La Luz vs Plaza Colonia• Segunda División, Uruguay

#91.4:1.41-1FT11/101.0:1.0#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.85DAFX3.00B36522.65DAFMargin at best6.2%Books9Markets41Rating45 · 56Exp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 12:47 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.85	2.90	2.65	7.3%
BetVictor	2.75	3.00	2.55	8.9%
Pinnacle	2.82	2.78	2.66	9.0%
Betano	2.82	2.82	2.62	9.1%
Betfair	2.63	3.00	2.55	10.6%
William Hill	2.80	2.62	2.62	12.1%
1xBet	2.77	2.78	2.49	12.2%
Marathonbet	2.77	2.78	2.49	12.2%
Bet365	2.60	3.00	2.45	12.6%
Best of all books	2.85	3.00	2.66	6.0%
Average	2.76	2.85	2.56	10.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

La LuzPlaza Colonia

Last 10#9Table position#21.17Points per game2.0010Form pts · last 551.4Goals for · last 51.01.4Goals against · last 51.058Attack rating4242Defence rating5853Form rating4738H2H rating6236Goals model6445Overall rating56

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 03:21 UTC

La Luz

3W 3D 4L · goals 9:12 · per match 0.9 for, 1.2 against

11 Oct	H	Plaza Colonia	1-1	D
4 Oct	H	CA River Plate	3-2	W
27 Sep	A	Cerrito	2-1	W
19 Sep	H	Atenas	0-1	L
12 Sep	A	Paysandu	1-0	W
4 Sep	H	Sportivo Huracan	1-3	L
29 Aug	A	Uruguay Montevideo	0-0	D
23 Aug	H	Oriental	0-2	L
16 Aug	A	Colón	1-2	L
8 Aug	A	Fenix	0-0	D

Plaza Colonia

3W 3D 4L · goals 8:11 · per match 0.8 for, 1.1 against

11 Oct	A	La Luz	1-1	D
7 Oct	H	Juventud	0-1	L
4 Oct	H	Cerrito	1-3	L
30 Sep	A	Defensor Sporting	1-0	W
27 Sep	A	Atenas	0-0	D
19 Sep	H	Paysandu	1-1	D
16 Sep	A	Rentistas	1-2	L
12 Sep	A	Sportivo Huracan	2-1	W
7 Sep	H	Uruguay Montevideo	1-0	W
30 Aug	A	Oriental	0-2	L

Head to head

1La Luz wins

2draws

2Plaza Colonia wins

5 meetings · goals 4:6 · last 5: 1W 2D 2L for La Luz

4 Jul 2026Segunda División	Segunda División	Plaza Colonia1-0La Luz
25 Sep 2024Segunda División	Segunda División	Plaza Colonia2-0La Luz
9 Jun 2024Segunda División	Segunda División	La Luz2-1Plaza Colonia
22 Oct 2023Primera División - Clausura	Primera División - Clausura	La Luz1-1Plaza Colonia
16 Mar 2023Primera División - Apertura	Primera División - Apertura	Plaza Colonia1-1La Luz

Segunda División table1st Phaseupdated 18 Oct 03:30 UTC

In the Segunda División table, La Luz sit 9th with 7 points from 6 games, while Plaza Colonia are 2nd with 12 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Oriental	6	4	1	1	8:5	+3	13
2	Plaza Colonia	6	3	3	0	9:2	+7	12
3	Fenix	6	3	2	1	13:7	+6	11
4	Sportivo Huracan	6	2	4	0	9:6	+3	10
5	Colón	6	2	3	1	8:5	+3	9
6	Uruguay Montevideo	6	2	3	1	7:5	+2	9
7	Rentistas	6	2	3	1	6:5	+1	9
8	Cerrito	6	2	3	1	8:8	0	9
9	La Luz	6	1	4	1	5:6	-1	7
10	Miramar	6	1	2	3	3:7	-4	5
11	Paysandu	6	1	1	4	4:7	-3	4
12	Atenas	6	1	1	4	5:11	-6	4
13	CA River Plate	6	1	1	4	6:13	-7	4
14	Tacuarembo	6	0	3	3	5:9	-4	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg133%2.78X32%2.86236%2.54

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.80 → 2.75 -1.8%X2.89 → 2.85 -1.4%22.50 → 2.56 +2.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.38	1.53	7.4%
Pinnacle	2.43	1.51	7.4%
Betfair	2.25	1.57	8.1%
BetVictor	2.29	1.53	9.0%
1xBet	2.36	1.50	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.36	1.50	9.0%
Betano	2.27	1.53	9.4%
Best of all books	2.43	1.57	4.8%
Average	2.33	1.52	8.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	2.00	1.73	7.8%
Betfair	1.95	1.75	8.4%
William Hill	1.95	1.75	8.4%
1xBet	1.95	1.74	8.8%
Betano	1.88	1.78	9.4%
Marathonbet	1.95	1.71	9.8%
Best of all books	2.00	1.78	6.2%
Average	1.95	1.74	8.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

La Luz 10%Draw 45%Plaza Colonia 45%

The statistical model rated La Luz at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Plaza Colonia at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.78 | 2.86 | 2.54, which imply roughly 35% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Segunda División table: La Luz are 9th (7 pts, 5-6 goals), Plaza Colonia 2nd (12 pts, 9-2).

Over their last five matches, La Luz averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Plaza Colonia averaged 1 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Plaza Colonia.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.76	2.85	2.56

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.43	1.37	1.34

Draw no bet

1	2
1.88	1.81

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.95	1.74

1st half

1	X	2
3.52	1.90	3.29

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.13	6.43	2.03

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.07	6.75
1.5	1.43	2.57
2.5	2.33	1.52
3.5	4.45	1.15
4.5	8.78	1.04
5.5	26.0	1.01

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.08	5.55
1	1.10	5.15
1.25	1.27	3.25
1.75	1.56	2.24
2	1.76	1.93
2.25	2.07	1.66
2.75	2.79	1.36
3	3.58	1.21
3.25	4.00	1.17
3.75	5.26	1.09
4	8.20	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.72	1.41
-0.25	2.33	1.53
0	1.94	1.78
+0.25	1.62	2.15
+0.5	1.47	2.54
+0.75	1.30	3.11

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	6.08	1.09
-1.25	5.32	1.11
-1	4.97	1.13
-0.75	3.41	1.26
+1	1.17	4.32
+1.25	1.14	4.77
+1.5	1.11	5.35
+1.75	1.10	6.80
+2.5	1.01	9.70

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9.5	1.96	1.82

Next Segunda División matches

18 Oct	Rentistas – Atenas
18 Oct	Oriental – Uruguay Montevideo

All Segunda División fixtures and the table

Latest Segunda División results

17 Oct	Miramar 1-0 Cerrito
17 Oct	Tacuarembo 0-1 La Luz
17 Oct	Fenix 0-1 Paysandu
16 Oct	Colón 3-0 Sportivo Huracan
11 Oct	Sportivo Huracan 0-0 Fenix
11 Oct	Atenas 1-1 Miramar