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Dover vs Dorking Wanderers• FA Cup, England

3.0:1.53-2FT17/10 · Crabble Athletic Ground, River2.7:2.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.00B365X3.90BVC22.05BVCMargin at best7.8%Books4Markets54Rating48 · 52 levelExp. goals L54.6

Price board · 1X2captured 16 Oct 15:44 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
BetVictor3.003.902.057.8%
1xBet3.003.602.0210.6%
Bet3653.003.602.0011.1%
Marathonbet2.943.602.0011.8%
Best of all books3.003.902.057.8%
Average2.983.672.0210.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

DoverDorking Wanderers
Last 1013Form pts · last 5113.0Goals for · last 52.71.5Goals against · last 52.043Attack rating5767Defence rating3346Form rating5429H2H rating7164Goals model3648Overall rating52

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 06:51 UTC

Dover

6W 3D 1L · goals 19:14 · per match 1.9 for, 1.4 against

10 OctHDorking Wanderers1-1D
3 OctAHanwell Town2-1W
26 SepHAFC Totton2-0W
19 SepHFolkestone Invicta4-2W
12 SepAFarnborough1-0W
8 SepADagenham & Redbridge1-0W
5 SepHMaidenhead0-3L
31 AugAChesham United2-2D
29 AugHBraintree3-3D
22 AugAWeston-super-Mare3-2W

Dorking Wanderers

5W 5D 0L · goals 26:19 · per match 2.6 for, 1.9 against

10 OctADover1-1D
3 OctHChatham Town1-0W
26 SepHBraintree4-3W
22 SepHSouthall5-4W
20 SepASouthall2-2D
12 SepATorquay2-2D
8 SepHChelmsford City3-3D
5 SepABillericay Town3-3D
31 AugHTruro City1-0W
29 AugAWalton & Hersham4-1W

Head to head

0Dover wins
2draws
1Dorking Wanderers wins

3 meetings · goals 3:5 · last 3: 0W 2D 1L for Dover

10 Oct 2026National League - SouthNational League - SouthDover1-1Dorking Wanderers
10 Feb 2026National League - SouthNational League - SouthDorking Wanderers2-0Dover
21 Oct 2025National League - SouthNational League - SouthDover2-2Dorking Wanderers

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg130%2.99X25%3.68245%2.02

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.8% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.442.627.6%
BetVictor1.402.757.8%
1xBet1.402.5610.5%
Marathonbet1.402.5610.5%
Best of all books1.442.755.8%
Average1.412.629.1%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
BetVictor1.362.888.3%
1xBet1.382.778.6%
Marathonbet1.382.719.4%
Best of all books1.382.887.2%
Average1.372.798.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Dover 35%Draw 35%Dorking Wanderers 30%

The statistical model rated Dover at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Dorking Wanderers at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.99 | 3.68 | 2.02, which imply roughly 33.4% for a Dover win versus the model's 35%.

Over their last five matches, Dover averaged 3 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game; Dorking Wanderers averaged 2.7 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Dover or draw and +2.5 goals (goal line signal: over 2.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Match Statistics

DoverDorking Wanderers
0Free Kicks0
2Yellow Cards3
7Shots on Goal12
0Red Cards0
33%Ball Possession67%
5Shots off Goal17
2Corner Kicks8
0Blocked Shots0
12Total Shots29

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.993.682.02

Double chance

1XX212
1.641.291.20

Draw no bet

12
2.251.59

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.372.79

1st half

1X2
3.402.412.53

2nd half

1X2
3.122.802.30

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 14.7013.522.3
HT X7.606.435.63
HT 226.314.23.09

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.1118.61.72

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0115.0
1.51.095.58
2.51.412.62
3.52.071.66
4.53.481.24
5.56.501.06
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0211.0
1.751.105.05
21.134.55
2.251.273.15
2.751.502.31
31.632.03
3.251.841.81
3.752.341.49
42.831.33
4.253.091.29
4.754.201.15
55.601.08
5.255.951.07

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.252.571.40
02.251.54
+0.251.901.79
+0.751.502.31
+11.322.88
+1.251.263.21
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.59.901.01
-29.901.01
-1.757.901.02
-1.55.951.07
-1.255.511.08
-15.101.10
-0.753.591.21
+1.51.223.50
+1.751.134.50
+21.066.35
+2.251.075.80
+2.51.047.10
+31.0512.0

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
8.51.382.70
91.502.36
9.51.711.96
101.961.71
10.52.251.54
112.771.37

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