Tacuarembo vs La Luz• Segunda División, Uruguay

#141.2:1.60-1FTToday1.4:1.0#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.161XBX3.10B36522.36PINMargin at best6.3%Books6Markets42Rating42 · 58Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 18:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	3.11	2.90	2.36	9.0%
BetVictor	3.13	3.00	2.25	9.7%
1xBet	3.16	2.92	2.22	10.9%
William Hill	3.10	2.75	2.30	12.1%
Marathonbet	3.08	2.92	2.20	12.2%
Bet365	2.88	3.10	2.20	12.4%
Best of all books	3.16	3.10	2.36	6.3%
Average	3.08	2.93	2.25	11.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

TacuaremboLa Luz

Last 10#14Table position#90.50Points per game1.173Form pts · last 5101.2Goals for · last 51.41.6Goals against · last 51.046Attack rating5438Defence rating6223Form rating7750H2H rating5048Goals model5242Overall rating58

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 03:21 UTC

Tacuarembo

1W 4D 5L · goals 8:13 · per match 0.8 for, 1.3 against

10 Oct	A	Cerrito	1-2	L
3 Oct	H	Atenas	0-1	L
28 Sep	A	Paysandu	2-2	D
20 Sep	H	Sportivo Huracan	1-1	D
12 Sep	A	Uruguay Montevideo	2-2	D
6 Sep	H	Oriental	0-1	L
29 Aug	A	Colón	0-1	L
22 Aug	H	Fenix	0-2	L
16 Aug	A	Rentistas	1-0	W
9 Aug	A	Miramar	1-1	D

La Luz

3W 3D 4L · goals 9:12 · per match 0.9 for, 1.2 against

11 Oct	H	Plaza Colonia	1-1	D
4 Oct	H	CA River Plate	3-2	W
27 Sep	A	Cerrito	2-1	W
19 Sep	H	Atenas	0-1	L
12 Sep	A	Paysandu	1-0	W
4 Sep	H	Sportivo Huracan	1-3	L
29 Aug	A	Uruguay Montevideo	0-0	D
23 Aug	H	Oriental	0-2	L
16 Aug	A	Colón	1-2	L
8 Aug	A	Fenix	0-0	D

Head to head

2Tacuarembo wins

3draws

3La Luz wins

8 meetings · goals 6:9 · last 8: 2W 3D 3L for Tacuarembo

13 Jul 2026Segunda División	Segunda División	La Luz2-0Tacuarembo
17 Mar 2026Segunda División	Segunda División	Tacuarembo1-1La Luz
30 Aug 2025Segunda División	Segunda División	Tacuarembo1-1La Luz
7 Jun 2025Segunda División	Segunda División	La Luz1-2Tacuarembo
30 Mar 2025Segunda División	Segunda División	Tacuarembo1-1La Luz
29 Sep 2024Segunda División	Segunda División	La Luz2-0Tacuarembo
16 Jun 2024Segunda División	Segunda División	Tacuarembo0-1La Luz
23 Mar 2024Segunda División	Segunda División	Tacuarembo1-0La Luz

Segunda División table1st Phaseupdated 17 Oct 21:11 UTC

In the Segunda División table, Tacuarembo sit 14th with 3 points from 6 games, while La Luz are 9th with 7 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Oriental	6	4	1	1	8:5	+3	13
2	Plaza Colonia	6	3	3	0	9:2	+7	12
3	Fenix	6	3	2	1	13:7	+6	11
4	Sportivo Huracan	6	2	4	0	9:6	+3	10
5	Colón	6	2	3	1	8:5	+3	9
6	Uruguay Montevideo	6	2	3	1	7:5	+2	9
7	Rentistas	6	2	3	1	6:5	+1	9
8	Cerrito	6	2	3	1	8:8	0	9
9	La Luz	6	1	4	1	5:6	-1	7
10	Miramar	6	1	2	3	3:7	-4	5
11	Paysandu	6	1	1	4	4:7	-3	4
12	Atenas	6	1	1	4	5:11	-6	4
13	CA River Plate	6	1	1	4	6:13	-7	4
14	Tacuarembo	6	0	3	3	5:9	-4	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg129%3.08X31%2.93240%2.26

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.17 → 3.10 -2.2%X2.95 → 2.93 -0.7%22.24 → 2.25 +0.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.47	1.50	7.2%
Bet365	2.38	1.53	7.4%
BetVictor	2.29	1.53	9.0%
1xBet	2.36	1.50	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.36	1.50	9.0%
Best of all books	2.47	1.53	5.8%
Average	2.37	1.51	8.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	2.00	1.73	7.8%
BetVictor	2.00	1.70	8.8%
1xBet	1.97	1.72	8.9%
Marathonbet	1.97	1.69	9.9%
Best of all books	2.00	1.73	7.8%
Average	1.98	1.71	8.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Tacuarembo 10%Draw 45%La Luz 45%

The statistical model rated Tacuarembo at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and La Luz at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.08 | 2.93 | 2.26, which imply roughly 34.1% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Segunda División table: Tacuarembo are 14th (3 pts, 5-9 goals), La Luz 9th (7 pts, 5-6).

Over their last five matches, Tacuarembo averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; La Luz averaged 1.4 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or La Luz and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.08	2.93	2.26

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.53	1.30	1.31

Draw no bet

1	2
2.13	1.64

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.99	1.71

1st half

1	X	2
3.95	1.91	2.98

2nd half

1	X	2
3.63	2.15	2.65

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	5.35	17.5	30.0
HT X	6.90	4.15	5.35
HT 2	38.0	17.5	3.68

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.27	6.80	1.87

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.07	7.00
1.5	1.43	2.53
2.5	2.37	1.51
3.5	4.62	1.14
4.5	10.3	1.04
5.5	26.0	1.01

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.08	5.55
1	1.08	5.65
1.25	1.26	3.30
1.75	1.57	2.22
2	1.78	1.91
2.25	2.07	1.65
2.75	2.84	1.35
3	3.70	1.20
3.25	4.11	1.16
3.75	5.26	1.09
4	8.80	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	3.04	1.34
-0.25	2.64	1.41
0	2.17	1.62
+0.25	1.78	1.92
+0.5	1.56	2.28
+0.75	1.38	2.71

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	7.70	1.02
-1.25	5.18	1.10
-1	6.45	1.05
-0.75	4.00	1.17
+1	1.20	3.79
+1.25	1.15	4.30
+1.5	1.12	4.80
+2	1.04	7.50
+2.5	1.01	9.90