CD Motagua vs LD Alajuelense• CONCACAF Central American Cup, World

1.2:0.40-0FT23/10 · Estadio Nacional Chelato Ucles, Tegucigalpa2.2:1.2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.46PINX3.05DAF23.48PINMargin at best2.2%Books9Markets44Rating49 · 52 levelExp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 22 Oct 20:30 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.35	3.05	3.20	6.6%
BetVictor	2.38	2.90	3.10	8.8%
Pinnacle	2.46	2.44	3.48	10.4%
1xBet	2.19	3.04	3.10	10.8%
Betano	2.37	2.70	3.15	11.0%
Betfair	2.38	2.80	3.00	11.1%
Marathonbet	2.17	3.04	3.02	12.1%
Bet365	2.30	2.75	3.00	13.2%
William Hill	2.38	2.80	2.80	13.4%
Best of all books	2.46	3.05	3.48	2.2%
Average	2.33	2.84	3.09	10.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

CD MotaguaLD Alajuelense

Last 108Form pts · last 591.2Goals for · last 52.20.4Goals against · last 51.235Attack rating6575Defence rating2547Form rating5333H2H rating6771Goals model2949Overall rating52

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 24 Oct 10:01 UTC

CD Motagua

5W 4D 1L · goals 11:4 · per match 1.1 for, 0.4 against

23 Oct	H	LD Alajuelense	0-0	D
17 Oct	A	Platense FC	2-0	W
10 Oct	H	Atlético Choloma	2-1	W
20 Sep	A	Real Espana	0-1	L
17 Sep	A	Alianza	0-0	D
13 Sep	H	Génesis	1-0	W
10 Sep	H	Alianza	3-0	W
5 Sep	A	Atletico Independiente	0-0	D
30 Aug	H	Olancho	2-1	W
26 Aug	A	Municipal	1-1	D

LD Alajuelense

4W 4D 2L · goals 17:12 · per match 1.7 for, 1.2 against

26 Oct	H	Perez Zeledon	1-0	W
23 Oct	A	CD Motagua	0-0	D
18 Oct	A	Inter San Carlos	3-2	W
15 Oct	H	CS Herediano	1-1	D
10 Oct	A	Puntarenas FC	1-1	D
20 Sep	H	Inter San Carlos	5-0	W
18 Sep	H	CD Marathon	3-1	W
14 Sep	A	CS Cartagines	1-3	L
11 Sep	A	CD Marathon	2-2	D
6 Sep	H	Deportivo Saprissa	0-2	L

Head to head

1CD Motagua wins

0draws

2LD Alajuelense wins

3 meetings · goals 3:7 · last 3: 1W 0D 2L for CD Motagua

1 Oct 2025CONCACAF Central American Cup	CONCACAF Central American Cup	CD Motagua1-2LD Alajuelense
24 Sep 2025CONCACAF Central American Cup	CONCACAF Central American Cup	LD Alajuelense0-1CD Motagua
1 Sep 2023CONCACAF Central American Cup	CONCACAF Central American Cup	LD Alajuelense5-1CD Motagua

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg137%2.41X30%3.01233%2.77

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.25 → 2.33 +3.6%X2.91 → 2.84 -2.4%23.18 → 3.09 -2.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.30	1.60	6.0%
Pinnacle	2.27	1.58	7.3%
Betfair	2.25	1.57	8.1%
Marathonbet	2.22	1.56	9.1%
1xBet	2.20	1.57	9.1%
BetVictor	2.18	1.58	9.2%
Betano	2.15	1.57	10.2%
Best of all books	2.30	1.60	6.0%
Average	2.22	1.58	8.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.83	1.91	7.0%
BetVictor	1.90	1.80	8.2%
1xBet	1.91	1.77	8.9%
William Hill	1.91	1.75	9.5%
Marathonbet	1.91	1.74	9.8%
Best of all books	1.91	1.91	4.7%
Average	1.89	1.79	8.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

CD Motagua 10%Draw 45%LD Alajuelense 45%

The statistical model rated CD Motagua at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and LD Alajuelense at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.41 | 3.01 | 2.77, which imply roughly 33.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, CD Motagua averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; LD Alajuelense averaged 2.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or LD Alajuelense.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.33	2.84	3.09

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.30	1.51	1.32

Draw no bet

1	2
1.64	2.10

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.89	1.79

1st half

1	X	2
2.94	1.95	3.78

2nd half

1	X	2
2.66	2.20	3.41

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.91	14.0	33.0
HT X	5.38	4.22	6.65
HT 2	27.3	14.9	5.29

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.87	7.20	2.26

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.06	7.63
1.5	1.38	2.77
2.5	2.22	1.58
3.5	4.26	1.18
4.5	8.57	1.04
5.5	15.5	1.01

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.06	6.05
1.25	1.22	3.50
1.75	1.49	2.38
2	1.66	2.03
2.25	1.94	1.75
2.75	2.57	1.42
3	3.31	1.26
3.25	3.74	1.19
3.75	4.60	1.16
4	7.60	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.74	1.37
-0.5	2.30	1.53
-0.25	1.95	1.75
0	1.59	2.19
+0.25	1.40	2.65
+0.5	1.27	3.40

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	9.30	1.02
-2	8.70	1.03
-1.75	5.50	1.11
-1.5	4.55	1.13
-1.25	4.10	1.16
-1	3.71	1.21
+0.75	1.19	3.82
+1	1.07	5.90
+1.5	1.04	7.00

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
10	1.85	1.95

Next CONCACAF Central American Cup matches

29 Oct

CD Olimpia – CS Cartagines

All CONCACAF Central American Cup fixtures and the table

Latest CONCACAF Central American Cup results

28 Oct	Alianza 0-0 CD Marathon
22 Oct	CS Cartagines 1-0 CD Olimpia
22 Oct	Firpo 0-0 Deportivo Saprissa
21 Oct	CD Marathon 2-1 Alianza