Bury vs 
Gainsborough Trinity• FA Trophy, England
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 25 Sep 21:38 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 1.65 | 3.90 | 4.20 | 10.1% |
| Bet365 | 1.73 | 3.75 | 3.80 | 10.8% |
| 1xBet | 1.66 | 3.74 | 4.20 | 10.8% |
| Marathonbet | 1.64 | 3.74 | 4.10 | 12.1% |
| BetVictor | 1.60 | 3.40 | 3.60 | 19.7% |
| Best of all books | 1.73 | 3.90 | 4.20 | 7.3% |
| Average | 1.66 | 3.71 | 3.98 | 12.5% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 19 Oct 02:30 UTC
Bury
6W 2D 2L · goals 34:11 · per match 3.4 for, 1.1 against
| 17 Oct | H | Harrogate Town | 1-1 | D |
| 10 Oct | A | Alfreton Town | 3-2 | W |
| 6 Oct | A | Stockton Town | 0-1 | L |
| 3 Oct | H | Bromsgrove Sporting | 2-1 | W |
| 26 Sep | H | Gainsborough Trinity | 3-3 | D |
| 19 Sep | H | Workington | 5-1 | W |
| 12 Sep | H | AFC Emley | 4-0 | W |
| 5 Sep | H | Wythenshawe Amateurs | 8-0 | W |
| 31 Aug | A | Hyde United | 1-2 | L |
| 29 Aug | H | Ilkeston Town | 7-0 | W |
Gainsborough Trinity
6W 2D 2L · goals 28:15 · per match 2.8 for, 1.5 against
| 17 Oct | H | Hyde United | 4-0 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Ilkeston Town | 3-1 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | AFC Emley | 2-1 | W |
| 6 Oct | A | Whitby Town | 6-2 | W |
| 3 Oct | H | Anstey Nomads | 2-3 | L |
| 26 Sep | A | Bury | 3-3 | D |
| 22 Sep | H | Leamington | 3-0 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Leamington | 1-1 | D |
| 12 Sep | H | Avro | 0-2 | L |
| 5 Sep | A | Sherwood Colliery | 4-2 | W |
Head to head
1 meeting · goals 1:0 · last 1: 1W 0D 0L for Bury
| 22 Aug 2026Non League Premier - Northern | Non League Premier - Northern | Gainsborough Trinity0-1Bury |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.9% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.60 | 2.30 | 6.0% |
| 1xBet | 1.56 | 2.22 | 9.1% |
| Marathonbet | 1.56 | 2.22 | 9.1% |
| BetVictor | 1.46 | 1.94 | 20.0% |
| Best of all books | 1.60 | 2.30 | 6.0% |
| Average | 1.55 | 2.17 | 10.8% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.56 | 2.22 | 9.1% |
| Marathonbet | 1.56 | 2.18 | 10.0% |
| BetVictor | 1.44 | 2.00 | 19.4% |
| Best of all books | 1.56 | 2.22 | 9.1% |
| Average | 1.52 | 2.13 | 12.7% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Bury at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Gainsborough Trinity at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.49 | 4.04 | 4.81, which imply roughly 67.1% for a Bury win versus the model's 50%.
Over their last five matches, Bury averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Gainsborough Trinity averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Bury or draw.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.66 | 3.71 | 3.98 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.16 | 1.98 | 1.19 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.29 | 2.88 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.52 | 2.13 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.17 | 2.34 | 4.30 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.51 | 16.0 | 2.51 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.01 | 13.3 |
| 1.5 | 1.13 | 4.03 |
| 2.5 | 1.55 | 2.17 |
| 3.5 | 2.27 | 1.44 |
| 4.5 | 3.84 | 1.14 |
| 5.5 | 4.50 | 1.03 |
10 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.01 | 9.70 |
| 1.75 | 1.17 | 3.96 |
| 2 | 1.22 | 3.50 |
| 2.25 | 1.37 | 2.49 |
| 2.75 | 1.64 | 1.91 |
| 3 | 1.83 | 1.70 |
| 3.25 | 2.06 | 1.55 |
| 3.75 | 2.62 | 1.33 |
| 4 | 3.50 | 1.22 |
| 4.25 | 3.90 | 1.21 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 2.74 | 1.35 |
| -1.25 | 2.35 | 1.41 |
| -1 | 2.08 | 1.55 |
| -0.75 | 1.82 | 1.77 |
| -0.5 | 1.53 | 1.83 |
| -0.25 | 1.43 | 2.29 |
10 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5 | 10.5 | 1.01 |
| -3 | 9.40 | 1.02 |
| -2.5 | 5.25 | 1.09 |
| -2.25 | 4.80 | 1.15 |
| -2 | 4.50 | 1.13 |
| -1.75 | 3.28 | 1.25 |
| 0 | 1.28 | 3.08 |
| +0.25 | 1.22 | 3.50 |
| +1 | 1.02 | 8.00 |
| +1.5 | 1.01 | 8.90 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 9.5 | 1.91 | 1.80 |