Harrogate Town vs Bury• FA Cup, England

1.0:1.018:45Tomorrow4.0:0.8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.76DAFX4.26PIN24.20DAFMargin at best4.1%Books9Markets54Rating38 · 62Exp. goals L53.4

Price board · 1X2captured 19 Oct 16:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.76	4.20	4.20	4.4%
Betano	1.75	3.80	3.85	9.4%
William Hill	1.73	3.90	3.70	10.5%
Betfair	1.65	4.00	4.00	10.6%
1xBet	1.70	3.80	3.92	10.6%
Bet365	1.67	3.90	3.90	11.2%
Marathonbet	1.68	3.80	3.84	11.9%
BetVictor	1.67	3.60	4.10	12.0%
Pinnacle	1.73	4.26	3.19	12.6%
Best of all books	1.76	4.26	4.20	4.1%
Average	1.70	3.92	3.86	10.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Harrogate TownBury

Last 1013Form pts · last 581.0Goals for · last 54.01.0Goals against · last 50.86Attack rating9475Defence rating259Form rating9150H2H rating500Goals model038Overall rating62

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 19 Oct 02:30 UTC

Harrogate Town

7W 1D 2L · goals 19:10 · per match 1.9 for, 1.0 against

17 Oct	A	Bury	1-1	D
10 Oct	A	Woking	1-0	W
3 Oct	H	AFC Hornchurch	3-0	W
29 Sep	A	Hartlepool	1-0	W
26 Sep	H	Eastleigh	4-1	W
19 Sep	A	Boreham Wood	1-4	L
15 Sep	H	AFC Fylde	1-2	L
12 Sep	H	Tamworth	3-1	W
5 Sep	A	Scunthorpe	2-0	W
31 Aug	H	Gateshead	2-1	W

Bury

6W 2D 2L · goals 34:11 · per match 3.4 for, 1.1 against

17 Oct	H	Harrogate Town	1-1	D
10 Oct	A	Alfreton Town	3-2	W
6 Oct	A	Stockton Town	0-1	L
3 Oct	H	Bromsgrove Sporting	2-1	W
26 Sep	H	Gainsborough Trinity	3-3	D
19 Sep	H	Workington	5-1	W
12 Sep	H	AFC Emley	4-0	W
5 Sep	H	Wythenshawe Amateurs	8-0	W
31 Aug	A	Hyde United	1-2	L
29 Aug	H	Ilkeston Town	7-0	W

Head to head

No previous meetings between Harrogate Town and Bury on record.

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg153%1.70X23%3.92224%3.86

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.49 → 1.70 +14.1%X4.30 → 3.92 -8.8%25.30 → 3.86 -27.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.70	2.10	6.4%
BetVictor	1.67	2.10	7.5%
Betano	1.70	2.05	7.6%
Pinnacle	1.66	2.07	8.6%
1xBet	1.66	2.05	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.66	2.05	9.0%
Best of all books	1.70	2.10	6.4%
Average	1.68	2.07	8.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.65	2.15	7.1%
BetVictor	1.65	2.10	8.2%
1xBet	1.64	2.10	8.6%
Marathonbet	1.64	2.07	9.3%
Betano	1.67	2.02	9.4%
Best of all books	1.67	2.15	6.4%
Average	1.65	2.09	8.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Harrogate Town 10%Draw 45%Bury 45%

The statistical model rates Harrogate Town at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Bury at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.70 | 3.92 | 3.86, which imply roughly 25.5% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Harrogate Town averaged 1 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Bury averaged 4 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Bury.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.70	3.92	3.86

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.20	1.98	1.20

Draw no bet

1	2
1.34	3.02

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.65	2.09

1st half

1	X	2
2.24	2.32	4.33

2nd half

1	X	2
2.07	2.60	4.02

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.56	15.4	35.3
HT X	4.74	6.23	9.07
HT 2	21.5	15.6	6.48

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.55	14.3	2.50

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	12.3
1.5	1.19	3.90
2.5	1.67	2.07
3.5	2.68	1.38
4.5	4.89	1.13
5.5	8.98	1.03

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	8.90
1.25	1.08	5.50
1.75	1.22	3.50
2	1.29	3.07
2.25	1.47	2.39
2.75	1.83	1.84
3	2.08	1.63
3.25	2.41	1.46
3.75	3.21	1.27
4	4.25	1.15
4.25	4.60	1.13
4.75	6.20	1.06
5	8.80	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	2.55	1.41
-1	2.06	1.71
-0.75	1.88	1.81
-0.5	1.74	1.96
-0.25	1.51	2.27
0	1.34	2.81

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	8.55	1.03
-3	9.50	1.01
-2.75	7.70	1.03
-2.5	5.85	1.07
-2.25	5.45	1.08
-2	5.05	1.10
-1.75	3.58	1.21
-1.5	2.86	1.33
+0.25	1.28	3.16
+0.75	1.11	4.90
+1	1.02	7.70
+1.5	1.01	8.70

Next FA Cup matches

20 Oct	Anstey Nomads – Macclesfield
20 Oct	United of Manchester – Altrincham

All FA Cup fixtures and the table

Latest FA Cup results

17 Oct	Salisbury 3-0 Eastbourne Borough
17 Oct	Leatherhead 3-3 Yeovil Town
17 Oct	Wimborne Town 1-0 Chelmsford City
17 Oct	Boston United 1-3 Scunthorpe
17 Oct	Kidderminster Harriers 2-1 Solihull Moors
17 Oct	Chorley 1-1 Worcester City