Boca Juniors vs Vasco DA Gama• CONMEBOL Sudamericana, World

2.0:0.60-1FTToday · Alberto J. Armando, Buenos Aires1.4:0.2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.93BTNX3.261XB25.211XBMargin at best1.7%Books8Markets81Rating52 · 48 levelExp. goals L52.1

Price board · 1X2captured 13 Oct 20:04 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.92	3.26	5.21	2.0%
Betano	1.91	3.25	5.20	2.4%
Pinnacle	1.86	3.24	5.12	4.2%
Dafabet	1.92	3.20	4.80	4.2%
Bet365	1.85	3.20	5.00	5.3%
Betfair	1.85	3.10	4.75	7.4%
Marathonbet	1.82	3.10	4.95	7.4%
William Hill	1.85	3.00	4.60	9.1%
Best of all books	1.92	3.26	5.21	2.0%
Average	1.87	3.17	4.95	5.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Boca JuniorsVasco DA Gama

Last 1010Form pts · last 5132.0Goals for · last 51.40.6Goals against · last 50.259Attack rating4125Defence rating7550Form rating500H2H rating073Goals model2752Overall rating48

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 14 Oct 19:50 UTC

Boca Juniors

5W 4D 1L · goals 17:9 · per match 1.7 for, 0.9 against

14 Oct	H	Vasco DA Gama	0-1	L
9 Oct	A	Instituto Cordoba	2-2	D
3 Oct	H	Union Santa Fe	3-0	W
27 Sep	A	Racing Club	3-2	W
20 Sep	A	San Lorenzo	2-0	W
16 Sep	A	Sao Paulo	1-1	D
12 Sep	H	Central Cordoba de Santiago	3-1	W
9 Sep	H	Sao Paulo	1-0	W
5 Sep	A	Gimnasia M.	2-2	D
3 Sep	A	Velez Sarsfield	0-0	D

Vasco DA Gama

7W 2D 1L · goals 17:4 · per match 1.7 for, 0.4 against

10 Oct	H	Remo	0-0	D
7 Oct	A	Botafogo	2-1	W
19 Sep	H	Coritiba	5-0	W
15 Sep	H	Santa Fe	2-0	W
12 Sep	A	Gremio	2-1	W
8 Sep	A	Santa Fe	0-0	D
6 Sep	A	Fluminense	0-1	L
3 Sep	A	Vitoria	2-0	W
30 Aug	H	Cruzeiro	3-1	W
27 Aug	H	Vitoria	1-0	W

Head to head

No previous meetings between Boca Juniors and Vasco DA Gama on record.

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg144%2.17X32%2.95224%3.92

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.89 → 1.88 -0.5%X3.19 → 3.16 -0.9%24.76 → 4.94 +3.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	2.85	1.45	4.1%
Pinnacle	2.87	1.43	4.8%
Bet365	2.88	1.40	6.2%
Betfair	2.88	1.40	6.2%
1xBet	2.77	1.41	7.0%
Marathonbet	2.77	1.41	7.0%
Best of all books	2.88	1.45	3.7%
Average	2.84	1.42	5.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	2.45	1.53	6.2%
Bet365	2.50	1.50	6.7%
Betano	2.40	1.53	7.0%
William Hill	2.40	1.53	7.0%
1xBet	2.40	1.51	7.9%
Marathonbet	2.40	1.49	8.8%
Best of all books	2.50	1.53	5.4%
Average	2.43	1.51	7.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Boca Juniors 45%Draw 45%Vasco DA Gama 10%

The statistical model rated Boca Juniors at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Vasco DA Gama at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.17 | 2.95 | 3.92, which imply roughly 46.1% for a Boca Juniors win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Boca Juniors averaged 2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Vasco DA Gama averaged 1.4 scored and 0.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Boca Juniors or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Boca Juniors

