Sitra vs Al Riffa• Premier League, Bahrain

#51.0:0.416:00Today2.4:0.4#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

16.25B365X3.90B36521.60WHMargin at best4.1%Books5Markets57Rating42 · 58Exp. goals L52.1

Price board · 1X2captured 22 Oct 00:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	5.43	3.58	1.59	9.2%
1xBet	5.59	3.56	1.54	10.9%
William Hill	5.50	3.30	1.60	11.0%
Bet365	6.25	3.90	1.44	11.1%
Marathonbet	5.45	3.56	1.52	12.2%
Best of all books	6.25	3.90	1.60	4.1%
Average	5.64	3.58	1.54	10.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

SitraAl Riffa

Last 10#5Table position#11.60Points per game2.208Form pts · last 581.0Goals for · last 52.40.4Goals against · last 50.429Attack rating7150Defence rating5042Form rating5850H2H rating5036Goals model6442Overall rating58

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 10:30 UTC

Sitra

5W 2D 3L · goals 12:8 · per match 1.2 for, 0.8 against

16 Oct	A	A'Ali	2-0	W
11 Oct	H	Al Najma	0-2	L
12 Sep	H	Al-Hidd	0-0	D
2 Sep	A	East Riffa	0-0	D
27 Aug	H	Malkiya	3-0	W
16 May	H	Malkiya	1-0	W
10 May	A	Al Shabab	3-1	W
5 May	H	Al Ahli	0-2	L
27 Apr	A	A'Ali	2-0	W
18 Apr	H	Khalidiya	1-3	L

Al Riffa

7W 2D 1L · goals 24:9 · per match 2.4 for, 0.9 against

17 Oct	H	East Riffa	4-0	W
13 Oct	A	Al Nasr	0-3	L
9 Oct	A	Malkiya	1-1	D
10 Sep	H	Khalidiya	0-0	D
5 Sep	A	Manama	5-1	W
29 Aug	H	Al Ittifaq Maqaba	2-0	W
15 May	H	Bahrain SC	3-2	W
11 May	A	Malkiya	2-0	W
5 May	H	Al Shabab	4-0	W
29 Apr	A	Al Ahli	3-2	W

Head to head

2Sitra wins

4draws

5Al Riffa wins

11 meetings · goals 11:16 · last 10: 2W 3D 5L for Sitra

28 Jan 2026Premier League	Premier League	Sitra1-3Al Riffa
20 Sep 2025Premier League	Premier League	Al Riffa3-0Sitra
14 Apr 2025Premier League	Premier League	Sitra1-1Al Riffa
9 Apr 2025King's Cup	King's Cup	Al Riffa1-2Sitra
29 Mar 2025Premier League	Premier League	Al Riffa1-3Sitra
27 Apr 2024Premier League	Premier League	Al Riffa1-1Sitra
27 Feb 2024Premier League	Premier League	Sitra0-1Al Riffa
15 Oct 2023Federation Cup	Federation Cup	Al Riffa2-1Sitra
3 Apr 2023Premier League	Premier League	Sitra0-1Al Riffa
25 Nov 2022Premier League	Premier League	Al Riffa1-1Sitra

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 21 Oct 10:30 UTC

In the Premier League table, Sitra sit 5th with 8 points from 5 games, while Al Riffa are 1st with 11 points from 5.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Al Riffa	5	3	2	0	12:2	+10	11
2	Khalidiya	5	3	2	0	14:6	+8	11
3	Al Ittifaq Maqaba	5	3	1	1	6:4	+2	10
4	Muharraq	5	2	2	1	9:5	+4	8
5	Sitra	5	2	2	1	5:2	+3	8
6	Al Ahli	5	2	1	2	6:6	0	7
7	Al Najma	5	2	1	2	9:12	-3	7
8	East Riffa	5	2	1	2	5:9	-4	7
9	Al-Hidd	5	1	2	2	4:4	0	5
10	A'Ali	5	1	1	3	4:8	-4	4
11	Manama	5	0	2	3	6:14	-8	2
12	Malkiya	5	0	1	4	1:9	-8	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg116%5.64X25%3.58259%1.54

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14.49 → 5.64 +25.6%X3.38 → 3.58 +5.9%21.72 → 1.54 -10.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Pinnacle	2.00	1.80	5.6%
1xBet	1.93	1.75	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.93	1.75	9.0%
Best of all books	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Average	1.96	1.77	7.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	2.20	1.62	7.2%
William Hill	1.95	1.75	8.4%
1xBet	1.93	1.75	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.93	1.72	10.0%
Best of all books	2.20	1.75	2.6%
Average	2.00	1.71	8.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Sitra 10%Draw 45%Al Riffa 45%

The statistical model rates Sitra at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Al Riffa at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 5.64 | 3.58 | 1.54, which imply roughly 27.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Sitra are 5th (8 pts, 5-2 goals), Al Riffa 1st (11 pts, 12-2).

Over their last five matches, Sitra averaged 1 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; Al Riffa averaged 2.4 scored and 0.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Al Riffa.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
5.64	3.58	1.54

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.18	1.09	1.22

Draw no bet

1	2
4.00	1.22

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.00	1.71

1st half

1	X	2
6.06	2.15	2.09

2nd half

1	X	2
5.15	2.48	1.93

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	9.82	18.0	26.0
HT X	11.5	5.23	4.11
HT 2	47.3	17.0	2.31

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
3.11	9.05	1.47

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	8.90
1.5	1.29	3.21
2.5	1.97	1.78
3.5	3.35	1.26
4.5	6.40	1.07
5.5	12.5	1.02
6.5	17.0	–
7.5	21.0	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.02	7.90
1	1.03	7.30
1.25	1.15	4.26
1.75	1.36	2.81
2	1.46	2.43
2.25	1.71	2.00
2.75	2.20	1.58
3	2.66	1.39
3.25	2.97	1.32
3.75	4.06	1.17
4	5.60	1.08
4.25	5.95	1.07

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.25	2.79	1.37
+0.5	2.33	1.59
+0.75	2.00	1.73
+1	1.78	1.96
+1.25	1.53	2.31
+1.5	1.42	2.60

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	8.80	1.02
-0.75	7.07	1.06
-0.5	5.50	1.15
-0.25	4.41	1.17
0	4.12	1.19
+1.75	1.31	3.10
+2	1.17	4.25
+2.25	1.14	4.65
+2.5	1.12	5.12
+2.75	1.07	6.63
+3	1.03	7.95
+3.5	1.04	8.50

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8.5	1.67	2.10
9	1.92	1.88

Next Premier League matches

22 Oct

Al Najma – A'Ali

All Premier League fixtures and the table

Latest Premier League results

17 Oct	Al Riffa 4-0 East Riffa
16 Oct	A'Ali 0-2 Sitra
11 Oct	East Riffa 2-1 A'Ali
11 Oct	Sitra 0-2 Al Najma
9 Oct	Malkiya 1-1 Al Riffa