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Sitra vs Al Najma• Premier League, Bahrain

#81.0:0.00-2FT11/101.7:3.3#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.95SBOX3.42PIN24.04PINMargin at best5.3%Books9Markets49Rating44 · 57Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 10:57 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet2.023.253.608.1%
Betano2.023.303.508.4%
Pinnacle2.043.223.439.2%
1xBet1.993.163.4411.0%
Bet3651.953.303.4011.0%
Betfair1.953.303.4011.0%
Marathonbet1.973.163.3512.3%
William Hill2.003.103.3012.6%
SBO1.953.043.2514.9%
Best of all books2.043.303.607.1%
Average1.993.203.4110.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

SitraAl Najma
Last 10#8Table position#61.25Points per game1.508Form pts · last 591.0Goals for · last 51.70.0Goals against · last 53.338Attack rating63100Defence rating063Form rating3836H2H rating640Goals model044Overall rating57

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 11:01 UTC

Sitra

4W 2D 4L · goals 10:11 · per match 1.0 for, 1.1 against

11 OctHAl Najma0-2L
12 SepHAl-Hidd0-0D
2 SepAEast Riffa0-0D
27 AugHMalkiya3-0W
16 MayHMalkiya1-0W
10 MayAAl Shabab3-1W
5 MayHAl Ahli0-2L
27 AprAA'Ali2-0W
18 AprHKhalidiya1-3L
3 AprAMuharraq0-3L

Al Najma

5W 0D 5L · goals 18:22 · per match 1.8 for, 2.2 against

11 SepHEast Riffa2-3L
2 SepAMalkiya1-0W
27 AugHKhalidiya2-7L
30 MayHManama3-2W
25 MayABudaiya3-0W
21 MayHAl Ittihad2-1W
16 MayHKhalidiya1-3L
10 MayABahrain SC3-0W
4 MayHMuharraq1-3L
28 AprAMalkiya0-3L

Head to head

0Sitra wins
5draws
3Al Najma wins

8 meetings · goals 5:13 · last 8: 0W 5D 3L for Sitra

14 Feb 2026Premier LeaguePremier LeagueAl Najma2-0Sitra
25 Sep 2025Premier LeaguePremier LeagueSitra0-0Al Najma
20 May 2025Premier LeaguePremier LeagueAl Najma1-1Sitra
8 Feb 2025Premier LeaguePremier LeagueSitra0-0Al Najma
18 Apr 2024Premier LeaguePremier LeagueAl Najma2-2Sitra
24 Jan 2024Federation CupFederation CupSitra1-4Al Najma
29 Oct 2023Premier LeaguePremier LeagueSitra1-1Al Najma
8 Oct 2021Federation CupFederation CupAl Najma3-0Sitra

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 16 Oct 10:40 UTC

In the Premier League table, Sitra sit 8th with 5 points from 4 games, while Al Najma are 6th with 6 points from 4.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Al Ittifaq Maqaba43014:2+29
2Khalidiya422012:5+78
3Al Riffa42208:2+68
4Al Ahli42115:4+17
5East Riffa42115:507
6Al Najma42027:10-36
7Muharraq41216:5+15
8Sitra41213:2+15
9Al-Hidd41122:204
10A'Ali41124:6-24
11Malkiya40131:6-51
12Manama40134:12-81

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg143%2.11X28%3.19229%3.16

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11 Oct 07:5011 Oct 14:201 1.85X 3.282 3.83
11.98 → 1.85 -6.6%X3.26 → 3.28 +0.6%23.51 → 3.83 +9.1%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3652.051.755.9%
Pinnacle2.081.716.6%
Betano2.071.707.1%
Betfair2.001.737.8%
1xBet2.061.659.1%
Marathonbet2.061.659.1%
Best of all books2.081.755.2%
Average2.051.707.6%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.871.877.0%
William Hill1.851.858.1%
Betano1.871.838.1%
1xBet1.831.849.0%
Bet3651.831.839.3%
Marathonbet1.831.819.9%
Best of all books1.871.877.0%
Average1.851.848.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Sitra 10%Draw 45%Al Najma 45%

The statistical model rated Sitra at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Al Najma at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.11 | 3.19 | 3.16, which imply roughly 31.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Sitra are 8th (5 pts, 3-2 goals), Al Najma 6th (6 pts, 7-10).

Over their last five matches, Sitra averaged 1 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Al Najma averaged 1.7 scored and 3.3 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Al Najma.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.993.203.41

Double chance

1XX212
1.251.671.27

Draw no bet

12
1.442.63

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.851.84

1st half

1X2
2.602.044.10

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.758.602.34

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.048.42
1.51.333.05
2.52.051.70
3.53.661.23
4.57.321.06
5.513.41.02
6.517.0–
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.027.90
11.047.10
1.251.173.99
1.751.412.62
21.562.26
2.251.821.89
2.752.371.49
32.971.32
3.253.351.25
3.754.761.12
46.851.04
4.257.301.03

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-13.051.32
-0.752.381.50
-0.52.021.76
-0.251.771.97
01.492.46
+0.251.362.86
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.258.601.01
-28.101.02
-1.755.301.12
-1.54.001.19
-1.253.531.25
+0.51.313.33
+0.751.174.27
+11.076.82
+1.251.057.40
+1.51.018.30
+1.751.019.00

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
7.51.402.70
8.51.732.00
92.021.78
9.52.221.60