4-3-3

Coach: R. Arruabarrena

Goalkeeper

1Á. Montero

Defence

17L. Lozano
2L. Di Lollo
42F. Herrera
3L. Blanco

Midfield

25S. Ascacíbar
15W. Alarcón
18M. Delgado
7C. Palacios

Attack

19L. Flores
30E. Valencia

Substitutes (12)

11Á. Romero
26Marco Pellegrino
24D. Gorosito
53Joaquín Ruíz
22S. Villa
12L. Brey
27M. Braida
6R. Battaglia
32A. Costa
4N. Figal
9M. Giménez
16M. Merentiel

Vasco DA Gama

4-1-4-1

Coach: Pedro Emanuel

Goalkeeper

1Léo Jardim

Defence

96Paulo Henrique
4A. Saldivia
30Robert Renan
66Cuiabano

Midfield

5S. Sosa
22A. Lescano
23Thiago Mendes

Attack

28Adson
11A. Gómez
19Bruno Duarte

Substitutes (12)

7David
55Gabriel Pereira
18M. Hinestroza
8Jair
43Lucas Freitas
6Lucas Piton
17Nuno Moreira
83Ramon Rique
2J. Rodríguez
3Tchê Tchê
20Brenner
13Daniel Fuzato

Match Statistics

Boca JuniorsVasco DA Gama

443Passes accurate285

10Shots insidebox5

8Shots outsidebox4

4Blocked Shots4

10Free Kicks7

2Shots on Goal2

1Goalkeeper Saves2

12Shots off Goal3

1Offsides1

530Total passes366

18Total Shots9

1Yellow Cards2

9Corner Kicks1

0Red Cards1

8Fouls11

60%Ball Possession40%

1.33Expected Goals0.49

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.87	3.17	4.95

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.18	1.92	1.35

Draw no bet

1	2
1.30	3.29

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.43	1.52

1st half

1	X	2
2.58	1.89	5.66

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.66	5.98	2.96

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.11	6.09
1.5	1.59	2.34
2.5	2.84	1.42
3.5	5.77	1.12
4.5	12.5	1.03
5.5	22.0	1.01

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.09	5.30
1	1.13	4.55
1.25	1.36	3.12
1.75	1.74	1.99
2	2.06	1.71
2.25	2.48	1.55
2.75	3.33	1.25
3	4.75	1.13
3.25	5.15	1.10
3.75	7.98	1.03
4	8.80	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	3.65	1.25
-1.25	3.18	1.32
-1	2.74	1.45
-0.75	2.09	1.68
-0.5	1.86	2.00
-0.25	1.56	2.41

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.43	1.02
-2.25	7.88	1.02
-2	7.30	1.03
-1.75	4.65	1.14
0	1.28	3.70
+0.25	1.20	4.12
+0.5	1.19	4.92
+0.75	1.07	6.95
+1	1.02	10.0
+1.5	1.02	11.0

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.03	10.0
2.5	1.11	6.00
3.5	1.26	3.60
4.5	1.55	2.37
5.5	2.07	1.70
6.5	2.75	1.42
7.5	3.90	1.23
8.5	5.60	1.12
9.5	7.80	1.06

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.01	12.5
4.5	1.04	9.50
5.5	1.07	6.01
6.5	1.18	3.99
7.5	1.36	2.79
8.5	1.66	2.09
9.5	2.10	1.65
10.5	2.75	1.37
11.5	3.73	1.20
12.5	4.93	1.11
13.5	6.50	1.06
14.5	9.50	1.04
15.5	11.8	1.02

15 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.08	4.75
7	1.20	3.29
7.25	1.26	3.12
7.75	1.37	2.63
8	1.47	2.48
8.25	1.54	2.24
8.75	1.73	1.94
9	1.89	1.88
9.25	1.97	1.71
9.75	2.23	1.51
10	2.44	1.48
10.25	2.61	1.37
11	3.10	1.23
12	4.15	1.12
13	5.35	1.05