Atletico Torque vs Atletico-MG• CONMEBOL Sudamericana, World

1.2:1.222:00Today · Estadio Centenario, Montevideo2.2:1.2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.50BTNX3.20BTN22.451XBMargin at best0.6%Books5Markets74Rating55 · 45Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 21 Oct 20:06 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	3.34	3.18	2.45	2.2%
Pinnacle	3.42	3.07	2.38	3.8%
Bet365	3.30	3.10	2.38	4.6%
Marathonbet	3.18	3.02	2.33	7.5%
William Hill	3.10	2.90	2.30	10.2%
Best of all books	3.42	3.18	2.45	1.5%
Average	3.27	3.05	2.37	5.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Atletico TorqueAtletico-MG

Last 104Form pts · last 5131.2Goals for · last 52.21.2Goals against · last 51.235Attack rating6550Defence rating5047Form rating530H2H rating10088Goals model1255Overall rating45

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 16:10 UTC

Atletico Torque

4W 2D 4L · goals 16:15 · per match 1.6 for, 1.5 against

18 Oct	A	Albion FC	1-2	L
14 Oct	A	Atletico-MG	0-3	L
9 Oct	H	Danubio	1-0	W
5 Oct	A	Club Nacional	0-2	L
30 Sep	H	Penarol	1-1	D
27 Sep	H	Deportivo Maldonado	0-2	L
24 Sep	H	Atenas	3-3	D
21 Sep	A	Central Espanol	4-1	W
18 Sep	H	Cienciano	3-0	W
14 Sep	H	Liverpool Montevideo	3-1	W

Atletico-MG

6W 2D 2L · goals 17:11 · per match 1.7 for, 1.1 against

17 Oct	H	Coritiba	1-0	W
14 Oct	H	Atletico Torque	3-0	W
11 Oct	H	Santos	2-1	W
8 Oct	A	Atletico Paranaense	2-2	D
3 Oct	H	RB Bragantino	1-0	W
19 Sep	H	Chapecoense-sc	1-1	D
16 Sep	H	Santos	4-2	W
12 Sep	H	Fluminense	3-1	W
9 Sep	A	Santos	0-2	L
5 Sep	A	Sao Paulo	0-2	L

Head to head

0Atletico Torque wins

0draws

1Atletico-MG wins

1 meeting · goals 0:3 · last 1: 0W 0D 1L for Atletico Torque

14 Oct 2026CONMEBOL Sudamericana

CONMEBOL Sudamericana

Atletico-MG3-0Atletico Torque

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg129%3.25X31%3.08240%2.35

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 0.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.80 → 3.25 +16.1%X3.31 → 3.08 -6.9%22.48 → 2.35 -5.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	2.19	1.77	2.2%
Pinnacle	2.22	1.68	4.6%
Bet365	2.15	1.67	6.4%
Marathonbet	2.09	1.69	7.0%
Best of all books	2.22	1.77	1.5%
Average	2.16	1.70	5.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.80	1.90	8.2%
William Hill	1.83	1.85	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.80	1.88	8.7%
Bet365	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Best of all books	1.83	1.90	7.3%
Average	1.81	1.86	8.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Atletico Torque 10%Draw 45%Atletico-MG 45%

The statistical model rates Atletico Torque at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Atletico-MG at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.25 | 3.08 | 2.35, which imply roughly 32.5% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Atletico Torque averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Atletico-MG averaged 2.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Atletico-MG.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Confirmed Lineups

Atletico Torque

5-4-1

Coach: Marcelo Méndez

Goalkeeper

1F. Torgnascioli

Defence

17E. Agüero
24G. Kagelmacher
3K. Silva
19D. Guzmán
26F. Silvera

Midfield

5F. Pizzichillo
8P. Siles
20G. Montes
10E. Obregón

Attack

9S. Rodríguez

Substitutes (12)

15E. Busquets
7Luka Andrade
32S. Cáceres
23L. Duré
2B. Gutierrez
18R. Lecchini
16ignacio molina
21N. Perez
30J. Quintana
13G. Rodríguez
27J. Tarán
11N. da Silva

Atletico-MG

4-2-3-1

Coach: E. Domínguez

Goalkeeper

1Gabriel Delfim

Defence

21A. Franco
40Vitão
13Lyanco
6Renan Lodi

Midfield

8Maycon
15K. Castaño
28T. Cuello
30Victor Hugo
11Bernard

Attack

19Reinier

Substitutes (12)

39Mamady Cisse
14Vitor Hugo
5Alexsander
27A. Minda
2Natanael
36K. Pascini
92Dudu
31Robert
23A. Preciado
25T. Pérez
17Igor Gomes
3Léo Duarte

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.27	3.05	2.37

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.57	1.34	1.37

Draw no bet

1	2
2.20	1.60

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.82	1.87

1st half

1	X	2
3.81	2.01	3.01

2nd half

1	X	2
3.31	2.35	2.64

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	5.27	15.1	33.0
HT X	6.93	4.35	5.37
HT 2	38.7	14.3	3.76

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.24	7.90	1.85

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	8.20
1.5	1.33	3.02
2.5	2.16	1.70
3.5	3.70	1.23
4.5	7.36	1.07
5.5	17.5	1.02
6.5	41.0	–
7.5	50.5	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.04	7.10
1	1.05	6.45
1.25	1.18	3.90
1.75	1.41	2.67
2	1.56	2.29
2.25	1.89	1.93
2.75	2.50	1.54
3	2.77	1.40
3.25	3.20	1.26
3.75	4.55	1.13
4	6.50	1.05
4.25	6.90	1.04
5	12.5	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	3.34	1.33
-0.25	2.78	1.44
0	2.29	1.64
+0.25	1.80	1.96
+0.5	1.61	2.34
+0.75	1.40	2.76

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2	13.0	1.01
-1.75	8.82	1.01
-1.5	7.00	1.06
-1.25	6.53	1.07
-1	5.97	1.09
-0.75	4.04	1.21
+1	1.24	3.68
+1.25	1.19	4.20
+1.5	1.15	4.57
+1.75	1.08	6.59
+2	1.04	9.30
+2.5	1.02	9.75

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.91	1.80

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.04	5.59
6.5	1.12	4.51
7.5	1.25	3.12
8.5	1.51	2.33
9.5	1.88	1.84
10.5	2.39	1.49
11.5	3.05	1.26
12.5	4.17	1.14
13.5	4.87	1.07

16 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.05	5.35
7	1.14	3.80
7.75	1.28	3.04
8	1.33	2.78
8.25	1.39	2.54
8.75	1.55	2.23
9	1.67	2.09
9.25	1.78	1.97
9.75	2.01	1.75
10	2.16	1.63
10.25	2.24	1.50
10.75	2.57	1.38
11	2.77	1.33
11.25	2.99	1.24
12	3.57	1.17
13	4.70	1.08

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