Alianza vs
CD Marathon• CONCACAF Central American Cup, World
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 28 Oct 00:00 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 3.05 | 3.35 | 2.25 | 7.1% |
| BetVictor | 3.00 | 3.25 | 2.20 | 9.6% |
| Bet365 | 2.75 | 3.60 | 2.20 | 9.6% |
| Pinnacle | 3.01 | 3.25 | 2.15 | 10.5% |
| Betfair | 2.90 | 3.25 | 2.20 | 10.7% |
| 1xBet | 3.04 | 3.20 | 2.14 | 10.9% |
| Betano | 2.95 | 3.15 | 2.20 | 11.1% |
| Marathonbet | 2.96 | 3.20 | 2.12 | 12.2% |
| William Hill | 3.00 | 3.00 | 2.15 | 13.2% |
| SBO | 2.80 | 3.01 | 2.17 | 15.0% |
| Best of all books | 3.05 | 3.60 | 2.25 | 5.0% |
| Average | 2.95 | 3.23 | 2.18 | 10.9% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 27 Oct 01:30 UTC
Alianza
3W 5D 2L · goals 15:14 · per match 1.5 for, 1.4 against
| 24 Oct | H | Isidro Metapán | 1-0 | W |
| 21 Oct | A | CD Marathon | 1-2 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Cacahuatique | 0-0 | D |
| 11 Oct | H | Inter | 2-2 | D |
| 9 Oct | A | FAS | 1-2 | L |
| 4 Oct | H | Firpo | 2-2 | D |
| 1 Oct | H | Platense | 2-1 | W |
| 27 Sep | H | Inca Aruba | 1-1 | D |
| 24 Sep | H | Fuerte San Francisco | 2-2 | D |
| 20 Sep | H | Municipal Limeño | 3-2 | W |
CD Marathon
5W 3D 2L · goals 19:13 · per match 1.9 for, 1.3 against
| 25 Oct | A | Atletico Independiente | 2-2 | D |
| 21 Oct | H | Alianza | 2-1 | W |
| 15 Oct | H | Olancho | 2-1 | W |
| 11 Oct | A | Lobos Upnfm | 0-0 | D |
| 21 Sep | A | Juticalpa | 2-3 | L |
| 18 Sep | A | LD Alajuelense | 1-3 | L |
| 13 Sep | H | CD Olimpia | 1-0 | W |
| 11 Sep | H | LD Alajuelense | 2-2 | D |
| 6 Sep | H | Estrella Roja | 5-0 | W |
| 29 Aug | A | Génesis | 2-1 | W |
Head to head
3 meetings · goals 2:3 · last 3: 1W 0D 2L for Alianza
| 21 Oct 2026CONCACAF Central American Cup | CONCACAF Central American Cup | CD Marathon2-1Alianza |
| 20 Aug 2026CONCACAF Central American Cup | CONCACAF Central American Cup | CD Marathon0-1Alianza |
| 28 Aug 2024CONCACAF Central American Cup | CONCACAF Central American Cup | CD Marathon1-0Alianza |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.0% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 1.75 | 5.9% |
| Pinnacle | 2.01 | 1.76 | 6.6% |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 1.73 | 7.8% |
| 1xBet | 1.94 | 1.74 | 9.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.94 | 1.74 | 9.0% |
| BetVictor | 1.95 | 1.73 | 9.1% |
| Betano | 2.07 | 1.62 | 10.0% |
| Best of all books | 2.07 | 1.76 | 5.1% |
| Average | 1.99 | 1.72 | 8.1% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 1.80 | 1.91 | 7.9% |
| BetVictor | 1.75 | 1.95 | 8.4% |
| 1xBet | 1.74 | 1.94 | 9.0% |
| William Hill | 1.73 | 1.95 | 9.1% |
| Marathonbet | 1.74 | 1.91 | 9.8% |
| Best of all books | 1.80 | 1.95 | 6.8% |
