Roda vs De Graafschap• KNVB Beker, Netherlands

19:00Today · Parkstad Limburg Stadion, Kerkrade

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.11DAFX3.65DAF23.441XBMargin at best3.9%Books9Markets62Rating45 · 55

Price board · 1X2captured 27 Oct 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.11	3.65	3.35	4.6%
Bet365	2.10	3.50	3.25	7.0%
Betano	2.07	3.50	3.30	7.2%
1xBet	2.01	3.44	3.44	7.9%
Marathonbet	1.99	3.44	3.42	8.6%
William Hill	2.00	3.30	3.40	9.7%
BetVictor	2.00	3.50	3.20	9.8%
Betfair	1.95	3.60	3.10	11.3%
Pinnacle	2.00	3.31	3.03	13.2%
Best of all books	2.11	3.65	3.44	3.9%
Average	2.03	3.47	3.28	8.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

RodaDe Graafschap

Last 1010Form pts · last 580Attack rating00Defence rating00Form rating050H2H rating500Goals model045Overall rating55

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 26 Oct 19:30 UTC

Roda

5W 4D 1L · goals 13:9 · per match 1.3 for, 0.9 against

23 Oct	A	Almere City FC	3-2	W
19 Oct	A	Jong Utrecht	2-1	W
9 Oct	H	Jong PSV U21	1-1	D
4 Oct	A	VVV Venlo	0-2	L
26 Sep	H	Waalwijk	2-0	W
18 Sep	A	Jong Ajax	0-0	D
12 Sep	H	Vitesse	1-0	W
6 Sep	A	MVV	1-1	D
28 Aug	H	NAC Breda	2-2	D
21 Aug	A	Dordrecht	1-0	W

De Graafschap

3W 2D 5L · goals 12:20 · per match 1.2 for, 2.0 against

23 Oct	H	Waalwijk	1-1	D
19 Oct	A	Jong Ajax	1-2	L
9 Oct	H	Jong Utrecht	2-1	W
3 Oct	A	FC Eindhoven	2-2	D
27 Sep	H	Den Bosch	1-0	W
20 Sep	H	NAC Breda	1-2	L
11 Sep	A	Emmen	2-1	W
4 Sep	A	Heracles	0-5	L
29 Aug	H	Almere City FC	1-4	L
23 Aug	A	VVV Venlo	1-2	L

Head to head

8Roda wins

4draws

10De Graafschap wins

22 meetings · goals 24:36 · last 10: 4W 2D 4L for Roda

12 Dec 2025Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	De Graafschap2-3Roda
15 Aug 2025Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	Roda1-0De Graafschap
6 Apr 2025Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	De Graafschap2-0Roda
1 Sep 2024Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	Roda1-4De Graafschap
19 Apr 2024Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	Roda1-1De Graafschap
29 Sep 2023Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	De Graafschap0-0Roda
19 Feb 2023Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	De Graafschap2-0Roda
12 Sep 2022Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	Roda3-2De Graafschap
30 Jul 2022Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	De Graafschap1-0Roda
14 Mar 2022Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	Roda2-0De Graafschap

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg145%2.03X27%3.47228%3.28

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.80 → 2.03 +12.8%X3.77 → 3.47 -8.0%23.79 → 3.28 -13.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	1.65	2.20	6.1%
Bet365	1.70	2.10	6.4%
Betfair	1.60	2.20	8.0%
Pinnacle	1.66	2.05	9.0%
BetVictor	1.64	2.08	9.1%
1xBet	1.59	2.10	10.5%
Marathonbet	1.59	2.10	10.5%
Best of all books	1.70	2.20	4.3%
Average	1.63	2.12	8.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.62	2.20	7.2%
Betfair	1.53	2.38	7.4%
1xBet	1.53	2.35	7.9%
Betano	1.53	2.35	7.9%
Bet365	1.57	2.25	8.1%
Marathonbet	1.53	2.31	8.6%
BetVictor	1.53	2.30	8.8%
Best of all books	1.62	2.38	3.7%
Average	1.55	2.31	7.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Roda 10%Draw 45%De Graafschap 45%

The statistical model rates Roda at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and De Graafschap at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.03 | 3.47 | 3.28, which imply roughly 28.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Roda averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; De Graafschap averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or De Graafschap.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.03	3.47	3.28

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.30	1.71	1.27

Draw no bet

1	2
1.51	2.40

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.55	2.31

1st half

1	X	2
2.55	2.24	3.72

2nd half

1	X	2
2.36	2.59	3.35

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.21	13.4	29.4
HT X	5.26	5.64	7.70
HT 2	22.8	13.7	5.52

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.71	13.5	2.23

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	11.8
1.5	1.18	4.29
2.5	1.63	2.12
3.5	2.58	1.46
4.5	4.63	1.16
5.5	8.83	1.04
6.5	17.4	1.02
7.5	41.0	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.04	7.90
1.25	1.07	5.90
1.75	1.21	3.59
2	1.25	3.26
2.25	1.45	2.45
2.75	1.78	1.88
3	2.02	1.69
3.25	2.26	1.53
3.75	2.93	1.32
4	3.82	1.19
4.25	4.15	1.16
4.75	5.70	1.08
5	8.00	1.02
5.25	7.90	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	2.81	1.39
-0.75	2.28	1.53
-0.5	2.03	1.72
-0.25	1.74	1.95
0	1.48	2.39
+0.25	1.36	2.78

15 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	12.0	1.03
-3	11.0	1.05
-2.75	7.40	1.03
-2.5	6.95	1.06
-2.25	6.45	1.07
-2	6.60	1.07
-1.75	4.52	1.15
-1.5	3.55	1.24
-1.25	3.09	1.31
+0.5	1.32	3.14
+0.75	1.18	4.13
+1	1.08	6.10
+1.25	1.07	6.60
+1.5	1.07	6.85
+2.5	1.02	12.0

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8.5	1.31	3.30
9.5	1.52	2.42
10.5	1.86	1.91
11.5	2.42	1.53
12.5	3.20	1.32

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