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Saipa vs Shenavarsazi Qeshm• Azadegan League, Iran

#41.3:0.80-1FT12/100.8:0.5#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.671XBX3.201XB24.991XBMargin at best11.2%Books1Markets12Rating62 · 39Exp. goals L51.7

Price board · 1X2captured 12 Oct 09:22 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet1.673.204.9911.2%
Best of all books1.673.204.9911.2%
Average1.673.204.9911.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

SaipaShenavarsazi Qeshm
Last 10#4Table position#31.80Points per game1.809Form pts · last 591.3Goals for · last 50.80.8Goals against · last 50.563Attack rating3840Defence rating6060Form rating40100H2H rating00Goals model062Overall rating39

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 18 Oct 16:40 UTC

Saipa

7W 0D 3L · goals 11:6 · per match 1.1 for, 0.6 against

12 OctHShenavarsazi Qeshm0-1L
4 OctAShahin Bandar Ameri0-2L
28 SepHNiroye Zamini2-1W
22 SepAMes Kerman1-0W
16 SepHMes Soongoun2-0W
16 JulHNaft Bandar Abbas1-0W
11 JulANavad Urmia2-0W
2 JulHShahrdari Noshahr1-0W
27 JunAFard Alborz1-2L
21 JunHArio Eslamshahr1-0W

Shenavarsazi Qeshm

4W 5D 1L · goals 14:9 · per match 1.4 for, 0.9 against

12 OctASaipa1-0W
4 OctHMes Soongoun1-0W
27 SepAFard Alborz0-0D
21 SepHNovin Ahvaz2-2D
15 SepAPars Jonoubi JAM0-0D
16 JulHHavadar3-0W
11 JulAArio Eslamshahr1-1D
3 JulHMes Shahr-e Babak1-3L
27 JunAMes Soongoun1-1D
21 JunHNaft Gachsaran4-2W

Head to head

2Saipa wins
0draws
0Shenavarsazi Qeshm wins

2 meetings · goals 5:1 · last 2: 2W 0D 0L for Saipa

2 Jun 2026Azadegan LeagueAzadegan LeagueShenavarsazi Qeshm1-2Saipa
25 Oct 2025Azadegan LeagueAzadegan LeagueSaipa3-0Shenavarsazi Qeshm

Azadegan League tableRegular Seasonupdated 18 Oct 15:11 UTC

In the Azadegan League table, Saipa sit 4th with 9 points from 5 games, while Shenavarsazi Qeshm are 3rd with 9 points from 5.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Pars Jonoubi JAM53205:2+311
2Mes Rafsanjan53203:0+311
3Shenavarsazi Qeshm52304:2+29
4Saipa53025:4+19
5Ario Eslamshahr53025:509
6Fard Alborz52215:2+38
7Naft Masjed Soleyman52127:5+27
8Be'sat Kermanshah52126:4+27
9Naft Bandar Abbas51314:406
10Shahin Bandar Ameri51315:6-16
11Mes Soongoun51222:4-25
12Novin Ahvaz50416:7-14
13Niroye Zamini51132:4-24
14Mes Kerman50322:4-23
15Naft Gachsaran50321:3-23
16Havadar50231:7-62

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg154%1.67X28%3.20218%4.99

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 11.2% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet2.661.399.5%
Best of all books2.661.399.5%
Average2.661.399.5%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet2.431.479.2%
Best of all books2.431.479.2%
Average2.431.479.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Saipa 45%Draw 45%Shenavarsazi Qeshm 10%

The statistical model rated Saipa at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Shenavarsazi Qeshm at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.67 | 3.20 | 4.99, which imply roughly 59.9% for a Saipa win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Azadegan League table: Saipa are 4th (9 pts, 5-4 goals), Shenavarsazi Qeshm 3rd (9 pts, 4-2).

Over their last five matches, Saipa averaged 1.3 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Shenavarsazi Qeshm averaged 0.8 scored and 0.5 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Saipa or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.673.204.99

Double chance

X212
1.931.23

Both teams to score

YesNo
2.431.47

1st half

1X2
2.381.925.92

Match goals

LineOverUnder
1.51.482.39
21.941.73
2.52.661.39

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.53.441.25
-12.511.44
01.233.57

Next Azadegan League matches

19 OctNaft Gachsaran – Fard Alborz
19 OctNaft Masjed Soleyman – Saipa
19 OctShahin Bandar Ameri – Mes Soongoun
20 OctArio Eslamshahr – Naft Bandar Abbas
20 OctMes Rafsanjan – Niroye Zamini
20 OctShenavarsazi Qeshm – Mes Kerman

All Azadegan League fixtures and the table

Latest Azadegan League results

12 OctNaft Bandar Abbas 1-1 Havadar
12 OctArio Eslamshahr 2-1 Be'sat Kermanshah
12 OctMes Soongoun 1-0 Niroye Zamini
12 OctMes Kerman 0-1 Mes Rafsanjan
11 OctFard Alborz 3-0 Shahin Bandar Ameri
5 OctMes Rafsanjan 1-0 Ario Eslamshahr