AFC Rushden & Diamonds vs 
Morecambe• FA Cup, England
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 16 Oct 15:44 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetVictor | 4.33 | 4.10 | 1.67 | 7.4% |
| 1xBet | 4.24 | 3.85 | 1.64 | 10.5% |
| Marathonbet | 4.15 | 3.85 | 1.62 | 11.8% |
| Bet365 | 3.75 | 3.90 | 1.67 | 12.2% |
| Best of all books | 4.33 | 4.10 | 1.67 | 7.4% |
| Average | 4.12 | 3.92 | 1.65 | 10.4% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 06:51 UTC
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
3W 3D 4L · goals 14:14 · per match 1.4 for, 1.4 against
| 3 Oct | H | Braintree | 2-1 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Peterborough Sports | 3-1 | W |
| 5 Sep | A | Desborough Town | 3-0 | W |
| 29 Aug | A | Chasetown | 1-3 | L |
| 24 Jul | H | Banbury United | 1-2 | L |
| 10 Jul | H | Milton Keynes Irish | 2-2 | D |
| 18 Apr | A | Lichfield City | 1-2 | L |
| 11 Apr | H | Rugby Borough | 1-1 | D |
| 3 Apr | H | Mickleover Sports | 0-0 | D |
| 28 Mar | A | Bedworth United | 0-2 | L |
Morecambe
6W 1D 3L · goals 19:8 · per match 1.9 for, 0.8 against
| 10 Oct | A | Worksop Town | 1-2 | L |
| 3 Oct | H | Darlington 1883 | 3-0 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | Oxford City | 1-1 | D |
| 19 Sep | H | Southport | 2-0 | W |
| 12 Sep | H | Brackley Town | 3-0 | W |
| 8 Sep | A | Southport | 1-2 | L |
| 5 Sep | H | Buxton | 4-0 | W |
| 31 Aug | A | Chester | 1-0 | W |
| 28 Aug | H | AFC Telford United | 2-1 | W |
| 22 Aug | A | Radcliffe | 1-2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings between AFC Rushden & Diamonds and Morecambe on record.
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.4% margin.
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.53 | 2.38 | 7.4% |
| BetVictor | 1.50 | 2.45 | 7.5% |
| 1xBet | 1.49 | 2.30 | 10.6% |
| Marathonbet | 1.49 | 2.30 | 10.6% |
| Best of all books | 1.53 | 2.45 | 6.2% |
| Average | 1.50 | 2.36 | 9.0% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| BetVictor | 1.50 | 2.40 | 8.3% |
| 1xBet | 1.53 | 2.32 | 8.5% |
| Marathonbet | 1.53 | 2.28 | 9.2% |
| Best of all books | 1.53 | 2.40 | 7.0% |
| Average | 1.52 | 2.33 | 8.6% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated AFC Rushden & Diamonds at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Morecambe at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.12 | 3.93 | 1.65, which imply roughly 24.3% for a AFC Rushden & Diamonds win versus the model's 45%.
Over their last five matches, AFC Rushden & Diamonds averaged 2.7 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game; Morecambe averaged 2.5 scored and 0 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : AFC Rushden & Diamonds or draw.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Match Statistics
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 4.12 | 3.93 | 1.65 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.00 | 1.16 | 1.17 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 3.25 | 1.32 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.52 | 2.33 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 4.29 | 2.40 | 2.18 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 4.16 | 2.80 | 1.95 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 6.80 | 15.0 | 19.4 |
| HT X | 9.83 | 6.80 | 4.77 |
| HT 2 | 32.3 | 15.3 | 2.47 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.47 | 17.0 | 1.54 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.01 | 14.5 |
| 1.5 | 1.13 | 4.73 |
| 2.5 | 1.50 | 2.36 |
| 3.5 | 2.28 | 1.54 |
| 4.5 | 3.89 | 1.19 |
| 5.5 | 7.17 | 1.04 |
13 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.02 | 10.5 |
| 1.75 | 1.15 | 4.20 |
| 2 | 1.19 | 3.78 |
| 2.25 | 1.35 | 2.79 |
| 2.75 | 1.62 | 2.09 |
| 3 | 1.79 | 1.84 |
| 3.25 | 2.01 | 1.65 |
| 3.75 | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| 4 | 3.14 | 1.27 |
| 4.25 | 3.49 | 1.23 |
| 4.75 | 4.65 | 1.12 |
| 5 | 6.15 | 1.06 |
| 5.25 | 6.45 | 1.05 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| +0.25 | 2.43 | 1.44 |
| +0.75 | 1.86 | 1.82 |
| +1 | 1.72 | 2.02 |
| +1.25 | 1.48 | 2.33 |
| +1.5 | 1.39 | 2.59 |
| +1.75 | 1.28 | 3.08 |
10 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 8.30 | 1.01 |
| -1 | 7.60 | 1.03 |
| -0.75 | 5.10 | 1.10 |
| -0.25 | 3.50 | 1.22 |
| 0 | 3.14 | 1.27 |
| +2 | 1.16 | 4.10 |
| +2.25 | 1.14 | 4.45 |
| +2.5 | 1.12 | 4.80 |
| +2.75 | 1.06 | 6.00 |
| +3 | 1.01 | 8.50 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 1.43 | 2.53 |
| 9 | 1.56 | 2.20 |
| 9.5 | 1.80 | 1.86 |
| 10 | 2.09 | 1.63 |
| 10.5 | 2.39 | 1.48 |
| 11 | 2.99 | 1.32 |