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Mes Rafsanjan vs Ario Eslamshahr• Azadegan League, Iran

#20.3:0.01-0FT05/10 · Shohadaye Sanat Mes Stadium, Tafresh1.0:1.0#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.881XBX3.111XB22.601XBMargin at best5.3%Books2Markets30Rating35 · 65Exp. goals L51.1

Price board · 1X2captured 4 Oct 08:15 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet2.883.112.605.3%
Marathonbet2.772.772.5012.2%
Best of all books2.883.112.605.3%
Average2.832.942.558.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Mes RafsanjanArio Eslamshahr
Last 10#2Table position#52.20Points per game1.8011Form pts · last 590.3Goals for · last 51.00.0Goals against · last 51.025Attack rating75100Defence rating045Form rating550H2H rating00Goals model035Overall rating65

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 18 Oct 15:11 UTC

Mes Rafsanjan

4W 2D 4L · goals 5:7 · per match 0.5 for, 0.7 against

12 OctAMes Kerman1-0W
5 OctHArio Eslamshahr1-0W
29 SepHBe'sat Kermanshah1-0W
22 SepAMes Soongoun0-0D
16 SepHHavadar0-0D
22 JulHSanat Naft0-3L
22 FebHEsteghlal FC0-1L
14 FebAPaykan2-0W
7 FebHEsteghlal Khuzestan0-1L
1 FebAShams Azar Qazvin0-2L

Ario Eslamshahr

5W 2D 3L · goals 11:9 · per match 1.1 for, 0.9 against

12 OctHBe'sat Kermanshah2-1W
5 OctAMes Rafsanjan0-1L
28 SepHHavadar2-0W
22 SepANaft Gachsaran1-0W
16 SepHNaft Masjed Soleyman0-3L
17 JulANassaji Mazandaran2-1W
11 JulHShenavarsazi Qeshm1-1D
3 JulADamash Gilanian1-1D
27 JunHBe'sat Kermanshah2-0W
21 JunASaipa0-1L

Head to head

No previous meetings between Mes Rafsanjan and Ario Eslamshahr on record.

Azadegan League tableRegular Seasonupdated 19 Oct 19:20 UTC

In the Azadegan League table, Mes Rafsanjan sit 2nd with 11 points from 5 games, while Ario Eslamshahr are 5th with 9 points from 5.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Pars Jonoubi JAM53205:2+311
2Mes Rafsanjan53203:0+311
3Saipa63126:5+110
4Shenavarsazi Qeshm52304:2+29
5Ario Eslamshahr53025:509
6Naft Masjed Soleyman62228:6+28
7Fard Alborz62227:6+18
8Mes Soongoun62225:6-18
9Be'sat Kermanshah52126:4+27
10Novin Ahvaz61417:707
11Naft Gachsaran61325:506
12Naft Bandar Abbas51314:406
13Shahin Bandar Ameri61327:9-26
14Niroye Zamini51132:4-24
15Mes Kerman50322:4-23
16Havadar60241:8-72

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg128%3.15X37%2.41234%2.62

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.3% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet2.671.456.4%
Marathonbet2.781.3410.6%
Best of all books2.781.454.9%
Average2.721.408.4%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet2.241.559.2%
Marathonbet2.241.5310.0%
Best of all books2.241.559.2%
Average2.241.549.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Mes Rafsanjan 35%Draw 35%Ario Eslamshahr 30%

The statistical model rated Mes Rafsanjan at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Ario Eslamshahr at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.15 | 2.41 | 2.62, which imply roughly 31.7% for a Mes Rafsanjan win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Azadegan League table: Mes Rafsanjan are 2nd (11 pts, 3-0 goals), Ario Eslamshahr 5th (9 pts, 5-5).

Over their last five matches, Mes Rafsanjan averaged 0.3 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Ario Eslamshahr averaged 1 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Mes Rafsanjan or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.832.942.55

Double chance

1XX212
1.391.321.32

Both teams to score

YesNo
2.241.54

1st half

1X2
3.861.853.48

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.205.652.04

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.085.94
1.51.602.24
2.52.721.40
3.55.631.09
10 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.114.95
11.154.30
1.251.382.82
1.751.751.88
22.081.60
2.252.481.47
2.753.421.23
34.901.11
3.254.861.13
48.401.03

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.753.501.22
-0.252.341.49
01.931.74
+0.251.602.08
+0.751.283.08
+11.124.75
5 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.56.751.04
-1.255.671.08
-15.651.08
+1.251.095.30
+1.51.075.90

Next Azadegan League matches

20 OctArio Eslamshahr – Naft Bandar Abbas
20 OctMes Rafsanjan – Niroye Zamini
20 OctShenavarsazi Qeshm – Mes Kerman

All Azadegan League fixtures and the table

Latest Azadegan League results

19 OctShahin Bandar Ameri 2-3 Mes Soongoun
19 OctNaft Gachsaran 4-2 Fard Alborz
19 OctNaft Masjed Soleyman 1-1 Saipa
12 OctNaft Bandar Abbas 1-1 Havadar
12 OctArio Eslamshahr 2-1 Be'sat Kermanshah
12 OctSaipa 0-1 Shenavarsazi Qeshm