Oriente Petrolero vs Aurora• Primera División, Bolivia

#51.4:0.800:00Tomorrow · Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera Costas, Santa Cruz1.2:1.2#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.85WHX3.80DAF23.85DAFMargin at best6.3%Books7Markets86Rating58 · 42Exp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 30 Oct 08:32 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.83	3.80	3.85	6.9%
Betano	1.82	3.65	3.75	9.0%
Bet365	1.80	3.75	3.70	9.2%
Pinnacle	1.79	3.65	3.74	10.0%
1xBet	1.81	3.58	3.64	10.7%
Betfair	1.80	3.60	3.60	11.1%
William Hill	1.85	3.40	3.60	11.2%
Best of all books	1.85	3.80	3.85	6.3%
Average	1.81	3.63	3.70	9.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Oriente PetroleroAurora

Last 10#5Table position#61.61Points per game1.4813Form pts · last 571.4Goals for · last 51.20.8Goals against · last 51.254Attack rating4660Defence rating4059Form rating4150H2H rating5070Goals model3058Overall rating42

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 29 Oct 09:01 UTC

Oriente Petrolero

6W 2D 2L · goals 16:11 · per match 1.6 for, 1.1 against

25 Oct	H	The Strongest	2-1	W
22 Oct	H	Nacional Potosí	3-2	W
18 Oct	A	Guabirá	1-1	D
10 Oct	H	ABB	1-0	W
8 Oct	H	Universitario de Vinto	2-0	W
4 Oct	A	Guabirá	1-2	L
1 Oct	H	The Strongest	1-1	D
27 Sep	A	Universitario de Vinto	0-3	L
20 Sep	H	Blooming	3-1	W
17 Sep	A	Real Tomayapo	2-0	W

Aurora

4W 3D 3L · goals 14:15 · per match 1.4 for, 1.5 against

25 Oct	H	Real Tomayapo	1-0	W
20 Oct	A	Independiente Petrolero	0-4	L
17 Oct	A	Real Oruro	0-1	L
11 Oct	H	Nacional Potosí	2-2	D
7 Oct	H	ABB	2-0	W
3 Oct	A	Real Potosí	1-1	D
30 Sep	H	San Antonio Bulo Bulo	2-2	D
25 Sep	A	ABB	1-0	W
19 Sep	H	Universitario de Vinto	4-2	W
16 Sep	A	Guabirá	1-3	L

Head to head

11Oriente Petrolero wins

4draws

5Aurora wins

20 meetings · goals 38:24 · last 10: 5W 3D 2L for Oriente Petrolero

19 Jul 2026Primera División	Primera División	Aurora2-2Oriente Petrolero
4 Aug 2025Primera División	Primera División	Oriente Petrolero3-0Aurora
30 Mar 2025Primera División	Primera División	Aurora5-1Oriente Petrolero
25 Sep 2024Primera División	Primera División	Oriente Petrolero5-0Aurora
12 May 2024Primera División	Primera División	Aurora3-1Oriente Petrolero
12 Nov 2023Primera División	Primera División	Oriente Petrolero1-0Aurora
14 May 2023Primera División	Primera División	Aurora2-2Oriente Petrolero
6 Sep 2022Primera División	Primera División	Oriente Petrolero2-1Aurora
20 Apr 2022Primera División	Primera División	Aurora1-1Oriente Petrolero
12 Feb 2022Primera División	Primera División	Oriente Petrolero2-0Aurora

Primera División tablePrimera Divisiónupdated 30 Oct 06:03 UTC

In the Primera División table, Oriente Petrolero sit 5th with 37 points from 23 games, while Aurora are 6th with 34 points from 23.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Bolívar	23	17	3	3	58:23	+35	54
2	Always Ready	23	15	6	2	55:16	+39	51
3	The Strongest	23	13	6	4	42:26	+16	45
4	Real Potosí	23	10	8	5	30:16	+14	38
5	Oriente Petrolero	23	11	4	8	40:29	+11	37
6	Aurora	23	8	10	5	34:30	+4	34
7	Nacional Potosí	23	9	4	10	35:31	+4	31
8	Guabirá	23	8	6	9	34:47	-13	30
9	Independiente Petrolero	23	8	5	10	31:39	-8	29
10	Blooming	23	6	10	7	31:25	+6	28
11	Real Oruro	23	8	3	12	37:56	-19	27
12	San Antonio Bulo Bulo	23	7	3	13	24:43	-19	24
13	Universitario de Vinto	23	6	3	14	30:45	-15	21
14	Gualberto Villarroel SJ	23	4	8	11	27:40	-13	20
15	ABB	23	6	2	15	33:51	-18	20
16	Real Tomayapo	23	5	5	13	16:40	-24	20

