Vasco DA Gama vs Boca Juniors• CONMEBOL Sudamericana, World

1.4:0.21-3FTToday · Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro1.8:0.6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.90BTNX3.10B36522.94PINMargin at best0.8%Books8Markets85Rating56 · 44Exp. goals L52.0

Price board · 1X2captured 20 Oct 20:05 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.79	3.10	2.94	2.1%
Betano	2.90	3.05	2.85	2.4%
Pinnacle	2.76	2.97	2.94	3.9%
Dafabet	2.75	3.05	2.85	4.2%
Bet365	2.62	3.10	2.75	6.8%
Marathonbet	2.65	2.95	2.79	7.5%
Betfair	2.63	3.00	2.75	7.7%
William Hill	2.62	2.88	2.75	9.3%
Best of all books	2.90	3.10	2.94	0.8%
Average	2.71	3.01	2.83	5.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Vasco DA GamaBoca Juniors

Last 107Form pts · last 5101.4Goals for · last 51.80.2Goals against · last 50.644Attack rating5675Defence rating2552Form rating48100H2H rating054Goals model4656Overall rating44

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 03:40 UTC

Vasco DA Gama

5W 2D 3L · goals 13:7 · per match 1.3 for, 0.7 against

21 Oct	H	Boca Juniors	1-3	L
18 Oct	A	Sao Paulo	0-1	L
14 Oct	A	Boca Juniors	1-0	W
10 Oct	H	Remo	0-0	D
7 Oct	A	Botafogo	2-1	W
19 Sep	H	Coritiba	5-0	W
15 Sep	H	Santa Fe	2-0	W
12 Sep	A	Gremio	2-1	W
8 Sep	A	Santa Fe	0-0	D
6 Sep	A	Fluminense	0-1	L

Boca Juniors

6W 3D 1L · goals 19:10 · per match 1.9 for, 1.0 against

17 Oct	H	Talleres Cordoba	2-1	W
14 Oct	H	Vasco DA Gama	0-1	L
9 Oct	A	Instituto Cordoba	2-2	D
3 Oct	H	Union Santa Fe	3-0	W
27 Sep	A	Racing Club	3-2	W
20 Sep	A	San Lorenzo	2-0	W
16 Sep	A	Sao Paulo	1-1	D
12 Sep	H	Central Cordoba de Santiago	3-1	W
9 Sep	H	Sao Paulo	1-0	W
5 Sep	A	Gimnasia M.	2-2	D

Head to head

1Vasco DA Gama wins

0draws

0Boca Juniors wins

1 meeting · goals 1:0 · last 1: 1W 0D 0L for Vasco DA Gama

14 Oct 2026CONMEBOL Sudamericana

CONMEBOL Sudamericana

Boca Juniors0-1Vasco DA Gama

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg135%2.74X31%3.05234%2.78

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 0.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.35 → 2.72 +15.7%X3.12 → 2.98 -4.5%23.18 → 2.84 -10.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	2.70	1.50	3.7%
Pinnacle	2.74	1.47	4.5%
Betfair	2.63	1.47	6.1%
Bet365	2.70	1.44	6.5%
1xBet	2.46	1.43	10.6%
Marathonbet	2.46	1.43	10.6%
Best of all books	2.74	1.50	3.2%
Average	2.62	1.46	6.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	2.15	1.67	6.4%
Betano	2.12	1.67	7.1%
Bet365	2.20	1.62	7.2%
William Hill	2.05	1.70	7.6%
1xBet	2.06	1.68	8.1%
Marathonbet	2.06	1.66	8.8%
Best of all books	2.20	1.70	4.3%
Average	2.11	1.67	7.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Vasco DA Gama 45%Draw 45%Boca Juniors 10%

The statistical model rated Vasco DA Gama at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Boca Juniors at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.74 | 3.05 | 2.78, which imply roughly 36.5% for a Vasco DA Gama win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Vasco DA Gama averaged 1.4 goals scored and 0.2 conceded per game; Boca Juniors averaged 1.8 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Vasco DA Gama or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Vasco DA Gama

4-1-4-1

Coach: Pedro Emanuel

Goalkeeper

1Léo Jardim

Defence

96Paulo Henrique
4A. Saldivia
30Robert Renan
66Cuiabano

Midfield

5S. Sosa
28Adson
22A. Lescano
23Thiago Mendes
7David

Attack

19Bruno Duarte

Substitutes (12)

