Mickleover Sports vs Alfreton Town• FA Trophy, England

2.3:1.014:00Tomorrow2.0:1.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.85DAFX4.00B36521.75DAFMargin at best8.1%Books7Markets50Rating50 · 51 levelExp. goals L53.1

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 00:16 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	3.90	4.10	1.76	6.8%
Betano	3.80	3.90	1.75	9.1%
1xBet	3.82	3.90	1.70	10.6%
Betfair	3.80	4.00	1.67	11.2%
Bet365	3.50	4.00	1.73	11.4%
Marathonbet	3.75	3.90	1.68	11.8%
BetVictor	3.40	3.30	1.65	20.3%
Best of all books	3.90	4.10	1.76	6.8%
Average	3.71	3.87	1.71	11.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Mickleover SportsAlfreton Town

Last 1010Form pts · last 552.3Goals for · last 52.01.0Goals against · last 51.078Attack rating2225Defence rating7575Form rating250H2H rating1000Goals model050Overall rating51

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 06:03 UTC

Mickleover Sports

4W 2D 4L · goals 16:15 · per match 1.6 for, 1.5 against

26 Sep	H	Malvern Town	1-1	D
19 Sep	A	Halesowen Town	0-2	L
12 Sep	H	Sutton Coldfield Town	2-1	W
5 Sep	A	Stamford	1-0	W
29 Aug	A	Grantham Town	3-1	W
28 Jul	A	Worksop Town	0-1	L
25 Apr	A	Bedworth United	2-2	D
18 Apr	H	Belper Town	1-2	L
11 Apr	A	Long Eaton United	2-4	L
6 Apr	H	Rugby Town	4-1	W

Alfreton Town

4W 2D 4L · goals 12:12 · per match 1.2 for, 1.2 against

17 Oct	H	Warrington Town	1-1	D
13 Oct	A	Ashton United	0-0	D
10 Oct	H	Bury	2-3	L
6 Oct	H	United of Manchester	1-0	W
3 Oct	A	Redcar Athletic	1-3	L
29 Sep	H	Guiseley AFC	1-0	W
26 Sep	H	Shifnal Town FC	2-1	W
12 Sep	A	Bamber Bridge	0-1	L
5 Sep	H	Stratford Town	0-2	L
31 Aug	A	Whitby Town	4-1	W

Head to head

0Mickleover Sports wins

0draws

2Alfreton Town wins

2 meetings · goals 1:4 · last 2: 0W 0D 2L for Mickleover Sports

29 Jul 2023Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Alfreton Town2-0Mickleover Sports
1 Sep 2020Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Mickleover Sports1-2Alfreton Town

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg124%3.69X23%3.85253%1.70

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.69 → 3.69 0.0%X3.93 → 3.85 -2.0%21.70 → 1.70 0.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.57	2.35	6.2%
Betano	1.55	2.25	9.0%
1xBet	1.53	2.29	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.53	2.29	9.0%
BetVictor	1.44	1.98	19.9%
Best of all books	1.57	2.35	6.2%
Average	1.52	2.23	10.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.52	2.34	8.5%
Betano	1.55	2.25	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.52	2.30	9.3%
BetVictor	1.40	2.05	20.2%
Best of all books	1.55	2.34	7.3%
Average	1.50	2.23	11.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Mickleover Sports 10%Draw 45%Alfreton Town 45%

The statistical model rates Mickleover Sports at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Alfreton Town at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.69 | 3.85 | 1.70, which imply roughly 26% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Mickleover Sports averaged 2.3 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Alfreton Town averaged 2 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Alfreton Town.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.71	3.87	1.71

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.95	1.21	1.18

Draw no bet

1	2
2.66	1.35

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.50	2.24

1st half

1	X	2
4.05	2.38	2.24

2nd half

1	X	2
3.84	2.74	2.04

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	6.15	14.8	21.1
HT X	9.03	6.63	4.84
HT 2	33.0	14.6	2.58

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.36	17.0	1.58

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	14.0
1.5	1.13	4.21
2.5	1.52	2.23
3.5	2.26	1.47
4.5	3.81	1.16
5.5	6.68	1.04

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	10.0
1.25	1.04	6.75
1.75	1.15	4.26
2	1.19	3.78
2.25	1.34	2.59
2.75	1.61	1.96
3	1.81	1.76
3.25	2.02	1.57
3.75	2.57	1.35
4	3.50	1.22
4.25	3.85	1.19
4.75	5.30	1.09
5	7.40	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
0	2.88	1.32
+0.25	2.20	1.47
+0.5	1.89	1.65
+0.75	1.72	1.88
+1	1.49	2.18
+1.25	1.37	2.47

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	8.50	1.01
-1	7.50	1.03
-0.75	4.80	1.11
-0.25	3.28	1.25
+1.5	1.32	2.88
+1.75	1.21	3.58
+2	1.10	5.00
+2.25	1.09	5.40
+2.5	1.07	5.80
+2.75	1.03	7.70

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