
9.25	1.98	1.74
9.75	2.25	1.56
10	2.47	1.46
10.25	2.61	1.41
10.75	3.06	1.29
11	3.53	1.21
11.25	3.70	1.19
11.75	4.50	1.12
12	5.45	1.07
12.25	5.66	1.06

Latest Copa Colombia results

15 Oct	Internacional de Bogota 4-1 Llaneros
15 Oct	Atletico Nacional 3-2 Independiente Medellin
3 Oct	Barranquilla 1-1 Millonarios
25 Sep	Union Magdalena 1-1 Santa Fe