18M. Hinestroza
13Daniel Fuzato
55Gabriel Pereira
6Lucas Piton
17Nuno Moreira
8Jair
2J. Rodríguez
83Ramon Rique
20Brenner
77C. Spinelli
3Tchê Tchê
43Lucas Freitas

Boca Juniors

4-2-3-1

Coach: R. Arruabarrena

Goalkeeper

1Á. Montero

Defence

17L. Lozano
2L. Di Lollo
42F. Herrera
3L. Blanco

Midfield

18M. Delgado
6R. Battaglia
22S. Villa
25S. Ascacíbar
19L. Flores

Attack

16M. Merentiel

Substitutes (12)

30E. Valencia
53Joaquín Ruíz
11Á. Romero
5L. Paredes
7C. Palacios
24D. Gorosito
4N. Figal
32A. Costa
12L. Brey
27M. Braida
15W. Alarcón
20A. Velasco

Match Statistics

Vasco DA GamaBoca Juniors

0.59Expected Goals0.57

475Passes accurate259

8Shots insidebox5

4Shots outsidebox2

1Blocked Shots2

14Free Kicks8

2Shots on Goal3

9Shots off Goal2

561Total passes339

12Total Shots7

1Yellow Cards2

5Corner Kicks5

0Goalkeeper Saves1

0Offsides2

8Fouls14

0Red Cards0

59%Ball Possession41%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.72	3.01	2.83

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.42	1.45	1.38

Draw no bet

1	2
1.83	1.88

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.11	1.67

1st half

1	X	2
3.43	1.90	3.66

2nd half

1	X	2
3.05	2.15	3.19

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.38	14.9	39.2
HT X	5.94	3.95	5.94
HT 2	39.2	15.2	4.70

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.01	7.28	2.12

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.09	6.44
1.5	1.54	2.50
2.5	2.62	1.46
3.5	5.23	1.14
4.5	10.9	1.03
5.5	22.2	1.01
6.5	50.5	–
7.5	50.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.08	5.87
1	1.10	5.20
1.25	1.31	3.48
1.75	1.68	2.19
2	1.93	1.82
2.25	2.23	1.58
2.75	2.90	1.36
3	3.92	1.21
3.25	4.55	1.13
3.75	7.40	1.06
4	8.70	1.03
4.25	8.07	1.02
5	12.0	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	3.27	1.30
-0.5	2.71	1.48
-0.25	2.26	1.64
0	1.87	1.98
+0.25	1.55	2.34
+0.5	1.46	2.77

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	11.8	1.02
-2	12.0	1.01
-1.75	7.85	1.04
-1.5	5.95	1.10
-1.25	5.26	1.13
-1	4.85	1.15
+0.75	1.27	3.47
+1	1.12	5.51
+1.25	1.09	5.98
+1.5	1.07	6.57
+1.75	1.01	8.90
+2	1.01	12.0
+2.5	1.02	12.0

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.03	9.75
2.5	1.11	5.80
3.5	1.27	3.55
4.5	1.55	2.35
5.5	2.13	1.66
6.5	2.72	1.42
7.5	3.85	1.23
8.5	5.50	1.13
9.5	7.60	1.07

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.01	12.5
4.5	1.04	9.50
5.5	1.07	6.11
6.5	1.17	4.05
7.5	1.35	2.83
8.5	1.66	2.11
9.5	2.09	1.66
10.5	2.74	1.37
11.5	3.68	1.20
12.5	4.93	1.12
13.5	6.38	1.06
14.5	9.75	1.03
15.5	11.8	1.02

15 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.08	4.77
7	1.20	3.30
7.25	1.24	3.26
7.75	1.35	2.71
8	1.46	2.49
8.25	1.51	2.32
8.75	1.70	1.98
9	1.90	1.87
9.25	1.92	1.74
9.75	2.16	1.54
10	2.41	1.49
10.25	2.55	1.39
11	3.10	1.23
12	4.15	1.12
13	5.35	1.05

Next CONMEBOL Sudamericana matches

21 Oct

Atletico Torque – Atletico-MG

All CONMEBOL Sudamericana fixtures and the table

Latest CONMEBOL Sudamericana results

14 Oct	Atletico-MG 3-0 Atletico Torque
14 Oct	Boca Juniors 0-1 Vasco DA Gama