Helmond Sport vs 
Willem II• KNVB Beker, Netherlands
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 27 Oct 06:01 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 3.40 | 3.85 | 2.01 | 5.1% |
| Bet365 | 3.50 | 3.75 | 1.95 | 6.5% |
| Betano | 3.35 | 3.75 | 1.98 | 7.0% |
| 1xBet | 3.46 | 3.72 | 1.92 | 7.9% |
| Marathonbet | 3.44 | 3.72 | 1.90 | 8.6% |
| BetVictor | 3.25 | 3.75 | 1.93 | 9.2% |
| William Hill | 3.10 | 3.70 | 2.00 | 9.3% |
| Betfair | 3.10 | 3.80 | 1.91 | 10.9% |
| Pinnacle | 3.15 | 3.50 | 1.92 | 12.4% |
| Best of all books | 3.50 | 3.85 | 2.01 | 4.3% |
| Average | 3.31 | 3.73 | 1.95 | 8.5% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 26 Oct 19:30 UTC
Helmond Sport
2W 2D 6L · goals 18:23 · per match 1.8 for, 2.3 against
| 23 Oct | A | Jong AZ | 4-5 | L |
| 16 Oct | H | NAC Breda | 0-2 | L |
| 9 Oct | A | FC OSS | 1-3 | L |
| 2 Oct | H | Heracles | 2-2 | D |
| 26 Sep | A | MVV | 0-2 | L |
| 18 Sep | A | Den Bosch | 1-2 | L |
| 11 Sep | H | Jong PSV U21 | 3-1 | W |
| 4 Sep | H | VVV Venlo | 4-2 | W |
| 28 Aug | A | Jong Ajax | 2-3 | L |
| 21 Aug | H | Waalwijk | 1-1 | D |
Willem II
0W 2D 8L · goals 10:32 · per match 1.0 for, 3.2 against
| 24 Oct | H | Cambuur | 1-6 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Sparta Rotterdam | 2-3 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Utrecht | 1-3 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Fortuna Sittard | 0-1 | L |
| 15 Sep | A | Ajax | 1-5 | L |
| 11 Sep | A | AZ Alkmaar | 1-1 | D |
| 5 Sep | H | Excelsior | 0-3 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | Heerenveen | 2-2 | D |
| 15 Aug | H | NEC Nijmegen | 1-4 | L |
| 8 Aug | A | GO Ahead Eagles | 1-4 | L |
Head to head
6 meetings · goals 5:17 · last 6: 0W 1D 5L for Helmond Sport
| 21 Dec 2025Eerste Divisie | Eerste Divisie | Helmond Sport2-2Willem II |
| 30 Sep 2025Eerste Divisie | Eerste Divisie | Willem II1-0Helmond Sport |
| 29 Mar 2024Eerste Divisie | Eerste Divisie | Helmond Sport0-2Willem II |
| 15 Dec 2023Eerste Divisie | Eerste Divisie | Willem II4-1Helmond Sport |
| 3 Feb 2023Eerste Divisie | Eerste Divisie | Willem II5-1Helmond Sport |
| 14 Oct 2022Eerste Divisie | Eerste Divisie | Helmond Sport1-3Willem II |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.8% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 1.50 | 2.50 | 6.7% |
| Bet365 | 1.53 | 2.40 | 7.0% |
| Betfair | 1.45 | 2.55 | 8.2% |
| BetVictor | 1.50 | 2.36 | 9.0% |
| Pinnacle | 1.48 | 2.39 | 9.4% |
| 1xBet | 1.44 | 2.43 | 10.6% |
| Marathonbet | 1.44 | 2.43 | 10.6% |
| Best of all books | 1.53 | 2.55 | 4.6% |
| Average | 1.48 | 2.44 | 8.7% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 6.7% |
| Betfair | 1.44 | 2.63 | 7.5% |
| Betano | 1.45 | 2.57 | 7.9% |
| 1xBet | 1.44 | 2.60 | 7.9% |
| BetVictor | 1.44 | 2.55 | 8.7% |
| Marathonbet | 1.44 | 2.55 | 8.7% |
| William Hill | 1.44 | 2.50 | 9.4% |
| Best of all books | 1.50 | 2.63 | 4.7% |
| Average | 1.45 | 2.56 | 8.1% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Helmond Sport at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Willem II at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.28 | 3.78 | 1.92, which imply roughly 26.5% for the draw versus the model's 50%.
Over their last five matches, Helmond Sport averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Willem II averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Willem II.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.31 | 3.73 | 1.95 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.78 | 1.29 | 1.23 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 2.50 | 1.48 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.45 | 2.56 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.73 | 2.39 | 2.41 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.40 | 2.76 | 2.21 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 5.50 | 13.4 | 19.4 |
| HT X | 8.22 | 6.36 | 5.32 |
| HT 2 | 27.8 | 13.3 | 2.98 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.23 | 17.8 | 1.65 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.02 | 14.5 |
| 1.5 | 1.13 | 5.08 |
| 2.5 | 1.48 | 2.44 |
| 3.5 | 2.21 | 1.60 |
| 4.5 | 3.73 | 1.23 |
| 5.5 | 7.03 | 1.07 |
| 6.5 | 14.6 | 1.02 |
| 7.5 | 29.0 | 1.01 |
| 8.5 | 50.5 | – |
13 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.01 | 10.5 |
| 1.75 | 1.13 | 4.60 |
| 2 | 1.16 | 4.15 |
| 2.25 | 1.31 | 2.95 |
| 2.75 | 1.58 | 2.18 |
| 3 | 1.74 | 1.96 |
| 3.25 | 1.96 | 1.74 |
| 3.75 | 2.47 | 1.45 |
| 4 | 2.94 | 1.31 |
| 4.25 | 3.29 | 1.25 |
| 4.75 | 4.36 | 1.15 |
| 5 | 5.80 | 1.07 |
| 5.25 | 6.10 | 1.06 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -0.25 | 2.82 | 1.36 |
| 0 | 2.47 | 1.45 |
| +0.25 | 2.03 | 1.68 |
| +0.5 | 1.80 | 1.94 |
| +0.75 | 1.61 | 2.14 |
| +1 | 1.43 | 2.64 |
15 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12.0 | 1.02 |
| -1.5 | 6.48 | 1.08 |
| -1.25 | 6.20 | 1.08 |
| -1 | 5.85 | 1.09 |
| -0.75 | 4.00 | 1.19 |
| -0.5 | 3.10 | 1.35 |
| +1.25 | 1.36 | 2.84 |
| +1.5 | 1.28 | 3.25 |
| +1.75 | 1.19 | 3.96 |
| +2 | 1.10 | 5.50 |
| +2.25 | 1.09 | 5.85 |
| +2.5 | 1.08 | 6.20 |
| +2.75 | 1.04 | 6.95 |
| +3 | 1.02 | 8.55 |
| +3.5 | 1.02 | 9.87 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 1.33 | 3.15 |
| 9.5 | 1.55 | 2.35 |
| 10.5 | 1.92 | 1.81 |
| 11.5 | 2.50 | 1.50 |
| 12.5 | 3.35 | 1.30 |
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