| Average | 1.75 | 1.93 | 8.8% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Alianza at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and CD Marathon at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.95 | 3.23 | 2.18, which imply roughly 31% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Over their last five matches, Alianza averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; CD Marathon averaged 1.6 scored and 1.4 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or CD Marathon.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Starting Lineups
Alianza
4-1-4-1Coach: Roberto Pompei
Goalkeeper
- 13M. González
Defence
- 29E. Hernández
- 3J. Sibrián
- 23J. Monteagudo
- 19N. A. Rodriguez Arias
Midfield
- 6N. Orellana
- 14W. Parra
- 10L. Menjívar
- 8H. Osorio
- 56D. Romero
Attack
- 7M. Mier
Substitutes (12)
- 24Moris Aguirre
- 17F. Castillo
- 31D. Franco
- 41E. R. Guardado Ardon
- 1D. Joya
- 9Gustavo Souza
- 11J. Portillo
- 30E. A. Rivas Linares
- 26N. Rivera
- 45Luis Jeferson Tobar Grande
- 16H. Romero
- 20A. Henriquez
CD Marathon
4-1-4-1Coach: S. Rudman
Goalkeeper
- 1J. Rougier
Defence
- 16S. Agurcia
- 4J. Rivera
- 2H. Figueroa
- 19M. Caballero
Midfield
- 8T. Sorto
- 22C. Argueta
- 10D. Ramírez
- 9B. Farioli
- 29C. Perez
Attack
- 11N. Messiniti
Substitutes (9)
- 14Luis Arriaga
- 3Kenny Alexander Bodden Mejía
- 20J. Bueso
- 7I. Castillo
- 77A. Elis
- 31H. Juarez
- 12Y. Mejía
- 21O. Ramos
- 34N. Vargas
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.95 | 3.23 | 2.18 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.56 | 1.32 | 1.28 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 2.18 | 1.60 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.75 | 1.93 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.68 | 2.03 | 2.78 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.36 | 2.32 | 2.54 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 5.03 | 14.8 | 27.2 |
| HT X | 6.60 | 4.79 | 5.46 |
| HT 2 | 30.8 | 14.3 | 3.53 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.23 | 8.70 | 1.81 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.04 | 8.15 |
| 1.5 | 1.29 | 3.16 |
| 2.5 | 1.99 | 1.72 |
| 3.5 | 3.52 | 1.24 |
| 4.5 | 7.30 | 1.06 |
| 5.5 | 15.5 | 1.02 |
12 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.75 | 1.14 | 4.90 |
| 1 | 1.08 | 6.47 |
| 1.25 | 1.25 | 3.60 |
| 1.75 | 1.37 | 2.73 |
| 2 | 1.51 | 2.33 |
| 2.25 | 1.73 | 1.98 |
| 2.75 | 2.23 | 1.56 |
| 3 | 2.72 | 1.37 |
| 3.25 | 3.08 | 1.29 |
| 3.75 | 4.20 | 1.15 |
| 4 | 5.85 | 1.07 |
| 5 | 10.5 | 1.01 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5 | 2.85 | 1.36 |
| -0.25 | 2.56 | 1.42 |
| 0 | 2.13 | 1.65 |
| +0.25 | 1.81 | 1.90 |
| +0.5 | 1.61 | 2.13 |
| +0.75 | 1.43 | 2.53 |
10 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2 | 11.0 | 1.01 |
| -1.5 | 6.55 | 1.05 |
| -1.25 | 4.90 | 1.14 |
| -1 | 5.55 | 1.08 |
| -0.75 | 3.70 | 1.20 |
| +1 | 1.26 | 3.31 |
| +1.25 | 1.19 | 3.80 |
| +1.5 | 1.15 | 4.25 |
| +1.75 | 1.13 | 5.20 |
| +2 | 1.01 | 8.40 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 9.5 | 1.89 | 1.89 |
Latest CONCACAF Central American Cup results
| 29 Oct | Deportivo Saprissa 2-1 Firpo |
| 23 Oct | CD Motagua 0-0 LD Alajuelense |
| 22 Oct | CS Cartagines 1-0 CD Olimpia |
| 22 Oct | Firpo 0-0 Deportivo Saprissa |
| 21 Oct | CD Marathon 2-1 Alianza |