Hoek vs Sparta Nijkerk• KNVB Beker, Netherlands

0.0:0.019:00Tomorrow · Sportpark Denoek, Hoek2.5:0.5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.54DAFX4.60BFR26.421XBMargin at best2.3%Books9Markets60Rating56 · 44Exp. goals L51.5

Price board · 1X2captured 28 Oct 21:02 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.54	4.50	5.60	5.0%
1xBet	1.42	4.55	6.42	8.0%
Marathonbet	1.40	4.60	6.45	8.7%
Betano	1.47	4.40	5.40	9.3%
BetVictor	1.40	4.60	6.00	9.8%
William Hill	1.44	4.20	6.00	9.9%
Bet365	1.48	4.10	5.25	11.0%
Betfair	1.40	4.60	5.50	11.3%
Pinnacle	1.39	4.48	5.62	12.1%
Best of all books	1.54	4.60	6.45	2.2%
Average	1.44	4.45	5.80	9.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

HoekSparta Nijkerk

Last 104Form pts · last 590.0Goals for · last 52.50.0Goals against · last 50.50Attack rating100100Defence rating00Form rating10062H2H rating380Goals model056Overall rating44

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 28 Oct 11:30 UTC

Hoek

1W 4D 5L · goals 9:17 · per match 0.9 for, 1.7 against

24 Oct	A	Quick Boys	1-3	L
17 Oct	H	Kozakken Boys	0-0	D
10 Oct	A	AFC Amsterdam	0-2	L
3 Oct	H	De Treffers	3-1	W
26 Sep	A	Sparta Rotterdam II	0-3	L
19 Sep	H	Almere City II	2-2	D
12 Sep	A	Barendrecht	1-1	D
5 Sep	A	RKAV Volendam	1-2	L
29 Aug	H	Spakenburg	0-2	L
22 Aug	A	Katwijk	1-1	D

Sparta Nijkerk

7W 0D 3L · goals 20:11 · per match 2.0 for, 1.1 against

24 Oct	H	Hoogeveen	2-0	W
17 Oct	A	Purmersteijn	0-3	L
10 Oct	H	VV Scherpenzeel	0-2	L
3 Oct	A	SVZW	2-0	W
26 Sep	H	Staphorst	3-2	W
23 Sep	H	UDI '19	3-1	W
19 Sep	A	Eemdijk	4-0	W
12 Sep	H	Hercules	1-2	L
5 Sep	A	DVS 33 Ermelo	3-1	W
2 Sep	H	Venray	2-0	W

Head to head

3Hoek wins

1draws

2Sparta Nijkerk wins

6 meetings · goals 11:10 · last 6: 3W 1D 2L for Hoek

4 Mar 2023Derde Divisie	Derde Divisie	Sparta Nijkerk2-0Hoek
17 Sep 2022Derde Divisie	Derde Divisie	Hoek2-1Sparta Nijkerk
22 Mar 2022Derde Divisie	Derde Divisie	Hoek0-0Sparta Nijkerk
16 Oct 2021Derde Divisie	Derde Divisie	Sparta Nijkerk1-2Hoek
15 Feb 2020Derde Divisie	Derde Divisie	Sparta Nijkerk2-5Hoek
16 Nov 2019Derde Divisie	Derde Divisie	Hoek2-4Sparta Nijkerk

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg164%1.44X21%4.43216%5.79

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.50 → 1.44 -4.0%X4.00 → 4.43 +10.7%25.00 → 5.79 +15.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.57	2.35	6.2%
Betfair	1.44	2.60	7.9%
BetVictor	1.45	2.55	8.2%
Betano	1.47	2.42	9.3%
Pinnacle	1.39	2.64	9.8%
1xBet	1.41	2.52	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.41	2.52	10.6%
Best of all books	1.57	2.64	1.6%
Average	1.45	2.51	8.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.60	2.25	6.9%
William Hill	1.62	2.20	7.2%
Bet365	1.67	2.10	7.5%
BetVictor	1.60	2.20	8.0%
1xBet	1.59	2.21	8.1%
Marathonbet	1.59	2.18	8.8%
Betano	1.62	2.12	8.9%
Best of all books	1.67	2.25	4.3%
Average	1.61	2.18	7.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Hoek 45%Draw 45%Sparta Nijkerk 10%

The statistical model rates Hoek at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Sparta Nijkerk at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.44 | 4.43 | 5.79, which imply roughly 69.4% for a Hoek win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Hoek averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Sparta Nijkerk averaged 2.5 scored and 0.5 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Hoek or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.44	4.45	5.80

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.11	2.60	1.17

Draw no bet

1	2
1.17	4.53

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.61	2.18

1st half

1	X	2
1.88	2.54	5.58

2nd half

1	X	2
1.74	2.96	5.15

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.08	16.4	45.0
HT X	4.27	7.15	13.0
HT 2	19.8	17.4	10.4

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.40	18.1	2.86

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	16.5
1.5	1.12	5.29
2.5	1.45	2.51
3.5	2.17	1.62
4.5	3.66	1.23
5.5	6.72	1.07
6.5	15.7	1.02
7.5	29.0	1.01

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	11.5
1.25	1.05	6.65
1.75	1.11	4.93
2	1.14	4.43
2.25	1.29	3.09
2.75	1.52	2.29
3	1.68	2.02
3.25	1.89	1.80
3.75	2.38	1.49
4	2.85	1.33
4.25	3.16	1.27
4.75	4.28	1.15
5	5.73	1.08
5.25	6.07	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.43	1.47
-1.5	2.13	1.63
-1.25	1.89	1.80
-1	1.68	2.08
-0.75	1.50	2.36
-0.5	1.44	2.61

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	6.92	1.05
-3	6.13	1.06
-2.75	4.68	1.15
-2.5	3.71	1.22
-2.25	3.37	1.26
-2	3.01	1.32
-0.25	1.28	3.22
0	1.14	4.77
+0.25	1.11	5.23
+0.5	1.15	5.50
+0.75	1.05	7.73
+1	1.03	8.60
+1.5	1.02	9.75

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
10.5	1.67	2.10
11	1.90	1.90
11.5	2.10	1.67

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