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg150%1.81X25%3.63225%3.70

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.70 → 1.81 +6.5%X3.86 → 3.63 -6.0%24.03 → 3.70 -8.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.57	2.35	6.2%
Pinnacle	1.61	2.20	7.6%
Betfair	1.57	2.25	8.1%
Betano	1.60	2.15	9.0%
1xBet	1.51	2.26	10.5%
Best of all books	1.61	2.35	4.7%
Average	1.57	2.24	8.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.57	2.30	7.2%
Bet365	1.53	2.38	7.4%
William Hill	1.53	2.38	7.4%
1xBet	1.50	2.38	8.7%
Betano	1.55	2.25	9.0%
Best of all books	1.57	2.38	5.7%
Average	1.54	2.34	7.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Oriente Petrolero 45%Draw 45%Aurora 10%

The statistical model rates Oriente Petrolero at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Aurora at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.81 | 3.63 | 3.70, which imply roughly 55.2% for a Oriente Petrolero win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera División table: Oriente Petrolero are 5th (37 pts, 40-29 goals), Aurora 6th (34 pts, 34-30).

Over their last five matches, Oriente Petrolero averaged 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Aurora averaged 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Oriente Petrolero or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.81	3.63	3.70

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.22	1.91	1.23

Draw no bet

1	2
1.39	2.74

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.54	2.34

1st half

1	X	2
2.33	2.33	4.00

2nd half

1	X	2
2.13	2.69	3.68

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.76	13.1	30.3
HT X	4.89	6.21	8.84
HT 2	18.5	13.9	6.23

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.57	19.0	2.30

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	14.9
1.5	1.17	4.47
2.5	1.57	2.24
3.5	2.43	1.50
4.5	4.17	1.20
5.5	7.68	1.06
6.5	17.0	1.02
7.5	34.0	–
8.5	50.5	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	9.00
1.75	1.16	4.05
2	1.23	3.51
2.25	1.40	2.65
2.75	1.71	2.01
3	1.92	1.77
3.25	2.15	1.60
3.75	2.71	1.38
4	3.28	1.25
4.25	3.58	1.21
4.75	4.75	1.12
5	6.35	1.06
5.25	6.65	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	2.70	1.40
-1	2.38	1.51
-0.75	2.00	1.73
-0.5	1.79	1.97
-0.25	1.58	2.24
0	1.37	2.84

14 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	9.70	1.01
-3	8.80	1.02
-2.75	6.53	1.08
-2.5	5.95	1.10
-2.25	5.53	1.12
-2	5.23	1.13
-1.75	3.64	1.23
-1.5	3.04	1.33
+0.25	1.29	3.25
+0.5	1.26	3.70
+0.75	1.16	4.56
+1	1.09	6.33
+1.25	1.08	6.85
+1.5	1.04	7.10

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.08	5.18
7.5	1.25	3.28
8.5	1.51	2.35
9.5	1.85	1.85
10.5	2.37	1.50
11.5	3.19	1.26
12.5	4.61	1.11
13.5	7.10	1.01

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.09	4.93
7	1.11	4.70
7.25	1.18	3.82
7.75	1.28	3.11
8	1.32	2.94
8.25	1.41	2.59
8.75	1.57	2.22
9	1.65	2.10
9.25	1.76	1.95
9.75	1.98	1.74
10	2.12	1.64
10.25	2.24	1.56
10.75	2.58	1.42
11	2.89	1.33
11.25	3.04	1.29
11.75	3.61	1.20
12	4.24	1.14
12.25	4.42	1.12
12.75	5.40	1.07
13	6.66	1.03
13.25	6.88	1.02

Next Primera División matches

30 Oct	Real Potosí – Independiente Petrolero
31 Oct	Real Oruro – Nacional Potosí
31 Oct	ABB – San Antonio Bulo Bulo
1 Nov	The Strongest – Gualberto Villarroel SJ
1 Nov	Guabirá – Bolívar
1 Nov	Universitario de Vinto – Always Ready

All Primera División fixtures and the table

Latest Primera División results

27 Oct	Bolívar 2-1 Universitario de Vinto
26 Oct	Nacional Potosí 3-0 Guabirá
25 Oct	Oriente Petrolero 2-1 The Strongest
25 Oct	Aurora 1-0 Real Tomayapo
25 Oct	Always Ready 5-1 Real Oruro
24 Oct	Independiente Petrolero 4-2 ABB