Miramar vs Cerrito• Segunda División, Uruguay

#101.4:0.823:00Today · Parque Palermo, Montevideo1.4:1.0#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.02PINX3.13BVC22.40B365Margin at best6.7%Books6Markets43Rating54 · 46 levelExp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 20:46 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	3.02	3.03	2.33	9.0%
BetVictor	2.80	3.13	2.40	9.3%
1xBet	2.94	2.98	2.31	10.9%
Bet365	2.62	3.10	2.40	12.1%
Marathonbet	2.86	2.98	2.29	12.2%
William Hill	2.80	3.00	2.30	12.5%
Best of all books	3.02	3.13	2.40	6.7%
Average	2.84	3.04	2.34	10.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MiramarCerrito

Last 10#10Table position#80.83Points per game1.5010Form pts · last 5101.4Goals for · last 51.40.8Goals against · last 51.050Attack rating5056Defence rating4456Form rating4450H2H rating5049Goals model5154Overall rating46

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 03:21 UTC

Miramar

5W 2D 3L · goals 14:10 · per match 1.4 for, 1.0 against

17 Oct	H	Auckland City	0-2	L
11 Oct	A	Atenas	1-1	D
10 Oct	A	Ferrymead Bays	4-1	W
3 Oct	H	Paysandu	1-0	W
3 Oct	H	Auckland FC 2	2-1	W
27 Sep	A	Sportivo Huracan	1-2	L
26 Sep	A	Napier City Rovers	1-1	D
19 Sep	H	Uruguay Montevideo	1-0	W
12 Sep	A	Oriental	3-1	W
5 Sep	H	Colón	0-1	L

Cerrito

4W 3D 3L · goals 15:12 · per match 1.5 for, 1.2 against

10 Oct	H	Tacuarembo	2-1	W
7 Oct	H	Wanderers	2-2	D
4 Oct	A	Plaza Colonia	3-1	W
27 Sep	H	La Luz	1-2	L
23 Sep	A	Wanderers	3-1	W
20 Sep	H	CA River Plate	1-1	D
13 Sep	A	Atenas	0-0	D
10 Sep	A	Cerro	2-0	W
5 Sep	H	Paysandu	1-2	L
2 Sep	H	Deportivo Maldonado	0-2	L

Head to head

3Miramar wins

7draws

3Cerrito wins

13 meetings · goals 19:12 · last 10: 2W 6D 2L for Miramar

12 Jul 2026Segunda División	Segunda División	Cerrito1-0Miramar
4 Nov 2023Segunda División	Segunda División	Cerrito1-6Miramar
18 Jun 2023Segunda División	Segunda División	Miramar2-2Cerrito
2 Apr 2023Segunda División	Segunda División	Cerrito2-2Miramar
18 Aug 2018Segunda División	Segunda División	Cerrito1-1Miramar
24 Mar 2018Segunda División	Segunda División	Miramar1-1Cerrito
13 Sep 2017Segunda División	Segunda División	Cerrito1-0Miramar
29 Apr 2017Segunda División	Segunda División	Miramar3-0Cerrito
2 Dec 2016Segunda División	Segunda División	Miramar0-0Cerrito
7 Mar 2015Segunda División	Segunda División	Cerrito0-0Miramar

Segunda División table1st Phaseupdated 17 Oct 21:11 UTC

In the Segunda División table, Miramar sit 10th with 5 points from 6 games, while Cerrito are 8th with 9 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Oriental	6	4	1	1	8:5	+3	13
2	Plaza Colonia	6	3	3	0	9:2	+7	12
3	Fenix	6	3	2	1	13:7	+6	11
4	Sportivo Huracan	6	2	4	0	9:6	+3	10
5	Colón	6	2	3	1	8:5	+3	9
6	Uruguay Montevideo	6	2	3	1	7:5	+2	9
7	Rentistas	6	2	3	1	6:5	+1	9
8	Cerrito	6	2	3	1	8:8	0	9
9	La Luz	6	1	4	1	5:6	-1	7
10	Miramar	6	1	2	3	3:7	-4	5
11	Paysandu	6	1	1	4	4:7	-3	4
12	Atenas	6	1	1	4	5:11	-6	4
13	CA River Plate	6	1	1	4	6:13	-7	4
14	Tacuarembo	6	0	3	3	5:9	-4	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg132%2.84X30%3.04239%2.34

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.88 → 2.84 -1.4%X2.98 → 3.04 +2.0%22.37 → 2.34 -1.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.03	1.75	6.4%
Bet365	2.10	1.70	6.4%
1xBet	1.98	1.71	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.98	1.71	9.0%
BetVictor	1.99	1.70	9.1%
Best of all books	2.10	1.75	4.8%
Average	2.02	1.71	7.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.80	1.91	7.9%
BetVictor	1.78	1.93	8.0%
1xBet	1.74	1.94	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.74	1.91	9.8%
Best of all books	1.80	1.94	7.1%
Average	1.77	1.92	8.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Miramar 45%Draw 45%Cerrito 10%

The statistical model rates Miramar at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Cerrito at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.84 | 3.04 | 2.34, which imply roughly 35.2% for a Miramar win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Segunda División table: Miramar are 10th (5 pts, 3-7 goals), Cerrito 8th (9 pts, 8-8).

Over their last five matches, Miramar averaged 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Cerrito averaged 1.4 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Miramar or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.84	3.04	2.34

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.49	1.34	1.29

Draw no bet

1	2
1.99	1.73

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.77	1.92

1st half

1	X	2
3.52	2.02	3.03

2nd half

1	X	2
3.27	2.32	2.65

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.56	15.8	28.5
HT X	6.35	4.65	5.90
HT 2	30.5	16.8	3.95

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.12	8.25	1.91

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	8.38
1.5	1.30	3.09
2.5	2.02	1.71
3.5	3.55	1.23
4.5	7.50	1.07
5.5	15.0	1.02

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.04	7.10
1.25	1.16	4.14
1.75	1.39	2.69
2	1.51	2.34
2.25	1.76	1.94
2.75	2.27	1.54
3	2.78	1.36
3.25	3.08	1.28
3.75	4.22	1.15
4	6.10	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.85	1.37
-0.25	2.45	1.47
0	2.05	1.69
+0.25	1.76	1.95
+0.5	1.54	2.33
+0.75	1.36	2.76

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	6.40	1.05
-1.25	5.38	1.09
-1	5.40	1.09
-0.75	3.46	1.24
+1	1.21	3.78
+1.25	1.15	4.30
+1.5	1.12	4.75
+2	1.02	7.70
+2.5	1.01	9.60

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8.5	1.67	2.10
9	1.95	1.85