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Mes Kerman vs Mes Rafsanjan• Azadegan League, Iran

#140.5:0.80-1FT12/100.5:0.0#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.70DAFX2.75DAF22.85DAFMargin at best8.5%Books3Markets30Rating29 · 71Exp. goals L50.9

Price board · 1X2captured 12 Oct 09:22 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet2.702.752.858.5%
1xBet2.622.652.7512.3%
Marathonbet2.622.652.7512.3%
Best of all books2.702.752.858.5%
Average2.652.682.7811.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Mes KermanMes Rafsanjan
Last 10#14Table position#20.60Points per game2.203Form pts · last 5110.5Goals for · last 50.50.8Goals against · last 50.050Attack rating500Defence rating10027Form rating7315H2H rating850Goals model029Overall rating71

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 18 Oct 15:11 UTC

Mes Kerman

1W 6D 3L · goals 7:7 · per match 0.7 for, 0.7 against

12 OctHMes Rafsanjan0-1L
5 OctANiroye Zamini0-0D
28 SepAMes Soongoun1-1D
22 SepHSaipa0-1L
15 SepAFard Alborz1-1D
16 JulHNavad Urmia3-0W
11 JulASanat Naft0-1L
3 JulHNaft Bandar Abbas0-0D
27 JunAShahrdari Noshahr1-1D
21 JunHPars Jonoubi JAM1-1D

Mes Rafsanjan

4W 2D 4L · goals 5:7 · per match 0.5 for, 0.7 against

12 OctAMes Kerman1-0W
5 OctHArio Eslamshahr1-0W
29 SepHBe'sat Kermanshah1-0W
22 SepAMes Soongoun0-0D
16 SepHHavadar0-0D
22 JulHSanat Naft0-3L
22 FebHEsteghlal FC0-1L
14 FebAPaykan2-0W
7 FebHEsteghlal Khuzestan0-1L
1 FebAShams Azar Qazvin0-2L

Head to head

3Mes Kerman wins
3draws
4Mes Rafsanjan wins

10 meetings · goals 6:8 · last 10: 3W 3D 4L for Mes Kerman

24 Apr 2023Persian Gulf Pro LeaguePersian Gulf Pro LeagueMes Rafsanjan1-0Mes Kerman
19 Dec 2022Persian Gulf Pro LeaguePersian Gulf Pro LeagueMes Kerman0-2Mes Rafsanjan
30 Jun 2020Azadegan LeagueAzadegan LeagueMes Kerman0-0Mes Rafsanjan
30 Oct 2019Azadegan LeagueAzadegan LeagueMes Rafsanjan1-1Mes Kerman
16 Mar 2019Azadegan LeagueAzadegan LeagueMes Kerman1-2Mes Rafsanjan
6 Nov 2018Azadegan LeagueAzadegan LeagueMes Rafsanjan0-1Mes Kerman
11 Mar 2018Azadegan LeagueAzadegan LeagueMes Kerman2-1Mes Rafsanjan
22 Oct 2017Azadegan LeagueAzadegan LeagueMes Rafsanjan1-0Mes Kerman
13 Feb 2017Azadegan LeagueAzadegan LeagueMes Rafsanjan0-0Mes Kerman
17 Sep 2016Azadegan LeagueAzadegan LeagueMes Kerman1-0Mes Rafsanjan

Azadegan League tableRegular Seasonupdated 18 Oct 15:11 UTC

In the Azadegan League table, Mes Kerman sit 14th with 3 points from 5 games, while Mes Rafsanjan are 2nd with 11 points from 5.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Pars Jonoubi JAM53205:2+311
2Mes Rafsanjan53203:0+311
3Shenavarsazi Qeshm52304:2+29
4Saipa53025:4+19
5Ario Eslamshahr53025:509
6Fard Alborz52215:2+38
7Naft Masjed Soleyman52127:5+27
8Be'sat Kermanshah52126:4+27
9Naft Bandar Abbas51314:406
10Shahin Bandar Ameri51315:6-16
11Mes Soongoun51222:4-25
12Novin Ahvaz50416:7-14
13Niroye Zamini51132:4-24
14Mes Kerman50322:4-23
15Naft Gachsaran50321:3-23
16Havadar50231:7-62

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg134%2.65X34%2.68232%2.78

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

10 Oct 20:2011 Oct 08:101 2.65X 2.712 2.76
12.62 → 2.65 +1.1%X2.72 → 2.71 -0.4%22.67 → 2.76 +3.4%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet3.201.2610.6%
Marathonbet3.201.2610.6%
Best of all books3.201.2610.6%
Average3.201.2610.6%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet2.461.469.1%
Marathonbet2.461.4410.1%
Best of all books2.461.469.1%
Average2.461.459.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Mes Kerman 10%Draw 45%Mes Rafsanjan 45%

The statistical model rated Mes Kerman at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Mes Rafsanjan at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.65 | 2.68 | 2.78, which imply roughly 37.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Azadegan League table: Mes Kerman are 14th (3 pts, 2-4 goals), Mes Rafsanjan 2nd (11 pts, 3-0).

Over their last five matches, Mes Kerman averaged 0.5 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Mes Rafsanjan averaged 0.5 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Mes Rafsanjan and -2.5 goals (goal line signal: under 2.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.652.682.78

Double chance

1XX212
1.321.361.35

Both teams to score

YesNo
2.461.45

1st half

1X2
3.621.703.85

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.125.102.20

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.105.10
1.51.711.98
2.53.201.26
3.57.201.03
10 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.144.45
11.203.72
1.251.452.45
1.751.941.73
22.381.46
2.252.811.33
2.754.141.16
36.201.06
3.255.581.08
49.601.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-15.451.08
-0.753.341.24
-0.252.181.56
01.781.88
+0.251.492.30
+0.751.213.58
5 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.56.801.04
-1.256.151.06
+11.075.95
+1.251.075.75
+1.51.037.40

Next Azadegan League matches

19 OctNaft Gachsaran – Fard Alborz
19 OctNaft Masjed Soleyman – Saipa
19 OctShahin Bandar Ameri – Mes Soongoun
20 OctArio Eslamshahr – Naft Bandar Abbas
20 OctMes Rafsanjan – Niroye Zamini
20 OctShenavarsazi Qeshm – Mes Kerman

All Azadegan League fixtures and the table

Latest Azadegan League results

12 OctNaft Bandar Abbas 1-1 Havadar
12 OctArio Eslamshahr 2-1 Be'sat Kermanshah
12 OctSaipa 0-1 Shenavarsazi Qeshm
12 OctMes Soongoun 1-0 Niroye Zamini
11 OctFard Alborz 3-0 Shahin Bandar Ameri
5 OctMes Rafsanjan 1-0 Ario Eslamshahr