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Saint Martin vs Bahamas• CONCACAF Nations League, World

4.3:0.76-0FT06/10 · Bethlehem Soccer Stadium, Christiansted1.0:4.7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.03WHX17.0WH241.0B365Margin at best5.4%Books7Markets78Rating85 · 16Exp. goals L55.3

Price board · 1X2captured 6 Oct 06:00 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
William Hill1.0415.051.04.8%
1xBet1.0415.050.04.8%
Betfair1.0123.056.05.1%
Bet3651.0219.051.05.3%
Betano1.0312.535.07.9%
Marathonbet1.0114.038.08.8%
BetVictor1.0211.541.09.2%
Best of all books1.0419.056.03.2%
Average1.0215.746.06.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Saint MartinBahamas
Last 1012Form pts · last 504.3Goals for · last 51.00.7Goals against · last 54.781Attack rating1988Defence rating13100Form rating0100H2H rating00Goals model10085Overall rating16

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 6 Oct 19:51 UTC

Saint Martin

5W 0D 5L · goals 23:14 · per match 2.3 for, 1.4 against

1 OctAUS Virgin Islands5-0W
26 SepHUS Virgin Islands0-2L
23 SepABahamas8-0W
30 MarABonaire3-0W
26 MarHBarbados3-1W
15 NovHBelize0-1L
12 NovADominica2-1W
9 NovHAnguilla1-2L
5 OctASt. Kitts and Nevis1-2L
4 OctASt. Kitts and Nevis0-5L

Bahamas

0W 0D 10L · goals 7:46 · per match 0.7 for, 4.6 against

4 OctHUS Virgin Islands2-3L
29 SepAUS Virgin Islands1-3L
23 SepHSaint Martin0-8L
30 MarACayman Islands0-1L
26 MarHAnguilla1-3L
15 NovHBritish Virgin Islands0-6L
12 NovHAnguilla1-2L
7 JunHCosta Rica0-8L
4 JunAGrenada0-6L
16 OctABarbados2-6L

Head to head

1Saint Martin wins
0draws
0Bahamas wins

1 meeting · goals 8:0 · last 1: 1W 0D 0L for Saint Martin

23 Sep 2026CONCACAF Nations LeagueCONCACAF Nations LeagueBahamas0-8Saint Martin

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg192%1.02X6%15.822%44.4

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

6 Oct 07:416 Oct 19:411 1.02X 15.82 44.4
11.02 → 1.02 0.0%X15.7 → 15.8 +0.5%246.0 → 44.4 -3.4%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.126.006.0%
Betfair1.077.007.7%
Betano1.115.508.3%
1xBet1.075.8010.7%
Marathonbet1.075.8010.7%
Best of all books1.127.003.6%
Average1.096.028.5%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair3.101.337.4%
Bet3652.621.447.6%
Betano2.351.537.9%
1xBet2.801.388.2%
BetVictor2.881.368.3%
William Hill2.701.408.5%
Marathonbet2.801.378.7%
Best of all books3.101.53-2.4%
Average2.751.407.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Saint Martin 45%Draw 45%Bahamas 10%

The statistical model rated Saint Martin at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Bahamas at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.02 | 15.79 | 44.43, which imply roughly 98% for a Saint Martin win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Saint Martin averaged 4.3 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game; Bahamas averaged 1 scored and 4.7 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Saint Martin and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Saint Martin

4-3-3

Goalkeeper

  • 16Sebastien Raphose

Defence

  • 13Malik Denis
  • 5Belony Dumas
  • 4fabien fonrose
  • 3stephan varsovie

Midfield

  • 12Matteo Makhabe
  • 6David Chevalier
  • 10Y. Montantin

Attack

  • 14Rahim Denis
  • 9axel rigobert raga
  • 19Jordan Alexandre
Substitutes (7)
  • 11bertrand pierre arne
  • 7imri chevalier
  • 15Alain Cordero
  • 1J. Etienne
  • 20andre richardson
  • 2David Zephir
  • 17Killian Lebroussa

Bahamas

4-2-3-1

Coach: G. Noel-Williams

Goalkeeper

  • 1Vance Wheaton

Defence

  • 17Omar Chemaly

Midfield

  • 4Re'John Ene
  • 16Lance Carroll
  • 7quinton carey
  • 2nathan wells
  • 8matthew christopher rahming
  • 6michael massey
  • 5william bayles
  • 10marcel joseph
  • 11Brandon adderley
Substitutes (8)
  • 20omari bain
  • 18Michael Butler
  • 12Prince Cooper
  • 15Creven Ferguson
  • 13Happy Hall
  • 9Peter julmis
  • 23Ian lowe
  • 3Andre Roberts

Match Statistics

Saint MartinBahamas
605Passes accurate149
14Shots insidebox3
12Shots outsidebox4
4Blocked Shots0
11Free Kicks13
10Shots on Goal2
2Goalkeeper Saves4
12Shots off Goal5
2Offsides1
656Total passes215
26Total Shots7
1Yellow Cards2
3Corner Kicks2
14Fouls11
0Red Cards0
75%Ball Possession25%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.0215.746.0

Double chance

X212
13.51.02

Draw no bet

12
1.0123.0

Both teams to score

YesNo
2.751.40

1st half

1X2
1.175.0926.0

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.0742.57.85

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.5–34.0
1.51.0215.8
2.51.096.02
3.51.283.37
4.51.662.12
5.52.271.55
6.53.431.26
7.56.201.11
8.511.21.04
9.521.01.01
10.541.0–
11.551.0–
15 more lines
LineOverUnder
21.0110.5
2.251.046.85
2.751.085.50
31.105.20
3.251.173.96
3.751.293.04
41.342.80
4.251.512.40
4.751.741.98
51.861.80
5.252.051.66
5.752.411.45
62.741.35
6.252.971.30
74.601.13

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-4.752.221.56
-4.52.081.66
-4.251.901.81
-41.751.99
-3.751.612.16
-3.51.532.32
17 more lines
LineHomeAway
-7.56.801.06
-76.001.08
-6.54.551.13
-6.254.651.18
-64.171.17
-5.753.411.25
-5.52.951.33
-5.252.741.37
-52.511.45
-3.251.382.72
-31.263.32
-2.751.233.58
-2.51.213.86
-2.251.144.86
-21.086.00
-1.51.086.08
01.0123.0

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