Union Comercio vs Ayacucho FC• Segunda División, Peru

1.0:1.25-0FT12/10 · Estadio Municipal Carlos Vidaurre Garcia, Tarapoto1.8:2.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.53B365X3.95DAF26.701XBMargin at best5.6%Books9Markets47Rating60 · 40Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 12 Oct 16:22 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.50	3.95	6.20	8.1%
Betfair	1.44	3.90	6.50	10.5%
William Hill	1.50	3.50	6.50	10.6%
1xBet	1.43	3.84	6.70	10.9%
Betano	1.47	3.90	5.80	10.9%
Bet365	1.53	3.70	5.25	11.4%
Marathonbet	1.42	3.84	6.35	12.2%
Pinnacle	1.43	3.86	5.95	12.6%
BetVictor	1.40	3.40	5.25	19.9%
Best of all books	1.53	3.95	6.70	5.6%
Average	1.46	3.77	6.06	11.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Union ComercioAyacucho FC

Last 109Form pts · last 531.0Goals for · last 51.81.2Goals against · last 52.036Attack rating6463Defence rating3854Form rating4662H2H rating3886Goals model1460Overall rating40

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 18:51 UTC

Union Comercio

5W 3D 2L · goals 16:7 · per match 1.6 for, 0.7 against

12 Oct	H	Ayacucho FC	5-0	W
6 Oct	A	Minas	1-4	L
27 Sep	H	Molinos El Pirata	2-0	W
13 Sep	A	Deportiva Agropecuaria	0-1	L
6 Sep	H	U. San Martin	1-0	W
30 Aug	A	Deportivo Llacuabamba	1-1	D
23 Aug	H	Carlos A. Mannucci	0-0	D
17 Aug	A	Molinos El Pirata	2-1	W
7 Aug	H	Academia Cantolao	4-0	W
25 Jul	A	Cesar Vallejo	0-0	D

Ayacucho FC

4W 0D 6L · goals 13:20 · per match 1.3 for, 2.0 against

12 Oct	A	Union Comercio	0-5	L
6 Oct	A	Molinos El Pirata	0-2	L
26 Sep	H	Minas	1-0	W
12 Sep	H	Sport Huancayo 2	0-2	L
4 Sep	A	Comerciantes	1-5	L
22 Aug	H	Deportivo Binacional	7-1	W
15 Aug	A	Minas	1-3	L
9 Aug	H	Estudiantil CNI	1-0	W
2 Aug	A	Bentín Tacna Heroica	0-2	L
26 Jul	H	Santos	2-0	W

Head to head

4Union Comercio wins

3draws

4Ayacucho FC wins

11 meetings · goals 16:11 · last 10: 4W 3D 3L for Union Comercio

12 Oct 2026Segunda División	Segunda División	Union Comercio5-0Ayacucho FC
19 Oct 2019Primera División	Primera División	Ayacucho FC1-1Union Comercio
4 May 2019Primera División	Primera División	Union Comercio0-1Ayacucho FC
4 Oct 2018Primera División	Primera División	Union Comercio3-1Ayacucho FC
21 Jul 2018Primera División	Primera División	Ayacucho FC1-1Union Comercio
28 Oct 2017Primera División	Primera División	Ayacucho FC0-1Union Comercio
22 Jul 2017Primera División	Primera División	Union Comercio3-1Ayacucho FC
4 May 2017Primera División	Primera División	Union Comercio0-2Ayacucho FC
25 Feb 2017Primera División	Primera División	Ayacucho FC1-1Union Comercio
17 Jul 2016Primera División	Primera División	Union Comercio0-1Ayacucho FC

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg162%1.44X23%3.81214%6.18

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.46 → 1.46 0.0%X3.81 → 3.77 -1.0%26.30 → 6.06 -3.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.89	1.82	7.9%
Betfair	1.95	1.75	8.4%
1xBet	1.87	1.80	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.87	1.80	9.0%
Betano	1.88	1.75	10.3%
BetVictor	1.69	1.64	20.1%
Best of all books	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Average	1.87	1.77	9.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	2.05	1.73	6.6%
William Hill	2.00	1.70	8.8%
1xBet	2.01	1.68	9.3%
Marathonbet	2.01	1.66	10.0%
BetVictor	1.80	1.55	20.1%
Best of all books	2.05	1.73	6.6%
Average	1.97	1.66	10.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Union Comercio 45%Draw 45%Ayacucho FC 10%

The statistical model rated Union Comercio at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Ayacucho FC at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.44 | 3.81 | 6.18, which imply roughly 69.4% for a Union Comercio win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Union Comercio averaged 1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Ayacucho FC averaged 1.8 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Union Comercio or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.46	3.77	6.06

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.08	2.39	1.20

Draw no bet

1	2
1.16	4.18

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.97	1.66

1st half

1	X	2
2.01	2.21	6.21

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.44	8.75	3.33

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	9.70
1.5	1.27	3.27
2.5	1.87	1.77
3.5	3.22	1.28
4.5	6.90	1.08
5.5	15.0	1.02

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	7.30
1.25	1.15	4.13
1.75	1.33	2.85
2	1.42	2.50
2.25	1.65	2.05
2.75	2.10	1.61
3	2.52	1.42
3.25	2.83	1.33
3.75	3.82	1.19
4	5.15	1.10

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.67	1.37
-1.5	2.27	1.51
-1.25	2.00	1.71
-1	1.76	1.88
-0.75	1.54	2.22
-0.5	1.54	2.28

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	8.30	1.02
-3	7.60	1.03
-2.5	4.20	1.15
-2.25	3.89	1.18
-2	3.44	1.23
-0.25	1.27	3.16
0	1.11	4.80
+0.25	1.09	5.35

Latest Segunda División results

18 Oct	Ayacucho FC 1-1 Union Comercio
17 Oct	Santos 1-1 Academia Cantolao
17 Oct	Alianza Universidad 1-1 Carlos A. Mannucci
13 Oct	Carlos A. Mannucci 3-1 Alianza Universidad
12 Oct	Sport Huancayo 2 0-0 Deportivo Llacuabamba
12 Oct	Molinos El Pirata 1-0 Minas