Al Najma vs A'Ali• Premier League, Bahrain

#71.8:2.416:00Tomorrow0.8:1.6#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.30BTNX3.20BFR23.211XBMargin at best5.9%Books8Markets51Rating47 · 53 levelExp. goals L53.3

Price board · 1X2captured 21 Oct 16:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.21	3.10	3.30	7.8%
Betano	2.22	3.10	3.25	8.1%
Pinnacle	2.24	2.99	3.16	9.7%
1xBet	2.16	2.99	3.21	10.9%
Betfair	2.15	3.10	3.10	11.0%
Bet365	2.20	3.10	3.00	11.0%
William Hill	2.20	3.00	3.00	12.1%
Marathonbet	2.14	2.99	3.12	12.2%
Best of all books	2.24	3.10	3.30	7.2%
Average	2.19	3.05	3.14	10.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Al NajmaA'Ali

Last 10#7Table position#101.40Points per game0.807Form pts · last 541.8Goals for · last 50.82.4Goals against · last 51.669Attack rating3140Defence rating6064Form rating3620H2H rating8059Goals model4147Overall rating53

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 10:30 UTC

Al Najma

6W 1D 3L · goals 21:18 · per match 2.1 for, 1.8 against

17 Oct	H	Al-Hidd	2-2	D
11 Oct	A	Sitra	2-0	W
11 Sep	H	East Riffa	2-3	L
2 Sep	A	Malkiya	1-0	W
27 Aug	H	Khalidiya	2-7	L
30 May	H	Manama	3-2	W
25 May	A	Budaiya	3-0	W
21 May	H	Al Ittihad	2-1	W
16 May	H	Khalidiya	1-3	L
10 May	A	Bahrain SC	3-0	W

A'Ali

3W 1D 6L · goals 7:12 · per match 0.7 for, 1.2 against

16 Oct	H	Sitra	0-2	L
11 Oct	A	East Riffa	1-2	L
11 Sep	H	Malkiya	1-0	W
4 Sep	A	Khalidiya	1-3	L
29 Aug	H	Manama	1-1	D
16 May	A	Muharraq	0-1	L
10 May	H	Budaiya	2-0	W
4 May	A	Al-Hidd	1-0	W
27 Apr	H	Sitra	0-2	L
17 Apr	A	Al Riffa	0-1	L

Head to head

1Al Najma wins

0draws

4A'Ali wins

5 meetings · goals 4:10 · last 5: 1W 0D 4L for Al Najma

5 Feb 2026King's Cup	King's Cup	A'Ali2-0Al Najma
28 Jan 2026Premier League	Premier League	A'Ali2-0Al Najma
19 Sep 2025Premier League	Premier League	Al Najma0-3A'Ali
12 May 2025Premier League	Premier League	Al Najma1-2A'Ali
11 Jan 2025Premier League	Premier League	A'Ali1-3Al Najma

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 21 Oct 10:30 UTC

In the Premier League table, Al Najma sit 7th with 7 points from 5 games, while A'Ali are 10th with 4 points from 5.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Al Riffa	5	3	2	0	12:2	+10	11
2	Khalidiya	5	3	2	0	14:6	+8	11
3	Al Ittifaq Maqaba	5	3	1	1	6:4	+2	10
4	Muharraq	5	2	2	1	9:5	+4	8
5	Sitra	5	2	2	1	5:2	+3	8
6	Al Ahli	5	2	1	2	6:6	0	7
7	Al Najma	5	2	1	2	9:12	-3	7
8	East Riffa	5	2	1	2	5:9	-4	7
9	Al-Hidd	5	1	2	2	4:4	0	5
10	A'Ali	5	1	1	3	4:8	-4	4
11	Manama	5	0	2	3	6:14	-8	2
12	Malkiya	5	0	1	4	1:9	-8	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg141%2.20X29%3.09229%3.11

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.9% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.15	1.67	6.4%
Pinnacle	2.16	1.65	6.9%
Betano	2.12	1.67	7.1%
Betfair	2.10	1.65	8.2%
1xBet	2.10	1.63	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.10	1.63	9.0%
Best of all books	2.16	1.67	6.2%
Average	2.12	1.65	7.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.87	1.87	7.0%
Betano	1.83	1.88	7.8%
Bet365	1.91	1.80	7.9%
William Hill	1.83	1.85	8.7%
1xBet	1.82	1.85	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.82	1.82	9.9%
Best of all books	1.91	1.88	5.5%
Average	1.85	1.84	8.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Al Najma 35%Draw 35%A'Ali 30%

The statistical model rates Al Najma at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and A'Ali at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.20 | 3.09 | 3.11, which imply roughly 45.5% for a Al Najma win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Al Najma are 7th (7 pts, 9-12 goals), A'Ali 10th (4 pts, 4-8).

Over their last five matches, Al Najma averaged 1.8 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game; A'Ali averaged 0.8 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Al Najma or draw and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.19	3.05	3.14

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.29	1.59	1.30

Draw no bet

1	2
1.60	2.23

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.85	1.85

1st half

1	X	2
2.82	1.99	3.96

2nd half

1	X	2
2.57	2.31	3.44

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.47	14.0	38.2
HT X	5.12	4.48	7.04
HT 2	28.6	14.8	5.36

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.77	8.25	2.38

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	7.88
1.5	1.35	2.94
2.5	2.12	1.65
3.5	3.78	1.22
4.5	7.36	1.06
5.5	14.1	1.02
6.5	17.0	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.03	7.30
1	1.05	6.55
1.25	1.19	3.85
1.75	1.42	2.55
2	1.58	2.21
2.25	1.84	1.83
2.75	2.45	1.47
3	3.07	1.30
3.25	3.35	1.25
3.75	4.81	1.12
4	6.90	1.04
4.25	7.40	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.62	1.42
-0.5	2.21	1.63
-0.25	1.89	1.82
0	1.57	2.26
+0.25	1.41	2.67
+0.5	1.34	3.10

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.75	1.03
-2.25	8.85	1.01
-2	8.40	1.10
-1.75	5.87	1.09
-1.5	4.43	1.16
-1.25	3.80	1.22
-1	3.39	1.27
+0.75	1.19	3.97
+1	1.08	6.17
+1.25	1.07	6.70
+1.5	1.05	7.20

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
7.5	1.45	2.57
8.5	1.80	1.90
9.5	2.32	1.53

Next Premier League matches

22 Oct

Sitra – Al Riffa

All Premier League fixtures and the table

Latest Premier League results

17 Oct	Al Riffa 4-0 East Riffa
16 Oct	A'Ali 0-2 Sitra
11 Oct	East Riffa 2-1 A'Ali
11 Oct	Sitra 0-2 Al Najma
9 Oct	Malkiya 1-1 Al Riffa