Shabab Al Sahel vs Al Ahed• Premier League, Lebanon

#110.0:2.011:15Today1.0:0.5#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

15.50B365X3.75B36521.67WHMargin at best4.7%Books9Markets45Rating25 · 75Exp. goals L51.8

Price board · 1X2captured 30 Oct 06:49 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	4.70	3.60	1.67	8.9%
Betfair	4.75	3.75	1.60	10.2%
1xBet	5.38	3.65	1.54	10.9%
Betano	4.45	3.45	1.67	11.3%
Bet365	5.50	3.75	1.50	11.5%
Pinnacle	4.25	3.51	1.67	11.9%
Marathonbet	5.25	3.65	1.52	12.2%
William Hill	4.33	3.30	1.67	13.3%
BetVictor	4.10	3.20	1.55	20.2%
Best of all books	5.50	3.75	1.67	4.7%
Average	4.75	3.54	1.60	11.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Shabab Al SahelAl Ahed

Last 10#11Table position#40.00Points per game2.001Form pts · last 590.0Goals for · last 51.02.0Goals against · last 50.50Attack rating10025Defence rating750Form rating10029H2H rating710Goals model10025Overall rating75

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 29 Oct 09:30 UTC

Shabab Al Sahel

2W 1D 7L · goals 8:16 · per match 0.8 for, 1.6 against

24 Oct	A	Jwaaya FC	0-2	L
12 Oct	H	Safa	0-3	L
8 Oct	H	Tadamon Sour	0-1	L
2 Jul	A	Jwaaya FC	0-0	D
28 Jun	A	Al Ahed	2-4	L
24 Jun	H	Reyady Abaseya	3-0	W
16 Jun	H	Racing	2-0	W
12 Jun	H	Safa	0-1	L
22 Feb	A	Al Ansar	0-3	L
16 Feb	A	Al Hikma	1-2	L

Al Ahed

2W 5D 3L · goals 11:14 · per match 1.1 for, 1.4 against

23 Oct	H	Reyady Abaseya	1-0	W
17 Oct	A	Al Hikma	1-1	D
13 Oct	H	Al Mabarrah	1-0	W
9 Oct	A	Tripoli SC	1-1	D
1 Aug	H	Jwaaya FC	2-2	D
28 Jul	A	Al Nejmeh	1-2	L
24 Jul	H	Al Ansar	1-1	D
20 Jul	A	Jwaaya FC	0-2	L
16 Jul	H	Al Nejmeh	0-2	L
12 Jul	A	Al Ansar	3-3	D

Head to head

5Shabab Al Sahel wins

2draws

18Al Ahed wins

25 meetings · goals 20:55 · last 10: 2W 0D 8L for Shabab Al Sahel

28 Jun 2026Premier League	Premier League	Al Ahed4-2Shabab Al Sahel
20 Dec 2025Premier League	Premier League	Shabab Al Sahel2-1Al Ahed
30 Mar 2025Premier League	Premier League	Shabab Al Sahel1-8Al Ahed
24 Sep 2023Premier League	Premier League	Shabab Al Sahel0-5Al Ahed
24 Apr 2023Cup	Cup	Shabab Al Sahel0-4Al Ahed
4 Mar 2023Premier League	Premier League	Al Ahed2-0Shabab Al Sahel
13 Jan 2023Premier League	Premier League	Shabab Al Sahel1-2Al Ahed
17 Sep 2022Premier League	Premier League	Al Ahed0-1Shabab Al Sahel
23 Apr 2022Premier League	Premier League	Shabab Al Sahel0-3Al Ahed
3 Apr 2022Premier League	Premier League	Al Ahed4-1Shabab Al Sahel

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 30 Oct 09:40 UTC

In the Premier League table, Shabab Al Sahel sit 11th with 0 points from 3 games, while Al Ahed are 4th with 8 points from 4.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Jwaaya FC	4	4	0	0	10:1	+9	12
2	Tadamon Sour	4	3	1	0	10:5	+5	10
3	Safa	3	3	0	0	7:2	+5	9
4	Al Ahed	4	2	2	0	4:2	+2	8
5	Tripoli SC	4	2	1	1	7:3	+4	7
6	Al Nejmeh	2	1	1	0	5:3	+2	4
7	Al Ansar	1	1	0	0	2:1	+1	3
8	Al Mabarrah	4	1	0	3	1:7	-6	3
9	Al Hikma	4	0	1	3	2:7	-5	1
10	Reyady Abaseya	3	0	0	3	2:5	-3	0
11	Shabab Al Sahel	3	0	0	3	0:6	-6	0
12	Al Akhaa Al Ahli	4	0	0	4	2:10	-8	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg119%4.75X25%3.54256%1.60

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

15.72 → 4.75 -17.0%X3.73 → 3.54 -5.1%21.47 → 1.60 +8.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.81	1.90	7.9%
Betfair	1.80	1.91	7.9%
1xBet	1.85	1.82	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.85	1.82	9.0%
Betano	1.83	1.80	10.2%
BetVictor	1.67	1.66	20.1%
Best of all books	1.95	1.91	3.6%
Average	1.82	1.82	9.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.80	1.91	7.9%
1xBet	1.86	1.81	9.0%
William Hill	1.75	1.91	9.5%
Marathonbet	1.86	1.78	9.9%
BetVictor	1.65	1.70	19.4%
Best of all books	1.86	1.91	6.1%
Average	1.78	1.82	10.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Shabab Al Sahel 0%Draw 50%Al Ahed 50%

The statistical model rates Shabab Al Sahel at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Al Ahed at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.75 | 3.54 | 1.60, which imply roughly 28.2% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Shabab Al Sahel are 11th (0 pts, 0-6 goals), Al Ahed 4th (8 pts, 4-2).

Over their last five matches, Shabab Al Sahel averaged 0 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Al Ahed averaged 1 scored and 0.5 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Al Ahed and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
4.75	3.54	1.60

Draw no bet

1	2
3.74	1.24

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.78	1.82

1st half

1	X	2
5.20	2.17	2.14

2nd half

1	X	2
4.72	2.50	1.98

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	8.00	16.3	21.5
HT X	10.2	5.43	4.43
HT 2	40.5	16.0	2.53

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
3.05	10.4	1.44

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	10.3
1.5	1.23	3.49
2.5	1.82	1.82
3.5	3.16	1.28
4.5	6.15	1.10
5.5	11.5	1.02

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	8.50
1.75	1.30	3.01
2	1.39	2.61
2.25	1.61	2.10
2.75	2.06	1.64
3	2.45	1.44
3.25	2.77	1.35
3.75	3.90	1.18
4	5.40	1.09

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	1.38	2.64
-1.25	1.48	2.35
-1	1.69	1.97
-0.75	1.86	1.72
-0.5	2.05	1.64
-0.25	2.61	1.39

6 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	1.01	8.90
-2.5	1.09	5.25
-2	1.14	4.40
-1.75	1.26	3.20
0	3.74	1.20
+0.25	4.60	1.13

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8.5	1.82	1.96

Latest Premier League results

23 Oct	Al Ahed 1-0 Reyady Abaseya
23 Oct	Tripoli SC 1-2 Tadamon Sour
13 Oct	Shabab Al Sahel 0-3 Safa
13 Oct	Tripoli SC 2-0 Al Akhaa Al Ahli
12 Oct	Al Nejmeh 3-3 Tadamon Sour
9 Oct	Tripoli SC 1-1 Al Ahed