Sestao River vs Terrassa• Copa Federacion, Spain

2.0:1.54-1FT30/09 · Estadio Las Llanas, Sestao2.5:0.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.15B365X3.231XB24.031XBMargin at best2.3%Books4Markets38Rating42 · 58Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 29 Sep 16:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.89	3.45	4.36	4.8%
Betfair	1.80	3.30	4.33	9.0%
Bet365	1.83	3.25	3.75	12.1%
Marathonbet	1.78	3.22	4.00	12.2%
Best of all books	1.89	3.45	4.36	4.8%
Average	1.82	3.31	4.11	9.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Sestao RiverTerrassa

Last 1013Form pts · last 572.0Goals for · last 52.51.5Goals against · last 50.044Attack rating560Defence rating10040Form rating600H2H rating00Goals model042Overall rating58

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 04:20 UTC

Sestao River

7W 2D 1L · goals 18:8 · per match 1.8 for, 0.8 against

14 Oct	H	Salamanca UDS	3-1	W
10 Oct	H	Gimnástica Torrelavega	0-0	D
4 Oct	A	Gernika	2-1	W
30 Sep	H	Terrassa	4-1	W
26 Sep	H	Atlético Astorga	2-0	W
20 Sep	A	Compostela	0-2	L
16 Sep	A	Comillas	2-1	W
13 Sep	H	Real Oviedo II	2-0	W
9 Sep	A	Badalona II	2-2	D
6 Sep	A	Racing Santander II	1-0	W

Terrassa

5W 2D 3L · goals 12:7 · per match 1.2 for, 0.7 against

18 Oct	H	UD Logroñés II	3-0	W
11 Oct	A	Olot	1-1	D
30 Sep	A	Sestao River	1-4	L
26 Sep	A	Ebro	0-1	L
20 Sep	A	Arnedo	1-0	W
16 Sep	H	Binéfar	4-0	W
13 Sep	H	Barbastro	0-0	D
9 Sep	A	San Juan	1-0	W
6 Sep	A	Calamocha	1-0	W
3 May	H	Reddis	0-1	L

Head to head

No previous meetings between Sestao River and Terrassa on record.

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg143%2.12X31%2.90226%3.44

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.83 → 2.07 +13.1%X3.31 → 2.90 -12.4%24.11 → 3.66 -10.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	2.41	1.55	6.0%
Betfair	2.63	1.47	6.1%
Bet365	2.62	1.44	7.6%
Marathonbet	2.52	1.41	10.6%
Best of all books	2.63	1.55	2.5%
Average	2.54	1.47	7.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	2.25	1.57	8.1%
1xBet	2.22	1.56	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.22	1.54	10.0%
Best of all books	2.25	1.57	8.1%
Average	2.23	1.56	9.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Sestao River 10%Draw 45%Terrassa 45%

The statistical model rated Sestao River at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Terrassa at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.12 | 2.90 | 3.44, which imply roughly 34.5% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Sestao River averaged 2 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game; Terrassa averaged 2.5 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Terrassa.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.83	3.31	4.11

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.17	1.80	1.26

Draw no bet

1	2
1.36	3.00

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.23	1.56

1st half

1	X	2
2.57	1.95	5.06

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.64	6.60	2.82

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.06	6.98
1.5	1.50	2.48
2.5	2.55	1.47
3.5	5.13	1.13
4.5	11.0	1.04

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.06	6.35
1	1.12	5.05
1.25	1.29	3.11
1.75	1.65	2.11
2	1.89	1.78
2.25	2.22	1.57
2.75	3.15	1.30
3	4.17	1.17
3.25	4.60	1.16

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	3.20	1.26
-1	2.78	1.36
-0.75	2.10	1.59
-0.5	1.88	1.92
-0.25	1.55	2.17
0	1.31	2.92

5 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2	8.00	1.02
-1.75	4.95	1.11
-1.5	3.74	1.19
+0.25	1.23	3.42
+1.5	1.03	9.20

Latest Copa Federacion results

14 Oct	Recreativo Huelva 2-2 Navalcarnero
14 Oct	Sestao River 3-1 Salamanca UDS
30 Sep	Navalcarnero 3-1 Real Murcia
23 Sep	Saguntino 0-4 Navalcarnero