Tripoli SC vs Al Ahed• Premier League, Lebanon

#612:00Today#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.95DAFX3.50BFR21.86DAFMargin at best7.7%Books7Markets40Rating15 · 85

Price board · 1X2captured 8 Oct 16:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	3.95	3.35	1.86	8.9%
Betfair	3.60	3.50	1.85	10.4%
Betano	3.85	3.25	1.85	10.8%
1xBet	3.70	3.35	1.85	10.9%
Bet365	3.75	3.40	1.80	11.6%
Marathonbet	3.60	3.35	1.83	12.3%
BetVictor	3.40	3.10	1.73	19.5%
Best of all books	3.95	3.50	1.86	7.7%
Average	3.69	3.33	1.82	11.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Tripoli SCAl Ahed

Last 10#6Table position#57Form pts · last 520Attack rating00Defence rating00Form rating015H2H rating850Goals model015Overall rating85

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 8 Oct 21:42 UTC

Tripoli SC

3W 2D 5L · goals 7:12 · per match 0.7 for, 1.2 against

23 May	A	Shabab Al Ghazieh	0-0	D
17 May	A	Shabab Al Sahel	1-0	W
9 May	A	Tadamon Sour	1-0	W
5 May	A	Al Ahli Nabatiya	1-3	L
25 Apr	A	Al Hikma	0-1	L
20 Apr	A	Al Ahli Nabatiya	1-0	W
13 Apr	A	Shabab Al Ghazieh	0-0	D
7 Apr	A	Shabab Al Sahel	2-3	L
29 Mar	A	Tadamon Sour	0-3	L
24 Mar	H	Al Ahli Nabatiya	1-2	L

Al Ahed

3W 3D 4L · goals 17:18 · per match 1.7 for, 1.8 against

1 Aug	H	Jwaaya FC	2-2	D
28 Jul	A	Al Nejmeh	1-2	L
24 Jul	H	Al Ansar	1-1	D
20 Jul	A	Jwaaya FC	0-2	L
16 Jul	H	Al Nejmeh	0-2	L
12 Jul	A	Al Ansar	3-3	D
28 Jun	H	Shabab Al Sahel	4-2	W
24 Jun	H	Safa	4-1	W
20 Jun	A	Al Ansar	1-3	L
16 Jun	H	Al Hikma	1-0	W

Head to head

0Tripoli SC wins

4draws

14Al Ahed wins

18 meetings · goals 4:30 · last 10: 0W 2D 8L for Tripoli SC

4 Nov 2023Premier League	Premier League	Tripoli SC0-1Al Ahed
8 Oct 2022Premier League	Premier League	Tripoli SC0-4Al Ahed
13 Sep 2021Premier League	Premier League	Tripoli SC0-1Al Ahed
2 Jan 2021Premier League	Premier League	Al Ahed0-0Tripoli SC
16 Feb 2019Premier League	Premier League	Tripoli SC0-2Al Ahed
2 Nov 2018Premier League	Premier League	Al Ahed2-0Tripoli SC
27 Jan 2018Premier League	Premier League	Tripoli SC0-1Al Ahed
18 Nov 2017Premier League	Premier League	Al Ahed0-0Tripoli SC
21 Jan 2017Premier League	Premier League	Tripoli SC1-3Al Ahed
9 Dec 2016Premier League	Premier League	Al Ahed1-0Tripoli SC

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 8 Oct 22:51 UTC

In the Premier League table, Tripoli SC sit 6th with 0 points from 0 games, while Al Ahed are 5th with 0 points from 0.

#	Team	P	W	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Al Nejmeh	1	1	0	2:0	+2	3
2	Al Ansar	1	1	0	2:1	+1	3
3	Safa	1	1	0	2:1	+1	3
4	Tadamon Sour	1	1	0	1:0	+1	3
5	Al Ahed	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Tripoli SC	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Al Mabarrah	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Jwaaya FC	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Al Hikma	1	0	1	1:2	-1	0
10	Reyady Abaseya	1	0	1	1:2	-1	0
11	Shabab Al Sahel	1	0	1	0:1	-1	0
12	Al Akhaa Al Ahli	1	0	1	0:2	-2	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg124%3.69X27%3.33249%1.82

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.79 → 3.69 -2.6%X3.34 → 3.33 -0.3%21.84 → 1.82 -1.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.90	1.90	5.3%
Betfair	1.80	1.91	7.9%
1xBet	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Marathonbet	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Betano	1.82	1.82	9.9%
BetVictor	1.67	1.66	20.1%
Best of all books	1.90	1.91	5.0%
Average	1.81	1.82	10.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.65	2.10	8.2%
1xBet	1.72	1.96	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.72	1.93	10.0%
BetVictor	1.57	1.75	20.8%
Best of all books	1.72	2.10	5.8%
Average	1.67	1.94	11.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Tripoli SC 0%Draw 50%Al Ahed 50%

The statistical model rates Tripoli SC at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Al Ahed at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.69 | 3.33 | 1.82, which imply roughly 30% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Tripoli SC are 6th (0 pts, 0-0 goals), Al Ahed 5th (0 pts, 0-0).

Over their last five matches, Tripoli SC averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Al Ahed averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Al Ahed.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.69	3.33	1.82

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.78	1.20	1.24

Draw no bet

1	2
2.74	1.39

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.67	1.94

1st half

1	X	2
4.19	2.13	2.43

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.50	8.80	1.64

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	10.9
1.5	1.24	3.45
2.5	1.81	1.83
3.5	3.09	1.29
4.5	6.50	1.11
5.5	11.5	1.02

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	7.70
1.75	1.31	2.92
2	1.39	2.59
2.25	1.62	2.09
2.75	2.03	1.63
3	2.43	1.44
3.25	2.74	1.35
3.75	3.70	1.20
4	4.95	1.11

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
0	2.62	1.38
+0.25	2.08	1.60
+0.5	1.82	1.75
+0.75	1.61	2.09
+1	1.41	2.60
+1.25	1.31	2.92

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	7.70	1.03
-1	6.80	1.04
-0.25	3.05	1.28
+1.5	1.25	3.28
+1.75	1.16	4.14
+2	1.07	5.90
+2.5	1.05	6.60