Aveley vs Carshalton Athletic• FA Trophy, England

3.0:1.014:00Tomorrow3.0:2.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.07DAFX3.85DAF23.00BFRMargin at best7.6%Books7Markets46Rating57 · 43Exp. goals L54.5

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 08:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.08	3.85	3.00	7.4%
Betano	2.05	3.75	2.95	9.3%
1xBet	2.03	3.66	2.94	10.6%
Betfair	2.00	3.60	3.00	11.1%
Bet365	2.00	3.75	2.90	11.1%
Marathonbet	2.01	3.66	2.88	11.8%
BetVictor	1.91	3.20	2.75	20.0%
Best of all books	2.08	3.85	3.00	7.4%
Average	2.01	3.64	2.92	11.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AveleyCarshalton Athletic

Last 104Form pts · last 513.0Goals for · last 53.01.0Goals against · last 52.050Attack rating5067Defence rating3350Form rating5050H2H rating5065Goals model3557Overall rating43

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 06:02 UTC

Aveley

3W 1D 6L · goals 17:19 · per match 1.7 for, 1.9 against

19 Oct	H	Maldon & Tiptree	1-2	L
17 Oct	H	Chatham Town	1-0	W
10 Oct	A	Burgess Hill Town	1-1	D
6 Oct	A	Cheshunt	1-2	L
29 Sep	A	Dulwich Hamlet	0-2	L
25 Sep	H	Ware	3-1	W
19 Sep	H	Brentwood Town	2-3	L
14 Sep	H	Wingate & Finchley	3-4	L
12 Sep	H	Leatherhead	1-2	L
4 Sep	H	Cheshunt	4-2	W

Carshalton Athletic

2W 2D 6L · goals 13:25 · per match 1.3 for, 2.5 against

20 Oct	A	Wingate & Finchley	2-4	L
17 Oct	A	Dulwich Hamlet	2-2	D
12 Oct	H	Enfield Town	1-2	L
10 Oct	H	St Albans City	0-1	L
5 Oct	H	Eastbourne Borough	0-4	L
3 Oct	A	Ramsgate	3-2	W
27 Sep	A	Southall	2-2	D
19 Sep	A	Maldon & Tiptree	3-2	W
15 Sep	A	Lewes	0-3	L
12 Sep	H	Dartford	0-3	L

Head to head

1Aveley wins

4draws

1Carshalton Athletic wins

6 meetings · goals 6:5 · last 6: 1W 4D 1L for Aveley

18 Apr 2026Non League Premier - Isthmian	Non League Premier - Isthmian	Aveley0-0Carshalton Athletic
15 Nov 2025Non League Premier - Isthmian	Non League Premier - Isthmian	Carshalton Athletic1-1Aveley
4 Mar 2023Non League Premier - Isthmian	Non League Premier - Isthmian	Aveley0-0Carshalton Athletic
10 Oct 2022Non League Premier - Isthmian	Non League Premier - Isthmian	Carshalton Athletic1-0Aveley
16 Dec 2019FA Trophy	FA Trophy	Aveley2-0Carshalton Athletic
14 Dec 2019FA Trophy	FA Trophy	Carshalton Athletic3-3Aveley

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg145%2.00X25%3.62231%2.91

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.99 → 2.00 +0.5%X3.57 → 3.62 +1.4%22.87 → 2.91 +1.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.57	2.35	6.2%
Betano	1.55	2.27	8.6%
1xBet	1.53	2.29	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.53	2.29	9.0%
BetVictor	1.44	1.98	19.9%
Best of all books	1.57	2.35	6.2%
Average	1.52	2.24	10.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.48	2.45	8.4%
Betano	1.50	2.35	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.48	2.40	9.2%
BetVictor	1.36	2.15	20.0%
Best of all books	1.50	2.45	7.5%
Average	1.46	2.34	11.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Aveley 45%Draw 45%Carshalton Athletic 10%

The statistical model rates Aveley at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Carshalton Athletic at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.00 | 3.62 | 2.91, which imply roughly 50% for a Aveley win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Aveley averaged 3 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Carshalton Athletic averaged 3 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Aveley or draw and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.01	3.64	2.92

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.31	1.67	1.21

Draw no bet

1	2
1.53	2.14

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.46	2.34

1st half

1	X	2
2.55	2.36	3.40

2nd half

1	X	2
2.36	2.68	3.15

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.08	14.1	28.0
HT X	5.60	6.48	7.38
HT 2	22.3	14.2	4.65

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.71	19.0	2.09

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	14.0
1.5	1.13	4.22
2.5	1.52	2.24
3.5	2.25	1.48
4.5	3.80	1.17
5.5	6.68	1.04

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	10.0
1.25	1.04	6.75
1.75	1.15	4.21
2	1.19	3.75
2.25	1.34	2.58
2.75	1.61	1.95
3	1.81	1.76
3.25	2.02	1.57
3.75	2.58	1.35
4	3.50	1.22
4.25	3.89	1.18
4.75	5.30	1.09
5	7.50	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	2.97	1.30
-0.75	2.25	1.46
-0.5	1.91	1.64
-0.25	1.75	1.85
0	1.52	2.14
+0.25	1.39	2.41

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	7.90	1.02
-2	7.10	1.04
-1.75	4.80	1.12
-1.5	3.75	1.19
-1.25	3.35	1.25
+0.75	1.22	3.50
+1	1.10	5.15
+1.25	1.08	5.65
+1.5	1.06	6.05
+1.75	1.02	8.20

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